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[2] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Coupled human and natural systems. AMBIO 36, 639–649. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447(2007)36[639:CHANS]2.0.CO;2
[3] Liu, J., Dietz, T., Carpenter, S.R., et al., 2007. Complexity of coupled human and natural systems. Science 317, 1513–1516. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1144004
(Available free access versions:
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=9748014925464765351
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?cluster=4395469514804190369 )
#DOI #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems #DeepUncertainty #PreciselyIncorrect #complexity #SciencePolicyInterface
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On #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS), the classic overview by Liu et al. (2007) [2][3]
"complexity of organizational, spatial, and temporal couplings"
- "patterns and processes that link human and natural systems"
- "reciprocal interactions and feedbacks—both the effects of humans on the environment and the effects of the environment on humans"
- "how large-scale phenomena emerge from local interactions of multiple agents and in turn influence local system" [2]
1/
On the myth of an unreasonably precise #ReturnPeriod in #CoupledHumanAndNaturalSystems (CHANS) under the #ClimateChange and highly uncertain #TippingPoints "when earth systems suddenly tip into alternate semisteady states" [1]
"common #CognitiveBiases complicate the understanding of #probability [...] For instance, when lacking or considering historical data, people tend to base their estimations of probability on what they have recently experienced" [1]
Daniele de Rigo