Good morning. 🛖🏘️🏚️

4 March 2026

There are still a few days left before the spring equinox, yet the grass is already starting to green up. I mowed for the first time yesterday—not because the yard truly needed it, but to chop up the fallen leaves. I decided not to have anyone rake this year; the mower did the job well enough.

Time moves on as I sit here with my feet propped on the desk. It rushes forward with every heartbeat, leaving behind only a brief trace of the moment before. I can “predict” the future, but only in the small ways that fall under my control. For example, I predict that when I finish this sentence, I’ll reach for my coffee cup and take a sip. And there it is—exactly as expected. I must be clairvoyant. 🔮

Of course, none of us can truly see the future, but we can influence it. We can make reasonable guesses about what might happen based on the information we have—unless that information is distorted.

So much of what gets pushed at us these days is false or misleading. It’s been that way ever since the phrase “alternate facts” entered the conversation. But there are only facts; “alternate facts” don’t actually exist. Most people have active critical‑thinking skills and can sense when something sounds off or simply isn’t possible. But there’s a sizable minority who struggle with that. They seek out only the information that aligns with what they already believe, interpret anything ambiguous in a way that supports those beliefs, and remember only the details that confirm them. That pattern has a name: confirmation bias.

“The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge.” — Daniel J. Boorstin

“It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.” — Aristotle

“If people cannot write well, they cannot think well, and if they cannot think well, others will do their thinking for them.” — George Orwell

#photo #photography #morning #architecture #confirmation_bias #information

@futurphil Legit schon. Aber es geht hier hauptsächlich um bereits ausgestorbene Arten. Dass die Populationen und die genetische Vielfalt von unzähligen Arten regelrecht kollabiert, wird nur am Rande erwähnt. Ein Skeptiker wird sich wohl aber nur die Hauptaussage merken. #confirmation_bias

Verze #ChatGPT z 25. dubna 2025 byla tak podlézavá, že některým lidem potvrzovala jejich bludy. Konfirmace čehokoliv je podle mého velkou slabinou současných chatbotů. A rozumný člověk by od nich měl chtít spíš oponenturu, než potvrzení toho, co si myslí. Neptej se: "Proč mám pravdu?" ale: "Proč pravdu nemám?"

Jsi vyvolený, řekl ChatGPT aneb Když AI plete lidem hlavu
https://www.wired.cz/clanky/jsi-vyvoleny-rekl-chatgpt-aneb-kdyz-ai-plete-lidem-hlavu

#ai #confirmation_bias #wired

Jsi vyvolený, řekl ChatGPT aneb Když AI plete lidem hlavu | WIRED

Děsivě působí svědectví lidí, kteří popisují, jak jejich blízcí propadli vábení jakéhosi nadpozemského vědomí, jež k nim promlouvalo skrze ChatGPT.

WIRED CZ
Aber hier regnet es doch! Der häufigste Bestätigungsfehler in der Klimakrise

Widerlegt das Auftreten von Starkregen die Dringlichkeit der Klimakrise? Dr. Michael Blume erklärt, was sich durch die Erhitzung ändert.

Natur des Glaubens