8a EDT Aug 24- We are watching a tropical wave near the Windward Islands with a medium (40%) chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next couple of days. It is likely to bring locally heavy rains & gusty winds through Mon for parts of the Windward/Leeward Islands #AL99 https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1959584915093069993
2p Aug 23- A tropical storm is expected to form over the SW Atlantic by tonight (#AL90) and move northward. Elsewhere, some development is possible with a tropical wave (#AL99), and locally heavy rain & gusty winds are expected Sunday & Monday across the Windward Islands. https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1959316391066005699
2am 8/23: The system well SSE of #Bermuda (#AL90) is expected to develop this weekend. There is also a low chance of formation with the system located over 1,000 miles east of the Windward Islands (#AL99). More info: hurricanes.gov https://x.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1959123827000053932

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA

#TropicalDepression19 #AL99 #Sara is still developing/organizing, and nearing a landfall, within next few hours. Storm system is expected to skim the coast S of #Yucatan peninsula. Risks to #Honduras #Guatemala #Nicaragua of high coastal surges, and inland flash floods related to rain.

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfmexico #NHC #NOAA

#TropicalDisturbance1 #AL99 keeps getting better organized, is candidate to tropical cyclone, with #Sara as its named storm moniker. 90% chance within 48hrs forecast persists. The system now fills the center and West of Caribbean Sea.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/car/GEOCOLOR/1000x1000.jpg

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA #Honduras #Belize #Mexico

#TropicalDisturbance1 #AL99 keeps developing and getting better organized. . Now it stands at 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48hrs.

A reminder that the incoming #tRump regime wants to do away with most public services such as #NWS and NOAA, turn them into a private as-subscription service, unavailable for the common citizens whose taxes have built the vast infrastructure, assets, training and hiring of expert personnel. #USPol #TurdReich #GOP #MAGAts

#FLwx #Florida #AL99

NWS NHC Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

…Caribbean Sea & the Gulf of Mexico:

Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99):
Showers & thunderstorms continue in associated with a broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, & a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend...

* Formation chance thru 48 hours: high...80%
* Formation chance thru 7 days: high...90%
$$
Forecaster Bucci