10Billion.org

@10billion
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Building a global coalition across dividing lines for a world that works for all of us. 10 billion lives depend on our ability to cooperate. #10Billion

At the Hinge of History: An open letter to young people worldwide. Facing climate, AI & inequality requires realism, not illusions. Your agency is crucial. Time to organize & build the future. Read the call to action:

Read the call to action:

https://open.substack.com/pub/10billion/p/the-hinge-of-history-an-open-letter?r=2063al&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

#OpenLetter #Future #ClimateChange #AIethics #Inequality #Youth #CollectiveAction #SystemsChange #10Billion

The Hinge of History: An Open Letter to the Architects of Tomorrow

Facing Reality, Rejecting Illusion, Forging Our Future in the Decisive Century

Our reality isn't fixed. Explore the "conceptual earthquakes"—from Agriculture & Writing to Quantum Physics—that reshaped humanity, & the future leaps (AI, Consciousness, Energy) that could define life for 10 billion humans in this century.

Read: https://10billion.substack.com/p/the-ideas-that-transformed-humanity

#HistoryOfIdeas #Futurism #ParadigmShift #10Billion

The Ideas That Transformed Humanity and Those That Await Us

From taming fire to transcending flesh: how conceptual revolutions have repeatedly rewritten what is possible, and why the most profound realizations may lie just beyond our imagination

10Billion.org

New 10 Billion Talks Episode: We're diving into the complex topic of the recent US global tariffs.

What are the motivations? How are different countries responding? What does this mean for international relations and the global economy? Join Shannon and Joel for a clear explanation.

"Trade Wars Explained: US Tariffs"

Spotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/10-billion/episodes/Trade-Wars-Explained-US-Tariffs--The-Worlds-Response-e31gr45

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hO8CbeMvGA

#10BillionTalks #Podcast #Video #Trade #Tariffs #Economics #Geopolitics #GlobalEconomy #TradeWars

Trade Wars Explained: US Tariffs & The World's Response by 10 Billion Talks

Trade wars are heating up as the US imposes major global tariffs. Why now? And what does it mean for you and the world? Join Shannon and Joel on 10 Billion Talks as they unpack the reasons behind the tariffs, explore how nations like China and the EU are responding, and discuss the potential impact on the economy and the future global order. Get the clear, concise breakdown you need to understand this critical issue shaping our shared future.

Spotify for Creators

The next decade (2025-2035) is a critical inflection point. Converging crises - Climate, AI, Geopolitics, Economy, Trust - are creating a 'polycrisis'.

History offers a compass to navigate this crucible moment. Choices made now will shape centuries. Read the deep dive:

https://open.substack.com/pub/10billion/p/the-crucible-decade-why-2025-2035?r=2063al&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

#CrucibleDecade #Polycrisis #Future #History #ClimateCrisis #AI

The Crucible Decade: Why 2025-2035 Will Forge Humanity's Future

History's Compass for Navigating Climate, AI, and Geopolitical Convergence.

Imagine a world with 42% more scientific breakthroughs! 💡 That's the potential we're losing by not giving everyone a fair shot at innovation. Talent is everywhere, but opportunity isn't – creating "Lost Einsteins & Marie Curies," especially among women & those from poorer backgrounds.

This limits human potential, economic growth & problems solved. Steps like mentoring & exposure can unlock this potential. Let's build a future for all! #Innovation #Opportunity #Growth

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2025/03/innovations-unseen-frontier-xavier-jaravel

Innovation’s Unseen Frontier

Democratizing innovation can harness untapped talent and spur economic growth

IMF

We have god-like technology yet struggle with the global cooperation needed for survival (climate, pandemics, WMDs). We argue for focusing on common ground NOW. Future generations depend on our choices today.

Read on why this moment is critical:

https://open.substack.com/pub/10billion/p/our-childrens-question-what-did-you?r=2063al&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

#FutureOfHumanity #ExistentialRisk #ClimateCrisis #GlobalCooperation #Ethics #10Billion #Legacy #Sustainability

Our Children's Question: What Did You Do When You Knew?

Humanity's Decisive Moment. The Legacy We Cannot Escape.

Analysis of the "Great Rupture": The current US-China economic conflict (tariffs >145%!) isn't just a trade war; it's a geopolitical earthquake marking the end of Pax Americana & the chaotic emergence of a multipolar order.

We explore economic shocks, military consolidation, technological bifurcation, potential "Third Way" (EU/AU/ASEAN), and principles for navigating this new era.

https://10billion.substack.com/p/the-great-rupture-beyond-tariffs

#Geopolitics #USChina #Decoupling #GlobalOrder #Economics #TradeWar #Strategy #Analysis

The Great Rupture: Beyond Tariffs, Forging a New World Order in the Shadow of Pax Americana

We're witnessing more than a trade war; it's a tectonic shift demanding new understanding. Navigating this era of decoupling is paramount for global stability and realizing a future for all humankind.

10Billion.org

US tariff pause: Why the shift? Economic modeling (via The Conversation) showed the plan risked a huge hit: 2.4% fall in US real consumption & 2.7% job loss in 2025. The "pause" applies a 10% baseline tariff for many but keeps 125% on China & 25% on CAN/MEX. While less damaging, this new plan still projects a 1.9% US consumption drop. It's likely a tactical retreat forced by economic reality, not a full strategy change. Uncertainty remains high. #TradePolicy #Economics

https://theconversation.com/this-chart-explains-why-trump-backflipped-on-tariffs-the-economic-damage-would-have-been-huge-253632

This chart explains why Trump backflipped on tariffs. The economic damage would have been huge

The losses under Trump’s original tariff plan would have been significant. But even after the latest policy U-turn, the costs to the US will still be high.

The Conversation

When I was denied my 3rd visa despite full scholarship, I wasn't alone. Millions of brilliant minds face invisible walls: nationality-based rejection, degrees dismissed by geography, and financial barriers that make dreams impossible.

Women from conservative backgrounds battle twice as hard—only to hit age restrictions.

This isn't just unfair—it's a global loss of innovation when we need it most. We must build systems where talent, not passports, determines futures.

https://10billion.substack.com/p/the-price-of-dreams-when-your-passport

The Price of Dreams: When Your Passport Matters More Than Your Potential

How geography determines destiny for millions of brilliant minds—and why that must change

10Billion.org

New model quantifies Trump's tariff impact (w/ retaliation):

US GDP hit hardest: -$438B (-1.45%), costing avg household $3487/yr

Mexico GDP -2.24%, Canada GDP -1.65%.

Global GDP falls $500B (0.43%).

Most nations lose; NZ/Brazil gain slightly.

Key dynamic: Retaliation hurts US GDP more ($438B loss vs $149B loss if others don't retaliate), but helps other states mitigate their own losses.

Data via The Conversation: https://theconversation.com/new-modelling-reveals-full-impact-of-trumps-liberation-day-tariffs-with-the-us-hit-hardest-253320

#TradeWar #Tariffs #Economy #GDP #Economics

New modelling reveals full impact of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs – with the US hit hardest

Modelling of how Trump’s tariffs will hit global trade suggests the US will be the biggest loser – while a few nations may emerge as surprising winners.

The Conversation
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When I was denied my 3rd visa despite full scholarship, I wasn't alone. Millions of brilliant minds face invisible walls: nationality-based rejection, degrees dismissed by geography, and financial barriers that make dreams impossible.

Women from conservative backgrounds battle twice as hard—only to hit age restrictions.

This isn't just unfair—it's a global loss of innovation when we need it most. We must build systems where talent, not passports, determines futures.

https://10billion.substack.com/p/the-price-of-dreams-when-your-passport