2022-02-22: Where I tried to explain - 2 days before the Kremlins launched their onslaught against #Ukraine - why someone who's called #communist by far right goons thinks progressives ought to stand with Ukraine, and even supports #NATO . bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lcb5jbueho2q

2022-03-02: Early on, I became concerned about the similarities between the 1939 #WinterWar and the Kremlin's full scale invasion of #Ukraine. Sad to say, we didn't learn enough from history. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lcazbqvj2j23

2022-03-08: How did it feel to live next door to Russia, and being a Finnish reservist. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lcawha24ep2h

2022-03-17: An explainer: How the Finnish Defence Forces, or in fact Finland, would fight if invaded. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lcarvzdp5y2h

2022-04-19: An illustrative example of Finnish #ColdWar political maneuvering, whose #1 goal was to avoid Soviet occupation or Soviet-sponsored Communist takeover. And #Finlandization. President Koivisto was much sneakier operator than his public image suggested. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lcafqqpil32b

2022-05-03: Why I thought NATO membership would've eventually become inevitable for Finland, even when I was against joining any time soon. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lca7kfazhv2w

2022-05-09: My translation of comments by one early Finnish volunteer to Ukraine, and some observations gathered from here and there. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lca4zbzgps2b

2022-09-12: Translated to English my reasoning: why I turned from a #NATO skeptic to a supporter, and why Finland needed NATO. TL;DR: for deterrent, to *prevent* war. Because only very strong signals seem to penetrate the circle of yes-men surrounding the Kremlin. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbvv4il2bi2j

2022-09-26: I didn't believe Putin would use #nuclear weapons, despite his lackeys making bloodcurdling threats every day that ended in -y. Still don't believe they would... at least if the opponent also has nukes. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbtjgypgfh2x

2022-09-27: More on why #nuclear weapons aren't war-winning weapons, and on bombing civilians and Douhetism more generally. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbv2dkghfa2q

2022-10-17: How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Live With The Bomb. Or some evidence that convinced me that #nuclear escalation is far less likely than many seem to believe. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbry73juii26

2023-01-26: Why I've believed since 2022 that Western democracies should've started serious preparations for direct military intervention in #Ukraine ASAP - and still believe that. A case study on how to entice the Kremlin to negotiate. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbostlbhpq2f

2023-02-06: Another case study from #WW2. Why #solidarity matters, and why democrats worldwide ought to defend democracies worldwide. #democracy bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yxj5dhr6fys4ots3wifc3t6n/post/3lbodudy5rm2b

2025-02-21: In response to USA demonstrating conclusively that it cannot be relied upon, and rising tide of isolationist far right & other parties in European Great Powers, my still-standing recommendation to #NB8 is to develop independent deterrent capabilities. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lionlvli4226

2025-06-16: A thread on early #ColdWar Finnish intelligence. Yes, it was wild. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lrpjdf52s222

2025-06-27: an addendum to above. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lsm5j24ozs2e

2025-07-31: Some notes on operation Stella Polaris, the 1944 transfer of Finnish intelligence (especially #SIGINT) archives, material, and personnel to Sweden. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lvakxr4wwc24

2025-08-12: A thread on the capabilities of Finnish #WW2 #SIGINT. They were instrumental in stopping the Soviet assault of 1944, and saving Finland. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lw6mgzo5qs2u

2025-10-11: And one of the wilder plot twists in the wild, wild history of Finnish intelligence. A retired agent wins big in lottery, uses money to fund a private counterintelligence operation. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m2vzpvb7t22o

2025-11-19: Finnish military intelligence knew in early 1942 that Nazi Germany was going to lose the war. Unfortunately, getting out of the war was problematic. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m5xwke7hjs2r

2025-08-06: The basic problem of defending Finland, illustrated on a map. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lvqfneh64c2j

2025-08-22: A thread on Finnish Defence Forces' capabilities during the #ColdWar. (Not great.) bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lwy25cclzk26

2025-08-22: Times change, but the geography doesn't. Russian operational plans regarding Finland are likely quite similar-ish to what they've been since 1809. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3lwy5w6sews25

2025-11-03: A thread illustrating #Finlandization with an example from the history of computer #gaming in the 1980s. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m4ptlmfh3k2b

2025-12-01: Read a great book about the "Finnish Question" in Sweden's foreign policy between 1809-2009; thread mentions how Sweden helped Finland during the Cold War, especially by threatening to join NATO if USSR got too handsy with Finland. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m6w22afrks2z

2025-12-02: a thread about the FDF Soldier’s Guides, a book that is issued to every conscript and is also available in English. Contains a good short overview of Finnish security policy and, of course, the basic soldiering skills every conscript ought to master. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m6yk232k5k2l

2025-12-02: How the laws of war and rules of armed conflict are taught to Finnish conscripts. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m6z3m4kglk2l

2025-12-03: A thread on the Finnish #Defence Forces training system: how it mass manufactures conscripts into combat-ready wartime units. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m73epugxxs2j

2025-12-12: A great open access paper about deterrence - and the fundamental differences between conventional deterrence (or non-nuclear WMDs, although they aren't explicitly mentioned) and nuclear deterrence. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3m7sdgpclhs24

2025-12-22: A thread about Swedish clandestine military cooperation with NATO and USA during the early to mid #ColdWar , which was very extensive and without doubt influenced the Swedish decision to stop its advanced #nuclear weapons program. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3malaahouj22x

2025-12-22: The #Soviet war plan for Northern #Scandinavia - Finland, Sweden, Norway - in case of war with #NATO during late #ColdWar. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3maljx5gv2c2o

2025-12-23: Would the current Finnish government abandon #Ukraine to win the 2027 elections? One hopes it won't, but there are reasons to fear it could. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3mao5lfju4v2z

2025-12-29: With Finland withdrawing from the Ottawa Convention banning anti-personnel landmines, I wrote an explainer thread how mines have been and would be used by the FDF. #disarmament #strategy bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3mb4oy47u7n2z

2026-01-16 Demonstrated the problem of logging roads, which make Finnish forests more permeable to an invader than many think. This was one of the big reasons why the FDF ultimately rejected, after considerable study, the strategy of guerrilla warfare. In the early 1960s. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3mckcs3frs22j

2026-02-05 A thread about my observations regarding the quality of Finnish reservists & one advantage amateurs possess: they are lovers of the art. Relevant to debates about #conscription - although Finland's system is a path-dependent result of our special circumstances. bsky.app/profile/jmko...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:l5qgtdxd462q6cz5hbt25edk/post/3me3w3uriss2h