@danirabbit
To the best of my knowledge, none of the regulations listed here: https://actonline.org/2025/01/14/the-abcs-of-age-verification-in-the-united-states/ is currently in effect, except for the Texan situation (in effect, but blocked by a court).
So I'd say if we are serious about what phrases mean, we need to distinguish between passed, enacted, and in effect.
I get that you can't implement things last minute, but I also don't see distros coordinating and discussing whether they should resist, and what form of resistance is possible, if any. Not even the small circle of the biggest upstream ones.
That type of coordinated discussion seems to be absent from the public space, but what isn't absent is developers and maintainers tossing around their favorite "cool implementation ideas".
I'd say this is what frustrates people and makes them talk about "complying in advance".
For the record: It is highly unethical to demand from others to violate laws in effect, risking the consequences that you have described.