From https://t.me/pravdaGerashchenko_en

Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of #Russia's war in #Ukraine:

◾️#Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the #US elections.

In the meantime, #Ukraine and #Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies.

Pravda_Gerashchenko_en

Ukrainian patriot. Advisor to Internal Affairs Minister (2021-2023). Institute of the Future founder.

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◾️ #Russia's primary focus is on discrediting #Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the #US elections to divide #Americans and increase instability.

◾️ During his visit to the #US, President #Zelensky met with President #Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates #Kamala_Harris and #Donald_Trump.

◾️ #Ukraine continues to destroy #Russian military depots and military logistics; #Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons.

◾️ #Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by #Russian allies - #Iran and #North_Korea. There are reports that the production of #Russian Shahed drones has exceeded #Russian original plans.

◾️ #Russia is intensifying its strikes on #Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate #Ukrainians,

and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for #Sumy and #Kharkiv. #Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of #Russian_KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well.

◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", #Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in #Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries,

including countries of #Africa. #Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate, which is very dangerous for this region.

◾️ In the coming month, the #Russians will probably try to solve the "#Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the #US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the #BRICS summit in #Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the #BRICS guests that #Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner.

Otherwise, the situation when a part of #Russia's territory is under #Ukrainian control (when #Putin had the intention to capture #Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for #Russia.

During August and September, #Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed, and will now try to counterattack our troops.

How the situation in the #Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that #AFU leaders will make.

◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months is the elections in #Moldova and #Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of #Russia and pro-#Russian forces is enormous.

◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from #Russia.

◾️#Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage.

◾️ Due to the escalation in the #Middle_East and the #US elections, #Ukraine is fading from the information field, which #Russia is actively using,

knowing that its crimes against #Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside #Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse.

The largest war in #Europe since the #Second_World_War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the #US elections.

The situation of strategic uncertainty will last, at least until November.

It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on #Ukraine and showing #Russia that the West does not withdraw its support.

I'd like to end with a reminder of these #Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

#ukraine #putinisamasskiller #putinisawarcriminal @kardinal691