@afilina
Russia has legal duality - the law on paper is one thing, the actual rules are another. Legally, homosexuality itself isn’t illegal but it’s illegal to “promote non-traditional sexual values”. But the law doesn’t matter because when they need, they arrest (as they did in clubs in Moscow) or even kill people for being homosexual (as they did in Chechnya). So we know 1) the formal law doesn’t really mean much, 2) when they want something, they just do it.
But with childlessness it’s a different because it’s about forcing women to do something rather than preventing them. One tool is propaganda, but few women are ready to get pregnant merely for the glory of Putin, so I suspect their methods will be based more on financial pressure - right now a soldier’s wife can get quite rich (in Russian terms), so they may for example add a bonus for soldier’s families where the woman is pregnant.
And I’m not in any way justifying Moscow or claiming they’re moving in the right direction, but it’s important to understand the mechanics of their state correctly because only then we can understand why they do what they do. For example, no sane person would join Russian army so we assumed they won’t be able to mobilise enough soldiers in 2022-2023… unless we saw that they recruit people who were for decades living at $100 per month and now are being offered $10k bonus.
@randahl