Long ago, Harlan Crow thought, "When I get really rich, I'm going to buy myself some really nice Hitler memorabilia and a Supreme Court justice. And maybe some dictator statues, for the garden."
Long ago, Harlan Crow thought, "When I get really rich, I'm going to buy myself some really nice Hitler memorabilia and a Supreme Court justice. And maybe some dictator statues, for the garden."
@ShadSterling @codinghorror @gknauss @jrivett @mattblaze
You may have been reading this blog post, or one referencing it: https://www.financialsamurai.com/proper-safe-withdrawal-rate/
In there, he points out a safe withdrawal rate should be 80% of the 10-year bond yield. At that time of writing it was under 1%, and he said someone would need about $30M to maintain a $150k income per year.
The bond yield currently sits at 3.4%, giving a withdrawal rate of 2.7%, which would be $816k per year if you had $30M invested.
Or going the other way, you need about $5.5M to generate $150k per year from investments without fear of going broke.
The main takeaway in his post is to be flexible year-to-year. And my takeaway is $30M is way too much to target if someone is looking to live off investments…and I have no qualms about a wealth tax on anything over $10M.
For those of you without cushy pensions, I'm sorry folks. The 4 percent rule is outdated. The rule was popularized in the 1990s. It is now unwise to follow the 4 percent rule as a proper safe withdrawal rate in retirement, especially if you are part of the FIRE movement. Instead, I highly recommend lowering your safe withdrawal rate for the first year or two after you retire, especially if you retire early. Retirement life will likely be much different than you expect. You may be filled with uncertainty and doubt. As a result, the proper safe withdrawal rate should
@ShadSterling @codinghorror @gknauss @jrivett @mattblaze
So we’re on the same page, that’s $150k of pure spending via investments, which is not the equivalent of $150k in paycheck income. Most of that (first $83k of gains if married filing jointly) is not taxed at all. And none of that would need to be saved since our hypothetical couple is done saving. It’s all for spending.
But yes, understand and agree with your overall point.
@codinghorror @helge @gknauss @jrivett @mattblaze
Jeff, is your argument that $999 M isn't enough incentive to create amazing things? Really?
N.B. the actual, real human beings who create actual, real amazing things almost NEVER get $999M.
@helge @codinghorror @gknauss @jrivett @mattblaze
Same. I'm giving him a chance to rethink that position, especially since $999M is not, empirically, the motivation for creating amazing things for 99.999% of the amazing things that have been created.
In fact, it's as irrational as saying "everyone who creates amazing things should get a poodle, b/c poodles are great and people need an incentive."
@helge @gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze There are single family homes that a worth more than a million. So, it should no longer be possible for single persons to own these?
(In fact, most buildings in mayor cities cost more than a million.)
@helge @gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze The whole point was: If living in your own property (or working on your own farm) should stay possible everywhere, the cap needs to allow that.
I'm not saying you can buy it in cash but you should be allowed to keep it once the last rate is paid.
PS: Not allowing billionaires to accumulate all the houses will directly make them more affordable.
@gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze Kinda funny..
Today i said about the same to folks visiting..
"Billionaires should not excist, it's not normal a single person is able to grab so much wealth"
@gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze
i like the concept but personally i think we should take it further and have no millionaires either
@gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze @Migueldeicaza No. The trophy has to be repeatable. Every time you earn another billion, you get a multiplier for your physical and digital trophies.
“I won capitalism” x 32
@gknauss @codinghorror @jrivett @mattblaze
The problem relies on how wealth is built, is not that they have cash around in those amounts, it’s stocks, participations, real state, and others.
How do you go about distributing that? Most is not real, but it relies on what others would pay for it, but now you give it for free altering market forces.
I’m not an economist, but perhaps someone else can add to that.
@gknauss
I also want a "I beat capitalism and all I got is a lousy t-shirt" t-shirt