Tackling the #ClimateCrisis is hard and there are many barriers to #Climate action.

My new research showcases how #ConservationAreas

a) have large quantifyable effects on #carbon #CO2 #emissions

b) impede individual #ClimateAction

c) turn the original idea of what #ConservationAreas were meant to be on its head

"Regulatory barriers to #ClimateAction: evidence from #ConservationAreas in England"

📰 http://bit.ly/3jIISli

I also reflect a bit on the idea of #Conservatism.

Regulatory barriers to climate action: evidence from conservation areas in England

654/2023 Thiemo Fetzer, Preserving heritage is an important part of maintaining collective identity for future generations. Yet, in the context of the climate crisis, it is imperative to understand to what extent there is a tangible trade-off between conserving “character” vis-a-vis averting the worst of climate change – a much more existential threat to those future generations. Studying data for more than half of the English housing stock, I show that conservation area status – a special area-based designation to preserve the unique character of a neighborhood – not to be confused with preservation of historic buildings – in England may be responsible for up to 3.2 million tons of avoidable CO2 emissions annually. Using a suite of micro-econometric methods and alternative identification strategies ranging from saturated specifications, border discontinuity, matching estimation and an instrumental variables approach leveraging World War II wartime destruction in London – I show that properties in conservation areas have a notable worse energy efficiency; experience lower investment in retrofitting and consume notably higher levels of energy owing to poor energy efficiency. Effect sizes are very consistent comparing engineering based energy consumption estimates with actual consumption data. Effects can be directly attributed to planning requirements for otherwise permitted development that only apply to properties by virtue of them being located inside a conservation area.

First: What are #ConservationAreas

Planning (Listed Building and Conservation Areas) Act 1990 defines conservation areas as

"areas of special architectural or historic interest, the character or appearance of which it is desirable to preserve or enhance”.

Local planning authorities have the statutory duty to identify, designate, preserve and enhance conservation areas while undertaking their planning duties.

Conservation Areas are nowadays NOT primarily about listed buildings.

Second: How many #ConservationAreas are there?

Around 10,000. I have data for around 7,500 of them with their exact boundaries.

These 7,500 cover 239 English local authorities.

They cover around 2 million residential properties or around 10% of the residential homes.

Its a big deal: in some places like #Islington more than 50% of the housing stock is covered by a #conservation area.

The bulk have been established prior to 1995, but there have been some new designations.

Third: Why do #ConservationAreas exist? A small detour into #History.

The 1960s saw the rapid rise of #car ownership. This marked the start of the #carbonization of our economy.

Urban redevelopment was pushed to make cities "ready for cars".

But people did not want roads cutting through their communities.

Conservation arose as *barrier* to this rapid change in the lived environment.

So: the origin can be traced to opposition against what would become a main driver of #ClimateChange.

Fourth: What has happened since? Well, #GlobalHeating and #ClimateChange are now a much bigger threat to the Lived Environment.

Its threatening the viability of life as we know it on this planet.

And so, #Conservatism that was expressed in the original idea behind #ConservationAreas -- to be a barrier to rapid change of the lived environment -- should now spring to #ClimateAction.

And many residents want to. But here is the snag. Conservation areas pose multiple barriers to #ClimateAction.

Fifth: I study millions of datapoints using careful research designs to show how *specific rules* applying to properties inside conservation areas are a barrier to #ClimateAction.

I show how they are directly responsible for excess #CO2 emissions.

This is NOT about listed buildings.

Many conservation areas include tons of properties and styles that can be found in other places. "Character" is a fuzzy concept.

But, you can NOT retrofit a home inside a conservation area as you would outside.

Sixth: I quantify for millions of properties.

a) the existing #retrofit gap of homes inside #ConservationAreas.

b) I show that this retrofit gap is widening because of the #planning restrictions

c) that there may be other knock on effects with planning processes for properties inside conservation areas clogging planning departments in local authorities.

So let me explain a bit how I do this as the research methodology is important and also cool.

Seventh: Research methodology. I employ about four different methods which all show similar results.

The easiest to explain is a matching approach. For each property that is physically located inside a #ConservationAreas, I find a comparison property that is also

a) within 500 m of the boundary

b) that is *identical* in terms of their built-form, construction age, listed building status, tenure, property type, council tax band

c) at least VERY similar in size, #rooms and property value.

Eighth: I then compare the #EnergyEfficiency and actual #EnergyConsumption data.

Well, how #EnergyEfficient are the properties inside?

This can be visuaized nicely as a regression discontinuity plot that @jburnmurdoch picked up for the Financial Times.

What this showcases is that inside #ConservationAreas properties use

a) around 1000 kWh more in natural gas and

b) around 200 kWh more in electricity (electric heating)

per year.

Where is this difference coming from?

Ninth: Why are properties inside #ConservationAreas less #EnergyEfficient ?

The comparison is based on like-for-like properties. I also zoomed in on areas where typically similar people live (demography).

A closer look at the data reveals what a very significant culprit is: a #retrofit gap that is particularly driven by three things

a) less wall #insulation
b) much worse #windows
c) fewer Solar PV installations.

Tenth: Has the #retrofit gap changed?

Yes, for the worse!

Dont get me wrong: properties outside conservation areas are also very energy #inefficient. But, there has been some improvement.

The rate of improvement outside #ConservationAreas is faster than inside. And so, I document that the retrofit gap actually has *widened*.

Conservation area properties are falling behind.

Now, why does that happen?

Well, because the planning restrictions pose additional barriers.

Final: The definition of "character" of a conservation area is rather a fuzzy one.

Yet, while the concept of what makes up character is rather fuzzy, the restrictions that come with conservation area status are sharp.

And they have social costs given the #ClimateCrisis.

True #Conservatism would reconnect with the original idea that #ConservationAreas serve as barrier to rapid change in the lived environment.

The #ClimateCrisis is such a threat. And so #ConservationAreas need a rethink.

I work with journalists who find easier ways to convey my research to broader audiences and I am grateful for these collaborations.

There is more in the pipeline as the #PoliticalEconomy of #ClimateAction is really important to understand.

You can follow my work on here or on http://www.trfetzer.com/climate-crisis-research/

Climate Crisis Research | Thiemo Fetzer

@fetzert We live in a #ConservationZone in the #YorkshireDales #NationalPark and old houses like ours there are limits to what we can do. Have double glazing, well insulated roof, multifuel stove and electric heaters, but solid limestone walls, no mains gas, not suitable for ground source or solar. Also a factor for some is that there are no fixed rules on planning for #ListedBuildings in #NationalParks and much is down to individual decisions from planning offers.. some are keen on solar/wind and others vehemently opposed.
@fetzert WHO is in the Planning Depts and who is influencing their decisions must also surely come into question as there seem to be variations in decisions depending on where those decisions are being made.
@fetzert and houses may be older.
@fetzert @JohnLoader6 Yeah, older houses are themselves more likely to be in a conservation area which makes the problem worse. Compound that with older houses being more likely to be rented out (and landlords have no motive for retrofit) and you wind up with properties that still have single glazing or little insulation.
@fetzert Yes, I was looking at getting solar installed last year and the wording was confusing so I asked the local council to give an unofficial clarification. (Our old council was very happy to do this). They refused, saying I needed to do ‘written advice about planning(85 quid)’ which requires diagrams and plans.
@fetzert @jburnmurdoch as someone who lives in #BanffNationalPark this is fascinating. Easy to speculate on a variety of reasons this may be happening but glad you’re shining a light on the subject. Some possible contributing factors: historical properties, tourism, higher costs to get contractors in conservation areas (distance, lack of general labour, access to supplies, etc). #Banff
@fetzert or a listed one. I lived in a semi which was listed but next door wasn't. My ex lives in a listed house with PVC windows