Scholz's refusal to agree even to allow others to send Leopard tanks now makes so little sense that it must be a reflection of some personal quirk: "I'm the mayor of Hamburg, and you cannot tell me what to do." Especially given that Germany has sent so much other lethal equipment.

I've written about some of the cultural weirdness in Germany around wars, and Russia. But really nothing - not the old historical phobias, not business links (corrupt or otherwise), not SPD pacifism - now explains why Scholz is doing so much damage to Germany's reputation, not to mention Europe's ability to defend itself.

this was the article:

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/germany-military-aid-ukraine-tanks-debate/671804/

Why Germans Are Arguing About Sending Tanks to Ukraine

The fight over which weapons to give Ukraine is really a disagreement about Germany.

The Atlantic
@anneapplebaum I think he must have had a bully in his youth. Now Putin is the bully he is afraid of, **irrationally**.
@anneapplebaum Do you think if the Royal Windsors changed back to their real family name Saxe Coborg, things would change?

@anneapplebaum

In many ways, sadly, this is merely continuity with #Merkel’s long years of similar behavior in past crises: https://post.news/article/2KcnIE7UfTv3y30V8IqJ8qxMx1G

Germany, Scholz, and Leopards: Merkeln Redux / Post.

@anneapplebaum
Skeletons in #scholz closet?
#wirecard #cumex #nordstream2
#Putin might have compromising material about him. Then his amnesia won’t help him much
@anneapplebaum as a German I feel embarrassed for my country, even if we do not want to send Leopards (yet), there is NO reasons why would not allow others to send them. It is also deeply hypocritical as DEU complaints about Swiss denial for DEU to reexport Swiss made ammunition to UKR
@globalnomad @anneapplebaum Has there been an official demand for reexport of Leos?
@anneapplebaum I generally do like our "weirdness" when it comes to war very much, but in this case withholding the equipment from Ukraine to act in this legitimate case of self defence is wrong. And Putin definitely will need no reason to escalate if he decides to do so.

@anneapplebaum The Bundeswehr policy by Merkel (and Guttenberg, the German George Santos) explains almost all of it tho.

Merkel's official (and subsequently, private) military-security advisor was Brigadier Vad, who nowadays is something like the leader of German vatniks.

It is rather disingenious (but symptomatic for our instant-gratification era) to forget about the last 15 years.

Merkel's domestic policies - the velvet-glove policies towards the extremist Right, her stuffing the police and intel agency leadership positions with people we now know to favour a Putin-style autocracy in Germany - laid the groundwork for the present mess.

If Scholz hadn't become Chancellor, the German state apparatus would now be as pro-Putin as Hungary's (another neofascist government that would not now exist without the generous support by the CDU/CSU, and Merkel in particular).

Merkel is very intelligent - certainly more than Scholz -, but she always thought #democracy was a weakness, and preferred a mock democracy where right-wing extremists called the shots - just like in Putin's Russia. The main problem was that she wanted to control the EU just like Putin controlled the RF - and be equal partners. But Putin wanted her to rule the EU in his stead. Obviously, their ambitions collided head-on. But if you look at people like Maaßen, De Maiziere, Vad and so on - basically every major-league Putin supporter in Germany, except Schröder, was part of Merkel's inner circle 10 years ago.

You want a lead for some investigative reporting?
Try the "Clausewitz-Gesellschaft".
Or ask Roderich Kiesewetter how he gets along with his drinking buddy Johannes Varwick these days, and how come he never noted that the elite club of "geopolitical analysts" he belongs to has been a Putinist 5th column for years.

German politics is a show these days. A shitshow if there ever was one.
At least we'll be producing Gepard ammunition in half a year, instead of not being permitted by the fucken Swiss to provide it to Ukraine...

@anneapplebaum no need to dig deep, the SPD is beholden to Russia. They have been working for 25 years now to deepen the ties with Russia for the sake of cheap gas and oil.

@anneapplebaum

As a German, I'm convinced that the power of the self-proclaimed pacifists in his party (i.e. Mützenich, Stegner) is heavily underestimated and -investigated.

These people are in essence unwavering in their propaganda narrative of "poor Russia good, rotten West/US/NATO bad".

They were steadfast in telling this lie despite Russian war crimes in Georgia + Syria, Russia's open meddling in US elections, Brexit referendum and Putin's goals to destroy the EU and rebuild the UdSSR.

@proscience I think the allegations against absolutist pacifists for being Putin stooges is often a little too simplistic. There are genuine libs who value pacifism above all else to the point of essentially demanding self-sacrifice and surrender to bullies.

There are of course also plenty of (sadly, often "leftist") "anti-imperialists" who completely ignore that Russia is engaging in plenty imperialism itself, including the invasion of Ukraine, rather than being the victim of US imperialism.

@anneapplebaum

@alan @anneapplebaum

To your 1st paragraph: Absolute pacifists do exist but the ones who vocally /claim/ to be in the debate around Russia's genocide against Ukraine are not.

100% on your 2nd paragraph but people like them who haven't cared one bit that Russia systematically oppresses and murders opposition, exploits their own citizens, fosters corruption and, as you wrote, is a prime example of imperialism for hundreds of years until this very day disqualifies them as decent people.

@anneapplebaum personal quick or personal corruption? 🤨

@anneapplebaum And he is still saying in speeches that Germany supports Ukraine. I‘m feeling bad to be German these days. Us not sending stuff is one thing, but not allowing others is just another level! Also still saying stuff like not doing it alone…

Maybe it is like with the orange president. Likely that Putin has leverage. But as Scholz was elected despite all his scandals shows that he doesn‘t need to fear that unless it is really bad.

@anneapplebaum Alternative explanation in NZZ: if #Leopard2 tanks are donated to #Ukraine by Germany or other countries, they cannot be replaced timely with newly manufactured Leos, only by US tanks on stock, so German military industry would be losing ground. While not being any more noble, this explanation seems more plausible, IMHO. https://www.nzz.ch/international/kampfpanzer-leopard-2-us-ruestungsinteressen-lassen-scholz-zoegern-ld.1722377
Kampfpanzer Leopard 2: US-Rüstungsinteressen lassen Scholz zögern

Bisher wurde die Lieferung von Leopard 2 an die Ukraine immer unter dem militärischen Aspekt diskutiert. Doch mit Waffenlieferungen sind auch rüstungspolitische Interessen verbunden. Hier gehen deutsche und amerikanische Sichtweisen auseinander.

Neue Zürcher Zeitung
@AlphaCephei @anneapplebaum
In 1st view, this sounds like a good, alternative explanation for German hesitation of #freetheleopards.
By 2nd view, it doesn't fit to the way, Germany acts since the ramping phase with Russian troops in Belarus since end of 2021. At that time Germany refused delivery of #Strela anti tank missiles and after the invasion #Leopard1 which are stored by about 100 in German warehouses.
It's a matter of historically wrong understanding of 🇷🇺 geostrategic goals by #SPD
@stpatrick @anneapplebaum Note that before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Gemany was still following the doctrine to not deliver weapons to crisis areas, in line with Anne's article. This, however, has radically changed, Germany is ranking 3rd behind US and UK in Ukraine weapon supplies.
@stpatrick @anneapplebaum It could even be that Pistorius is telling the truth, that there is no broad coalition in Europe for Leo deliveries and that the Polish PiS party has exploited a false claim to actually wanting to deliver Leos as a bait for right-wing anti-German resentments (would bot be the first time). They have not even yet sent an official export request. https://twitter.com/weegeedutchie/status/1616733090176434176?s=61&t=-mzNQ6aVXl4OgzpgXabAaA
WG ○ 🇳🇱🇩🇪🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 on Twitter

“How Germany became the scapegoat of Europe - the Leopard saga. A story of false narratives, desinformation and outright hate. Thread”

Twitter
@stpatrick @anneapplebaum I'm all in favor of delivering the tanks to Ukraine and there are more Germans pro such deliveries than con. However, the explanations that Scholz is afraid of the nuclear threat or on Russian payroll or that Germany is hampered by its history are too simple, far-fetched and outdated, respectively. There must be a better reason. Scholz is not totally stupid.