Why do scratch cards feel like a good idea when the math clearly says they’re not?
New podcast episode explores how intuition fails us when probabilities get extreme. https://open.spotify.com/episode/5sQrIPz5DEJQ2mE4EvvFzb?si=zNWRt-fHSkCjxjV7P5Z9ww
#BehavioralEconomics #EmberhartJourney #PositiveParenting #KindnessRocks#DecisionMaking #RiskPerception #Podcast
May the Odds Never Be in Your Favor: Probabilities of Winning Christmas Scratch Cards

Emberhart Podcast · Episode

Spotify

We’re excited to embark on this project, and hope the results will provide new insights into public responses to disputed detection events, with crucial implications for science/risk communication in astrobiology, as well as for post-detection communication strategies and protocols.”

Research led by Andreas Schwarz

https://www.tu-ilmenau.de/en/universitaet/fakultaeten/fakultaet-wirtschaftswissenschaften-und-medien/profil/institute-und-fachgebiete/institut-fuer-medien-und-kommunikationswissenschaft/forschung/international-risk-crisis-and-science-communication-research-group/team/priv-doz-dr-habil-andreas-schwarz
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9033-9662 #ORCID
Handbook: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9781394180844.ch1

#Astrodon #Uncertainty #RiskPerception #ScienceNarratives #MediaAnalysis #Discovery #SETI

Priv.-Doz. Dr. habil. Andreas Schwarz | Technische Universität Ilmenau

Technische Universität Ilmenau
Recent #preprint just submitted for peer-review: We ran an online survey to find out how people (N = 537) interpreted 22 different Norwegian probability phrases. https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/4ngja #risk #RiskPerception
#ProbabilityPhrases
OSF

Our presentation about #RegisteredReports from last week. We wanted to introduce this research and publication approach to those of our colleagues who may have been unaware of it. We gave three examples from projects we've recently been involved in.
https://osf.io/skdwj
#OpenScience #ReproducibiliTea #ReplicationCrisis #CognitiveDissonance #Personality #RiskPerception

I presented a poster at a conference today, but I don't think a single person saw it! 😭 Please take a look to justify the resources I put into it.

We compared how people lining up for COVID-19 testing in 2020 compared to the average population. We found that test-takers saw the risk as lower, were more exposed to infection and took fewer precautions.

#CovidResearch #CovidPsychology #PerceivedRisk #RiskPerception, #InfectionExposure #InfectionControl #InfectionControlMeasures #AcademicChatter

We just had a #RegisteredReport get an "in principle acceptance" from @peercommunityin! https://osf.io/p5sjb

This is my first first-authored RR, along with brilliant colleagues Eilin Erevik & Sebastian Bjørkheim. We are going to test whether #big5personality measures taken before the pandemic predict COVID-19 #RiskPerception and #HealthBehaviour during the pandemic.

I'm enthusiastic about the RR format, and I look forward to running the analysis and completing the report!

Nina Vaupotič explored the psychological drivers behind people's #riskperception of various environmental #pollutants across 5 European countries at #IAPS2024Conference. From #microplastics to #underwaternoise, the data reveals high public concern, highlighting the need for zero pollution frameworks like #SourceToSeas.
Concerned about eating microplastics? 🌮🥤 @leoniefian presented her newest study at at #IAPS2024 on the public’s perceptions of #microplastics in the food chain, which individual factors predict #riskperception and #policysupport in that context, and what it has to do with #climatechange.

About a year into the pandemic we asked people standing in line for COVID-19 testing about how they had thought about risk and precautions before they sought testing. Compared to a representative sample, the test-station sample had seen the risk as lower, had more frequently been in potentially infectious situations, and they had complied less with infection control measures.

Thread 1/2
#research #psychology #RiskPerception #RiskAssessment #compliance #health #HealthBehaviour #COVID19

A new study shows that people don't overestimate the frequency of dramatic #causesofdeath because of greater #media coverage. Deaths in the personal environment are more important for the #riskperception: http://go.tum.de/660755

#mortalityrisk

📷A. Heddergott

People don’t overestimate the frequency of dramatic causes of death

A TUM study has disproved the decades-old assumption that people overestimate the risk of dying from a dramatic cause of death.