New preprint: "The Largest Crop Production Shocks: Magnitude, Causes and Frequency"

Large #CropFailures happen regularly around the world, threatening #FoodSecurity. We analyzed sixty years of global crop production data and found that every country has experienced major crop losses. #Climate events like droughts cause most severe disruptions, with some African nations losing up to eighty percent of production. While global crop shocks above five percent are rare, regional disruptions occur frequently. These findings show our food system faces regular large-scale threats.

https://eartharxiv.org/repository/view/10133/

Climate Extremes as the Norm

"In the absence of effective global climate mitigation actions, we may thus witness a qualitative regime shift from a world dominated by individual climate-related hazards and impacts to one where compound occurrences become the norm."
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Messori, G., Muheki, D., Batibeniz, F., Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., & Thiery, W. (2025). Global mapping of concurrent hazards and impacts associated with climate extremes under climate change. Earth's Future, 13, e2025EF006325. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006325
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025EF006325
#Fossilfuels #impacts #CompoundHazards #ClimateExtremes #RegimeShift #bushfires #ExtremeHeat #floods #droughts #CropFailures #climate #hypernormalisation

"Crops will fail," I've said,
wishing it's me who's crazy,
and not the whole world.

I should ditch the future tense,
now that such tense truth presents.

#tanka #haiku #senryu #poem #SmallPoem #ShortPoem #climate #ClimateChange #ClimateDenial #collapse #food #FoodInsecuity #FoodSecurity #CropFailures #crops

https://www.euronews.com/green/2024/10/11/as-england-suffers-one-of-its-worst-ever-harvests-ever-what-could-disappear-from-shop-shel

Humans have A/C
To ease stress in deadly heat.
Food crops sadly don't.

#haiku #senryu #ShortPoem #SmallPoem #climate #heat #ExtremeHeat #AirConditioning #famine #collapse #CropFailures #FoodSecurity

Cereal crops decimated by Europe's heatwave

https://www.thegrocer.co.uk/sourcing/cereal-crops-decimated-by-europes-heatwave/681361.article

The 2023 European cereal harvest is set to be its lowest since 2007 – at 256 million tonnes, some 9.5% lower than the five-year average of 283 million tonnes, European farming organization Copa Cogeca said this week.

Harvests in Portugal, Spain and Italy, where temperatures have regularly topped 40°C in July, are expected to be hardest hit by the heatwave.

#cropfailures #gettingworse #climatecrisis #foodchaincollapse #governmentinaction #bribery #starvation #climatedisplacement

Rampant #heatwaves threaten #FoodSecurity of entire planet, scientists warn

After hottest day ever, researchers say #GlobalHeating may mean future of #CropFailures on land and ‘silent dying’ in the oceans
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/21/rampant-heatwaves-threaten-food-security-of-entire-planet-scientists-warn
#ClimateCrisis #Environment #Food #Health #Sustainability #AgeofExtinction