A good review of reasons insurance companies are pulling back from insuring companies that lean on generative AI. Point 4, "The main problem is not just the error, but the incentive not to see it" is especially damning: use of AI not only obscures audit trails, it sets up perverse incentives against accountability, pushing costs and risk to other parts of an organization, its customers, or society. The net result is that whatever "local" advantages AI may provide turn into downstream risk that cannot be easily accounted for. Insurance companies are (rightly) allergic to this state of affairs.

Another example of how (whole)-systems thinking is very helpful for parsing the effects of technology changes like this.

https://freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/89367

#AI #GenAI #GenerativeAI #LLMs #AgenticAI #GPT #ChatGPT #Claude #Gemini #ActuarialScience #insurance
If No One Pays for Proof, Everyone Will Pay for the Loss

This post was initially written in French, Si personne ne paie pour la preuve, tout le monde paiera pour le sinistre Let’s start with a truism. In ordinary life, just as in economic life, we have to make decisions without ever knowing everything. Every decision involves some uncertainty, and therefore some risk. Some risks are … Continue reading If No One Pays for Proof, Everyone Will Pay for the Loss →

Freakonometrics

📢 Happening today!

From actuarial science to financial crime and AI — join us for a talk with Mark Griffin, former actuary turned thriller author of The Mortality Thief.

Risk, insurance, governance, and how AI is reshaping decision-making.

Free event 👇
https://www.meetup.com/rome-r-users-group/events/313218192

#ActuarialScience #RiskManagement #AI #Insurance #Data

Photos from the Fort Wayne Actuarial and Data Science Picnic 🍔 🌭 , on the #PurdueFortWayne 🐘 campus today.
https://photos.app.goo.gl/nNZZ5RiwYEpAVDw48
#ActuarialScience #DataScience #Purdue
Oklahoma Has Nation’s Highest Average Homeowners Insurance Premiums

Oklahoma Insurance Commissioner Glen Mulready continues to misrepresent Oklahoma’s insurance model, masking statutory quirks that fetishize free market economics and cost Oklahomans millions of dollars.

Oklahoma Watch
How GLP-1s Are Breaking Life Insurance

Patients look healthy on paper. Two years later, they're high-risk again.

GLP-1 Digest
THE EXPERT EDGE BY ZPONZ: Expert in Actuarial Science  
Alan Hamlin Professor of Management at Southern Utah University (43 years) focusing on International Business, Government and Business, Sales Management, and Ethics. Experienced management consultant (26 years) and legal expert witness (21 years). Also experienced in delivering various business classes at universities overseas for international students, both live as well as online.
#ZPONZ #ZPONZApp #ActuarialScience
Mortality in First Eight Months of 2024 2% Higher Than Predicted - Actuaries Digital

In their latest article, the Mortality Working Group shares excess mortality analysis for the first eight months of 2024. In summary For the first eight months of 2024, against a baseline that includes anticipated COVID-19 deaths: total mortality was 2% higher than predicted; COVID-19 mortality was 70% higher than predicted; Non-COVID respiratory mortality was 8% […]

Actuaries Digital

APPLY NOW for a CANSSI Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowship!
#statistics #biostatistics #actuarialscience #datascience

✅ 2 years
✅ $70,000+/year
✅ Comprehensive statistics-focused research & training

Get the details:
https://canssi.ca/program/distinguished-postdoctoral-fellowships/

CANSSI Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowships | Programs | CANSSI

CANSSI Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowships provide comprehensive training for postdoctoral fellows. Learn more about this CANSSI flagship program.

100-year flood (Hydrology 💧)

A 100-year flood is a flood event that has on average a 1 in 100 chance of being equaled or exceeded in any given year. The 100-year flood is also referred to as the 1% flood. For coastal or lake flooding, the 100-year flood is generally expressed as a flood elevation or depth, and may include wave effects. For river systems, ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100-year_flood

#100YearFlood #Hydrology #FloodControl #FloodInsurance #ActuarialScience #ExtremeValueData

100-year flood - Wikipedia

Missed #SFU Actuarial Science professor Jean-François Bégin's talk last month about #financialmodelling? Watch on YouTube to understand how we can use mathematical and statistical techniques to gain insights into future financial scenarios and navigate the complexities of financial markets. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUm88mmXtZE #SFUStatistics #SFUScience #financialmodels #statistics #actuarialscience
Cafe Scientifique: From Data to Dollars: Market Modelling

YouTube