I'm now going to refer to Oma as 🌀 Severe Subtropical Storm Ex-Tropical Cyclone Oma (I decided to use my own Tropical Cyclone Scale instead of the Original SSHWS to fall xack on when storms go subtropical since ATCS doesn't do Subtropical Cyclones).

The Bureau of Meteorology is calling it a Subtropical Low however it still has 50kt winds (10min) which means it still has Category 2 winds on the ATCS (Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale)

Honestly I've contacted the Bureau before with the question on why they don't make a extension of ATCS for Subtropical Systems, but they replied with "It is a good idea but hard to put in action.".

As well there have been Subtropical Cyclones that have landfelled with bordering on Cat 3 and tdey were treating it as if it were a Tropical Depression it is dangerous.

Global Tropical Cyclone Summary:

--- Two Active Tropical or Subtropical Cyclones---

--- Two Active Tropical Cyclone Basins ---

North West Pacific Basin - Typhoon Wutip

Australian Region Basin - Severe Subtropical Storm Ex-Tropical Cyclone Oma

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I think the biggest reason Tropical Cyclone Oma struggled getting up above category 3 so far despite many conditions being right for intensification was the size of the system, and the multiple times it was quasi stationary.

It stirred up the ocean surface which killed its energy, also despite getting to Cat 3/Cat 2 (Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale/Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) the Eyewall never really seem to develop and kept collapsing which means it was not being very efficient at extracting energy from the Ocean surface.

That being said the system is still active and expected to reintensify so can't be rulled out becoming intense, though kinda bumed that it no longer looks like it'll make landfall when I was looking forward to a chase, and the inner part of the state needs an intense landfall to get rain over the range to drought striken areas.

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TC Oma remains Cat 1 but likely to intensity to Cat 2 Friday 22 ― ForceThirteenAU https://youtu.be/-bBvmdbH8Rs

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The 2 Active Tropical Cyclones in the Globe, Severe Tropical Storm/Typhoon Wutip (In the North West Pacific) and Tropical Cyclone Oma (In the South West Pacific/Australian Eastern Region)

I am currently under Oma the wind is already starting to pick up.

https://mastodon.starrevolution.org/@Codeawayhaley/101629919126749920

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2 Tropical Cyclones Active in the globe.

Tropical Cyclone Oma in the South West Pacific, Australian Eastern Region.

Current Intensity:

2.5T | Dvorak Technique Score (Australian BoM).

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone | Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale.

Tropical Storm | Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

Typhoon Wutip in the North West Pacific (Oma's twin)

Current Intensity:

3.9T | Advanced Dvorak Technique Score (CIMSS).

Severe Tropical Storm | Japanese Meteorology Agency's Tropical Cyclone Scale.

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone | Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale.

Category 1 Typhoon | Joint Typhoon Warning Center's Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Score.

Category 1 Tropical Cyclone | Original Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

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Either tomorrow or Friday I'll probably be in the Cyclone Watch Area for 🌀 Tropical Cyclone Oma which is currently back to Category 2 Tropical Cyclone/Category 1 Tropical Cyclone (Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale/Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale) though several models are suggesting re-intensification before making landfall just to my North which means I'll probably just skim the southern portion of the eye and also get tde more powerful winds of the eyewall (Tropical Cyclones in the Southern hemisphere spin clockwise so the stronger winds when traveling westward are found in the southern semicircle)

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I am well a truely now in the forecast cone of uncertainty for Severe Tropical Cyclone Oma.

Many of the spaghetti models are showing a few tracks come overhead where I am as a Category 4 so that should be fun it has been a while since been in a Tropical Cyclone (Severe Tropical Cyclone Marcia was the last sort of, it wasn't directly overhead)

Current Intensity:

4.6T | Subjective Dvorak Technique Score (analysed by me).

Category 3 Severe Tropical Cyclone | Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale.

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone | Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

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The Northern half of the Eyewall for 🌀 Tropical Cyclone Oma [15TA, 15P, 96P] has formed now it needs to properly wrap around and we should start seeing an Eye pop up on satellite imagery.

Current Intensity:

3.1T | Advance Dvorak Technique Score (CIMSS).

Category 2 Tropical Cyclone | Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale.

Category 1 Tropical Cyclone | Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

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Just went over a list of things to do in the next 10 days giving it is looking increasingly likely now that Tropical Cyclone Oma will make landfall near here between Category 3 Severe Tropical Cyclone to Category 5 Severe Tropical Cyclone on the Australian Tropical Cyclone Scale, which is between a Category 2 and 5 Tropical Cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

I've been watching for a few days now how many of the models have been slowly drifting towards a focus and giving models don't usualry have that sort of consensus it is something to look out for.

Also some of the models have the wind field expanding to something comparable to Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi (s. 12010-11) or Rusty (s. 12012-13) [the cyclone seasons I've formated as Holocene Calender]

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I think in about 120hours out the cone of uncertainty (potential tracks) for 🌀 Tropical Cyclone Oma [15TA, 15P, 96P] will include areas ranging from Rockhampton, Queensland to just South of the Queensland-New South Wales Border.

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