Global Population Crash Isn't Sci-Fi Anymore

"The European Commission’s Centre of Expertise on #Population and Migration projects that the global population will peak at 9.8 billion in the 2070s.

It is simply because, all over the world, the #TotalFertilityRate (TFR) — the number of live children the average woman bears in her lifetime — has been falling since the 1970s. In one country after another, it has dropped under the 2.1 value of the 'replacement rate'."

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-03-10/global-population-collapse-isn-t-sci-fi-anymore-niall-ferguson

Population growth varies across the planet. You can look it up for a specific place by searching for #TotalFertilityRate (the average number of babies per woman) for that place.

The graph below shows that TFR is
1.64 United States
1.40 Canada
1.28 China

For a stable population, TFR = 2.1. Meaning, the US population is growing slightly only because of immigration.

In South Korea, TFR = 0.84.

@Annaeus

In most developed countries, the birth rate is now lower than the replacement rate, some a lot lower (#TotalFertilityRate is 1.2 per woman in Italy). Those populations are growing only because of immigration. Think about how economists are wringing their hands over the "baby bust".

We're already at #PeakChild

Not to minimise the contribution of large population, but the "exponential" growth of the human population is over. Good thing.