N-gated Hacker NewsMar 23
Oh, look! "Experts" 🤓 have cracked the code of human behavior: gambling on political events might involve inside information! Who would've thought?! 🎉 In other news, water is wet and the sky remains blue. 🌧️☁️
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/23/bets-us-iran-ceasefire-show-signs-of-insider-knowledge-say-experts-polymarket #humanbehavior #politicalgambling #insiderinformation #HackerNews #surprisingfindings #HackerNews #ngated
Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts

Number of new online accounts on Polymarket platform betting a total of $70,000 suggest ‘some degree of inside info’

The Guardian
BGDon 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 👨‍💻Nov 5, 2024

Polymarket offers crypto powered betting in sports, business, science, politics and more. Gee what could go wrong?

Users have spent more than $2.7 billion placing bets on the USA presidential election - presumably these are bets by non US citizens, as Polymarket is illegal in the USA.

Crypto betting insiders estimate as much as 30% of pro-Trump bets thought to be fake trades. #crypto #polymarket #election #marketmanipulation #cryptobetting #gambling #politicalgambling

PteroSeraphOct 7, 2024

no, betting markets are not magically any better than polls. people gambling real money on results doesn't give them any new insight.

on the other hand, it gives people conflicts of interest when reporting their preferences. and it just makes them more jittery, just like real markets are.

#PoliticalGambling #BettingMarkets

Llewellyn GriffithsAug 13, 2024
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08-14/gambling-ad-reforms-debate-shows-power-industry-has-on-govt/104218866 #PoliticalGambling
Why is the government tying gambling ads to the survival of TV? You know who really pays the cost

The degree of trepidation with which the federal government is this week mincing around even the second-order question of banning gambling ads — just the ads! — gives you a very pungent sense of just how powerful this industry is.

ABC News
BlueDot🇺🇦Feb 13, 2023

Friends who are into #PoliticalGambling are spending a lot of time gaming out how the #Republican Party could improve its chances by nominating a so-called moderate in 2024.

Here's measureable reality as of now: #Trump is the undisputed leader of the Republican Party, with about as much support as all of his rivals put together. He's got the base and he's got the #RNC. The nominee will be a #fascist.

#Fascism

BlueDot🇺🇦Nov 9, 2022

On PredictIt, a political gambling site, I had a gratifying win last night. And by "gratifying" I mean I was able to take some money off fascists, which is just *chef's kiss*.

1/
#PoliticalGambling #PredictIt

Show threadBlueDot🇺🇦Nov 8, 2022

@kathygriffin Fixing the water heater.

Definitely not thinking about how much I bet on John Fetterman. Because that would make me crazy. #PoliticalGambling

BlueDot🇺🇦Sep 9, 2022
Take a moment to step back and marvel: Mehmet Oz is a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, endorsed and campaigned for by the leader of the party. He is a fascist who thinks that public health is not a public good. Perfectly normal, mainstream, middle of the road Republican. Republicans who think people shouldn't get sick and die for lack of health care coverage, are fringe.
https://twitter.com/duty2warn/status/1567830359336800258?s=20&t=anRbRyaQKrwzAsNEL5eALQ
#PoliticalGambling
Duty To Warn 🔉 on Twitter

“A doctor who became a millionaire by pushing fake treatments wants to become a senator pushing a fake healthcare plan: 15 minute physicals for the uninsured in a “festival like setting.” The Mehemet Oz plan:”

Twitter
BlueDot🇺🇦Sep 1, 2022

I am literally seeing Republicans cheering as Mehmet Oz mocks John Fetterman's post-stroke recovery, and calling Fetterman a bully in the same breath.

https://boingboing.net/2022/08/31/new-jerseys-dr-oz-doubles-down-on-mocking-a-stroke-victim.html
#PoliticalGambling

New Jersey's Dr. Oz doubles down on mocking a stroke victim | Boing Boing

Failing miserably in the polls, Dr. Mehmet Oz, candidate for New Jersey’s hall of fame, has leaned deeply into mocking his opponent for having survived a stroke. Abandoned by Mitch McConnell …

Boing Boing
BlueDot🇺🇦Aug 30, 2022
Absolutely undisputed, from the RNC all the way down to the base.
https://twitter.com/WalshFreedom/status/1564312521078722561?s=20&t=SHPehX1I-T4e_BOGqqUZyA
#PoliticalGambling
Joe Walsh on Twitter

“And the best part? This psychopathic traitor is the undisputed leader of the Republican Party. And there’s not a thing Republicans can do about it.”

Twitter