RE: https://hachyderm.io/@Mara/115544451317527305

I love doing this kind of work for some reason, it's like nesting but for a software project... for #MCMCStan I reimplemented a bunch of arcane gradient functions ages ago and I'm still tickled when people migrate some stale implementation to use those... my other pet project was attempting to make it easier to modify the output streaming from Stan and that one sadly never worked out 😢 It's hopeful work b/c it's not worth doing unless you think the project will stick around...

I recently helped out on an analysis by reworking a #MCMCStan model for a small analysis (longitudinal data on just like thousands of individuals) and it highlighted that it's a fun space to develop models in.

You have enough to make it interesting but not so much that you're playing data engineer half the time.

I am really disappointed that this is happening in the service of #AI when it really should be done to feed the world's insatiable need for Bayesian inference. #mcmcstan #stanlang #bayesian

https://wapo.st/4gIutOw

Microsoft deal would reopen Three Mile Island nuclear plant to power AI

The Three Mile Island nuclear plant, home of the worst nuclear accident in U.S. history, would restart under a deal in which Microsoft purchases all its power.

The Washington Post

Sampling from a t distribution is harder than I thought. I wrote some code that implements a relatively new method by Shaw, Luu, and Brickman:
https://github.com/szego/truncated-student-t-rng

#stats #mcmcstan #mcmc

GitHub - szego/truncated-student-t-rng

Contribute to szego/truncated-student-t-rng development by creating an account on GitHub.

GitHub
New blog post! Here's a guide to calculating the differences between categorical proportions in a principled, #bayesian way with #rstats, #mcmcstan, and {brms}, including fancy things like mosaic plots (with {ggmosaic} and striped fills (with {ggpattern}) https://www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2023/05/15/fancy-bayes-diffs-props/ #statsodon
A guide to Bayesian proportion tests with R and {brms} | Andrew Heiss

Use R, Stan, and {brms} to calculate differences between categorical proportions in a principled Bayesian way

Here's another species that provides an interesting contrast:
American Kestrel, apparently cyclical pattern in time that is largely consistent across the species' range.
#AmericanKestrel
#NABBS
#CitizenScience
#BiologicalMonitoring #mcmcStan #birds

Anyone have a good way of taking cmdstanr optimization results, reshaping them into the list form required by `init`, and then starting sampling/optimization from that point?

#mcmcstan #bayes @mcmc_stan

🚨 New #JuliaLang package! StanLogDensityProblems.jl is a really basic package that implements the LogDensityProblems.jl interface for @mcmc_stan models, built on BridgeStan.jl. It also integrates with PosteriorDB.jl, which makes it really easy to benchmark a new inference method against a large number of models. #ProbProg #MCMCStan

https://github.com/sethaxen/StanLogDensityProblems.jl

GitHub - sethaxen/StanLogDensityProblems.jl: LogDensityProblems implementation for Stan models

LogDensityProblems implementation for Stan models. Contribute to sethaxen/StanLogDensityProblems.jl development by creating an account on GitHub.

GitHub

There's a podcast interviewing the O.G. Bob Carpenter, give it a listen if you're a Bayes type. Real excited to listen when I get a moment!

https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/76-past-present-future-of-stan-bob-carpenter/

#mcmcstan

#76 The Past, Present & Future of Stan, with Bob Carpenter

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch! How does it feel to switch careers and start a postdoc at age 47...

What's the best way to get the Hessian from #Stan models after optimizing?

#mcmcstan