Study: Substantial shift in phase and amplitude of Indian rainfall beyond 2100
This could pose major #foodsecurity and #migration impacts on regional #Climatesecurity
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01126-5
#indianmonsoon #ClimateCrisis
Substantial shift in phase and amplitude of Indian rainfall beyond 2100 - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Future changes in rainfall over India are critically important, given their impact on millions of people and the country’s agriculture. However, most studies focus only on changes up to the year 2100, leaving long-term projections largely unexplored. In this study, we leverage a 10-member ensemble with an Earth system model under relatively strong emissions to examine rainfall changes over India to 2500. Our results show a pronounced weakening of large-scale monsoon circulation after 2100, mainly due to increased atmospheric stability caused by rapid warming in the upper troposphere over land. At the same time, the Indian monsoon system expands significantly to the north and west. The northward expansion is driven by accelerated warming over the Tibetan Plateau, which pushes the low-level monsoonal winds and pressure systems further north. This, along with the development of a strong anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal, leads to more consistent upward motion over northern India and a northward expansion of the monsoon. Meanwhile, the westward expansion is linked to uneven warming in the Indian Ocean as the warm pool shifts westwards. These circulation changes, combined with the asymmetric warming pattern, enhance northward moisture transport and contribute to the intensification of rainfall across northwestern and northern India post-2100. These local expressions of large-scale perturbations provide a mechanistic framework for informing long-term mitigation and adaptation efforts for India.
🌍 Rising temperatures are melting more than just ice—global security is at risk. From Arctic competition to extreme weather, militaries must adapt to climate change before it becomes a strategic blind spot. Can we afford to ignore this threat? 🧊
#ClimateSecurity https://phys.org/news/2025-04-global-threat-armies-experts.html
Global warming is a security threat and armies must adapt: experts
From responding to weather disasters to rising competition in the fast-warming Arctic, militaries are exposed to climate change and cannot let it become a strategic "blind spot," security experts say.
On 8 May, SIPRI’s Katongo Seyuba presented #SIPRI's latest report on climate, peace and security in the #EasternDRC 🇨🇩 at an event in Kinshasa co-hosted with the Embassy of Sweden in Kinshasa and FBA (Folke Bernadotte Academy)
🔗 https://bit.ly/3GO1Bag
#ClimateSecurity #Peacebuilding #GenderandClimate
SIPRI presents new report in Kinshasa on climate change and conflict
Today, 8 May, SIPRI presented a new report on climate change, peace and security in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo at an event co-organized by the Folke Bernadotte Academy and the Swedish Embassy in Kinshasa.
India Suspends Indus Waters Treaty — Water War Looms
India just suspended the Indus Waters Treaty, threatening Pakistan’s water supply. Could this trigger the world’s first true water war? Read the full analysis.
Environmental degradation and #ClimateChange are worsening our global crises.
From #ClimateSecurity in #Somalia to climate-focused #mediation in #Iraq, we integrate this awareness into our peace efforts.
More on climate and conflict: https://berghof-foundation.org/themes/climate-change
#EarthDay2025
Climate change
A non-governmental organisation supporting people in conflict in their efforts to achieve sustainable peace through conflict transformation and peacebuilding
For added context, Independent MP Monique Ryan (Kooyong) (who was probably in that confidential briefing on the ONI report) held a Town Hall forum on climate security 3 weeks ago. It is the first and so far only MP forum focussing on climate security, and featured Climate Analyst David Spratt and Admiral Chris Barrie. Watch it.
#ClimateSecurity #Australia #Auspol #ClimateCrisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9iVSIVP23mM
Climate change and Australian security: a conversation with Admiral Chris Barrie
In the the Saturday Paper we found the Albanese Government briefed in-confidence the Independent Crossbench MPs on the Office of National INtelligence (ONI) Climate Security report on Dec 9. This report needs to be declassified and made public
#Climatesecurity #ONI #Tellthetruth #ClimateCrisis #Auspol
https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/environment/2025/03/15/exclusive-secret-briefings-climate-national-security-risk
Exclusive: Secret briefings on climate national security risk
“Frankly terrifying” is how independent Senator David Pocock sees the external national security threat of climate change to Australia.
Nuclear reactors could become targets of war, defence experts warn. A telling reminder given the Chinese flotilla passing our shores. Decentralised #renewables are safer from a security point of view.
#Nuclear #ClimateSecurity #Auspol #Ausvotes2025
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/nuclear-reactors-war-australia/qt6iljich
Nuclear reactors could become targets of war, defence experts warn
The Australian Security Leaders Climate Group has warned the Coalition's nuclear plans could leave Australia vulnerable to devastating attacks.
Must watch: Climate change and Australian security: a conversation with Admiral Chris Barrie. A Town Hall conversation with Independent MP Monique Ryan, Climate analyst David Spratt and Admiral Chris Barrie.
This is an important discussion that has been absent fromthe Australian parliament during the last 3 years.
#climatesecurity #climatecrisis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9iVSIVP23mM
Climate change and Australian security: a conversation with Admiral Chris Barrie
Aufgerüstet für die Zukunft
Wie die Klimakrise zu einer Frage militärischer Sicherheit umgedeutet wird.
John Englart
Fali Fuentes
AGF : poemproducer
Ryan Hite
Berghof Foundation
Klaus Thieme