Fed Rate Hold Odds for June Surge to 40% After US Jobs Surprise
The probability of a Fed rate hold through June surged to over 40% after a strong US jobs report, while expectations for a 50bp cut sharply declined, according to CME FedWatch.
Hassett Unlikely to Become Fed Chair—Futures Market Weakens Bets on Two Rate Cuts This Year
US rate futures markets trimmed bets on two Fed rate cuts this year as Kevin Hassett’s chances of becoming Fed chair faded, pushing Treasury yields higher.
US Treasury prices climbed as investors returned from the holidays, with renewed expectations for a January Fed rate cut driving yields lower across maturities, while analysts caution that strong economic data may limit further declines.
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US Treasuries Rally on Renewed Expectations for January Rate Cut
US Treasury prices climbed as investors returned from the holidays, with renewed expectations for a January Fed rate cut driving yields lower across maturities, while analysts caution that strong economic data may limit further declines.
Markets No Longer See December Fed Rate Cut as a Certainty
Market participants are reassessing expectations for a December Fed rate cut, with odds falling to near 50% as officials voice caution and internal divisions grow.
Wall Street analysts say the US government shutdown has increased the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 100% chance of a cut in October and 88% in December, as data delays and labor market risks outweigh inflation concerns.
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Wall Street Sees Higher Odds of Additional Fed Rate Cuts Amid US Government Shutdown
Wall Street analysts say the US government shutdown has increased the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 100% chance of a cut in October and 88% in December, as data delays and labor market risks outweigh inflation concerns.
Wall Street - Annual Jobs Revision Could Justify 50bp Rate Cut
Wall Street analysts say a sharp downward revision to US job growth could justify a 50bp Fed rate cut, with markets now pricing in multiple cuts by year-end.
Gold prices hit a record high above $3,600 as expectations for a US Federal Reserve rate cut intensified following weak August employment data, with markets pricing in a strong likelihood of monetary easing this month.
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Gold Surges Past $3,600 to Record High on Persistent US Rate Cut Expectations
Gold prices hit a record high above $3,600 as expectations for a US Federal Reserve rate cut intensified following weak August employment data, with markets pricing in a strong likelihood of monetary easing this month.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious Jackson Hole speech fueled market expectations for a September rate cut, but futures still price in a chance of a hold as key U.S. economic data loom.
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Powell Stops Short of Committing to September Rate Cut—Futures Market Still Bets on Hold
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious Jackson Hole speech fueled market expectations for a September rate cut, but futures still price in a chance of a hold as key U.S. economic data loom.
South Korean treasury futures surged as expectations for a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut in September grew, with the 10-year contract jumping 20 ticks and market participants increasingly betting on a 50 basis point "big cut."
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Treasury Futures Rally on Bets for September 'Big Cut'—10-Year Contract Jumps 20 Ticks - Yonhap Infomax
South Korean treasury futures surged as expectations for a U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut i
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