Mastodawn

Gina Intheburg 🇺🇦 🌻 🥥🌴Nov 30, 2023

Two Republicans indicted

#AZag Kris Mayes (D)
has announced felony indictments of two #GOP Cochise County Supervisors, Peggy Judd & Terry Thomas “Tom” Crosby, w/interference w/an election officer & conspiracy.

#ElectionFraud: it's a GOP thing.

#Arizona

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/29/cochise-county-arizona-midterm-election-criminal-charges/

Arizona officials charged with conspiring to delay midterm election outcome

The indictments mark a rare example of potential criminal consequences in battleground Arizona, where county officials, state lawmakers and GOP candidates have helped delegitimize election outcomes and procedures.

The Washington Post

Andre Alves Garzia Jan 12, 2023

@anastas2002

#AdvancedFightingFantasy is a #fantasy game now published by Arion Games. Been around since early D&D and scratches similar itches.

#CallOfCthulhu and #RuneQuest both my @Chaosium are legends in the RPG industry, one serves #horror and the other #bronze age mythology flavoured fantasy.

#Troika, #IntoTheOdd, #ElectricBastionland, #AZAG, are all lightweight rules made my awesome people in the OSR/NSR movements. They range from gonzo fantays, industrial fantasy, and weird fantasy.

ArizonasLaw Nov 29, 2022

LIVE COVERAGE: The irrepressible Tom Ryan (@tomryanlaw) and I will be covering the ELECTION CONTEST hearing at 2pm.

This is the lawsuit filed by the
@GOP and their #azag candidate
@AbrahamHamadeh
.

The lead for Democrat @krismayes is currently 550 (there will be a recount)

Here is the Complaint filed by attorneys Kory Langhofer and Tim LaSota: https://bit.ly/AZlaw1345

THREAD: https://twitter.com/arizonaslaw/status/1597332879024918528

ELECTION CONTEST UPDATE: One Judge Recuses Herself From Hamadeh Election Contest; Monday Hearing May Or May Not Be On

Nonprofit news and podcast about Arizona legal news & courts. Opinions/decisions, including Arizona Supreme Court, 9th Circuit, U.S. Supreme Court.

ArizonasLaw Nov 23, 2022

BREAKING: Election contest filed in the ultra-tight #AZAG race, by GOP candidate @AbrahamHamadeh (&
@GOP)

By statute, these election contests are to be filed within the 5 days of the official canvass. (Set for 12/5)

https://bit.ly/ARS16673

View Document

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Charles Gaba Nov 14, 2022

Again, if Lake or Hamadeh end up losing #AZGov or #AZAG by less than around ~4,100 votes, there's a very strong argument to be made that the #GOPCovidDeathCult was a decisive factor.
https://acasignups.net/22/11/11/elephant-room-redux-part-1-did-gops-covid-death-cult-decide-any-statewide-races

Elephant in the Room Redux, Part 1: Did the GOP's COVID Death Cult decide any statewide races?

I posted my final analysis of the potential impact of the COVID death rate divide between Republicans & Democrats on 2022 midterm election results back in September. According to official CDC data, around 815,000 Americans died of COVID-19 between 10/31/20 - 09/10/22. Of those, I had estimated that perhaps 569,000 had actually voted for Biden or Trump. The total number has tragically risen by around 7,000 more since mid-September, which means the number of 2020 voters who've died is also likely around 4,900 higher. Nationally, Joe Biden received 81,283,501 votes to Donald Trump's 74,223,975 votes. If COVID impacted both voting blocs at identical rates, you'd normally expect roughly 9.5% more Biden voters to have died of COVID over the past 2 years than Trump voters...or roughly 25,000 more Biden voters. Instead, however, I estimated that nationally, perhaps ~150,000 more Americans who voted for TRUMP in 2020 had died of COVID-19 between the 2020 general election and the 2022 midterm election than those who voted for Biden. Several obvious caveats apply here: "Voted for Trump" or "Voted for Biden" isn't a perfect overlap with Republicans and Democrats It also isn't a perfect overlap with how those ~569K people would have voted this year.

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Charles Gaba Nov 13, 2022

There’s still the remote possibility that #AZGovernor and/or #AZAG might fall into my ~4,100 vote margin as well, and there’s also my ~5,700 estimate for the upcoming #GASenate runoff. 5/ https://acasignups.net/22/11/11/elephant-room-redux-part-1-did-gops-covid-death-cult-decide-any-statewide-races

Elephant in the Room Redux, Part 1: Did the GOP's COVID Death Cult decide any statewide races?

I posted my final analysis of the potential impact of the COVID death rate divide between Republicans & Democrats on 2022 midterm election results back in September. According to official CDC data, around 815,000 Americans died of COVID-19 between 10/31/20 - 09/10/22. Of those, I had estimated that perhaps 569,000 had actually voted for Biden or Trump. The total number has tragically risen by around 7,000 more since mid-September, which means the number of 2020 voters who've died is also likely around 4,900 higher. Nationally, Joe Biden received 81,283,501 votes to Donald Trump's 74,223,975 votes. If COVID impacted both voting blocs at identical rates, you'd normally expect roughly 9.5% more Biden voters to have died of COVID over the past 2 years than Trump voters...or roughly 25,000 more Biden voters. Instead, however, I estimated that nationally, perhaps ~150,000 more Americans who voted for TRUMP in 2020 had died of COVID-19 between the 2020 general election and the 2022 midterm election than those who voted for Biden. Several obvious caveats apply here: "Voted for Trump" or "Voted for Biden" isn't a perfect overlap with Republicans and Democrats It also isn't a perfect overlap with how those ~569K people would have voted this year.

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Charles Gaba Nov 12, 2022

I estimate that *if* CCM ends up winning the #NVSenate race by less than ~2,400 votes, there's a very strong argument to be made that the GOP COVID Death Cult is what made the difference.

The same applies if Dems win #AZGov or #AZAG by less than ~4,100 votes. 2/

Charles Gaba Nov 12, 2022

📣📣 A few days ago I posted my analysis of whether the GOP's COVID Death Cult 💀 is likely to be the decisive factor in any *statewide* races. My conclusion was that #NVSenate is the most likely candidate for this (& potentially #AZGov, #AZAG & the upcoming #GASenate Runoff). 1/

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Charles Gaba Nov 10, 2022

I estimate the Red/Blue #COVID19 death "gap" is between 900 - 4,100 people in AZ, and between 900 - 2,400 in NV.

As of this writing, there's 3 statewide races where I could potentially see it nudging the GOP into the L column: #AZAG, #NVSenate & #NVSoS. However...we'll see.