Toby Phillips

820 Followers
367 Following
1,036 Posts

Mostly planning my next trip to the snow. But when not doing that…

Program director on economics and climate policy with the Centre for Policy Development in Australia.

Executive director of the Oxford #COVID19 Government Response Tracker at Oxford Uni.

#economics #climate #covid #covid19 #energy #ausecon #wellbeing #politics #fedi22

websitehttps://tobyphillips.xyz
twitterhttps://twitter.com/TobyMPhillips
Best explanation of #NetZero I’ve ever seen. 😂
Thanks @davpope for this masterpiece!
GB Grid: #Coal is generating 0.00GW (0.00%) out of 32.90GW
Continuous time without Coal: 46 hours

@jwwr I think I’m struggling because you aren’t saying what you think should happen based on your analysis.

I can read three possible conclusions:
1. The government should raise taxes instead of having the RBA raise interest rates (MMT approach)
2. The government/RBA should *not* raise taxes or interest rates, and instead accept high inflation
3. The government/RBA should *not* raise taxes or interest rates, because inflation is not real

I reckon #1 has merit. But from reading your analysis it sounds like you would advocate for #2 or #3… but you don’t actually say.

@jwwr I have to say, I find your critique a bit too jumbled.

You say supply is imaginary but then refer to the “underlying economic potential of a market [to produce goods and services]”, which is almost the textbook definition of aggregate supply. (So you agree this is a useful concept, even if “imaginary”?)

MMT is interesting, but on inflation, it has the exact same supply/demand/price dynamics as orthodox macro. It differs by saying that the best way to reduce inflation is fiscal policies (raise taxes) rather than monetary policy (raise interest rates).

Its important to question the goals of RBA. But you don’t need a grand theory that claims the idea of inflation is bogus!

@jwwr but inflation *is* bad, that’s more of an empirical fact rather than a religious belief. (Unless you believe there is little value in stability of prices and markets that allow households and businesses to plan long term).

And I don’t think it’s true that the RBA board are making decisions to achieve zero-sum transfer from poor to wealthy. Rather they are trying to control inflation by reducing total demand across the whole economy (the only tool they have). Certainly you could argue there should be better tools.

As a grant panel member, I frequently get reviews of grant proposals that praise the work but still give lots of advice for improvement. This can very quickly sink the proposal. Let me tell you why.

Panels _rank_ grant proposals. Which ones are the best that deserve funding? This is a _political_ process. Panel members will do their best to champion their favorite proposals and often oppose others.

@solar_chase the worst! Although what really gets my goat is people that take the path of least resistance with their *own* work. They assume they got their code right the first time and “that’s just the data” 🤦🏼‍♂️

A good showing today!

I solved today's #Redactle (#322) in 22 guesses with an accuracy of 59.09%. Played at https://www.redactle.com/

Redactle - A daily puzzle game

Try to find the title of a random Wikipedia article.

Yes!

Corner sidewalk extensions cut the time and space pedestrians are in the street crossing, sharper turns force motorists to slow down. An SFMTA planner framed it as narrowing the intersection so motorists don't have room to do something dangerous and illegal.

It's easy to miss, but the signals were replaced with brighter lights, better positioning, additions, and technical stuff about better management, controls, and generally being in a state of good repair.

The timing still needs work.

Methane emissions remained stubbornly high in 2022 even as soaring energy prices made actions to reduce them cheaper than ever - News - IEA

Methane emissions remained stubbornly high in 2022 even as soaring energy prices made actions to reduce them cheaper than ever - News from the International Energy Agency

IEA