David Manheim

285 Followers
209 Following
231 Posts
Humanity's long term future can be amazing - let's make sure it is.
Working at @alter_org_il, @TechnionLive
Previously, @asaferfuture, @1DaySooner, @superforecaster, @PardeeRAND
Twitterhttps://twitter.com/davidmanheim
Google Scholarhttps://scholar.google.com/citations?user=6-M1ZIUAAAAJ&hl=en
Blueskydavidmanheim.bsky.social
@BritishTechGuru @heidilifeldman That's exactly the logic that dictators have always used. The change from democracy to autocracy is built of populism and overridden norms.
@heidilifeldman I assume it'll look like Bush v Gore - a complete rejection of underlying principles that justices supposedly hold, in favor of outcomes.

anyway i think that if you are in a position to make decisions in an organization that you expect to be around in ~25 years and you want to make a real difference, look at what software you couldn't do without and imagine that the company that makes it goes out of business, gets bought by Microsoft, or pivots to AI

what would you do? is there anything out there that would fill that need? if not, can you contribute to an open source project - dev time or money - to make it happen?

@philipncohen His objection is not that it's a minority Jewish state, it's that it would be a majority Muslim Arab state.

Jews do fine today as minorities in western countries. But try to find an example of Jews living in an Arab state as a safe minority in the past 50 years, and you'll fail.

As I've said before, there are multiple parts of Israel.

And yes, the IDF seems determined to follow international humanitarian law, per the below article.

Netanyahu's coalition in government, though? Very much the opposite. Hence food/medical supply blockades, no humanitarian pause, and similar policies.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/07/opinions/israel-hamas-gaza-not-war-crimes-spencer/

@Njord @cstross As I said recently on the birdsite:

"The Geneva convention doesn't set what morality is.

Stop appealing to international law for your attempts at moral condemnation of, or sanction for, either side's actions."

@JPZanders Ahh - Novichok is a nerve agent, not a biotoxin. My mistake!

Even if you were to discount the official death toll by half we are still speaking about a devastation that took years of bombing in WW2 in 3 weeks.

This is a reminder that *there are no precision strikes in a densely populated city*. While I appreciate Israel's efforts (lawyers overseeing strikes etc), the truth is: If the strategic bombing campaigns of WW2 were terrible, this is the same terrible, at a faster rate.

@FlockOfCats Sci-hub exists for a reason. (For me, that reason is that it takes about 10x as long to access non-open papers legally than via sci-hub.)

Reality is more complicated than our opinions usually want it to be.

But facts exist independent of our beliefs. And if there are facts which don't fit your narrative, the narrative is wrong.