Africa Center

@africacenter
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The Africa Center for Strategic Studies: Advancing African security by expanding understanding, providing a trusted platform for dialogue, building partnerships, and catalyzing solutions.

#Africa #security #governance #Russia #China #democracy #disinformation #cyber #migration #organizedcrime #violentextremism #CVE #COIN #climate #maritime #displacement #peacekeeping #Sahel

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⚠️ $3.4B reported vs. $6.6B actual debt (Zambia)
Zambia’s China-linked debt was initially reported at $3.4 billion but later found to be $6.6 billion, underscoring transparency risks in Chinese financing.

Read the new Spotlight here: https://africacenter.org/spotlight/chinese-state-owned-enterprises-market-capture-africa/

Chinese State-Owned Enterprises and Market Capture in Africa

Chinese state-owned enterprises serve as tools of national power—securing minerals, shaping influence, and more.

Africa Center

🏭 ~10,000 Chinese firms in Africa, ~12% of industrial output
Chinese firms in Africa number around 10,000 and account for about 12% of the continent’s industrial production, spanning sectors from energy to manufacturing.

⛏️ 66 of 166 global Chinese mining projects are in Africa
In critical minerals, Chinese firms control the midstream and downstream—reinforcing supply chain dependence and leaving host countries reliant on exporting raw commodities.

Facts to Know: Chinese SOEs and Market Capture in Africa

🏢 Nearly 1 million state-linked firms
China has ~363,000 fully state-owned firms, 629,000 with ≥30% state ownership, and ~867,000 with some state stake—forming the world’s largest state-owned enterprise (SOE) system.

🏗️ ~$200 billion in annual state support
China provides roughly $200 billion per year in subsidies and policy support to help SOEs expand globally—through financing, tax incentives, insurance, and diplomacy.

From our Africa Media Review: offensive drones are now being used in urban areas in DRC, increasing risks to civilians. https://africacenter.org/daily-media-review/

This reflects a broader shift across Africa:
➡️ Armed drones are becoming more accessible to both states and non-state actors
➡️ They are reshaping battlefield dynamics by enabling low-cost, high-impact strikes
➡️ Their use in populated areas raises new risks for civilians, infrastructure, & escalation

Read more: https://africacenter.org/spotlight/drone-proliferation-africa-destabilizing

Unfortunately, the data paints a picture of starkly deteriorating security in Burkina Faso—and the reality on the ground is likely even worse than the numbers suggest, since the junta has actively tried to suppress independent reporting.

https://adf-magazine.com/2026/03/terrorism-worsens-in-burkina-faso/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=fedica-EN-morning
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Since Ibrahim Traoré's September 2022 coup, an army of junta-sponsored influencers have worked hard to present a positive picture of security in Burkina Faso:
https://africacenter.org/spotlight/security-narratives-burkina-faso/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=fedica-EN-morning

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Conflict and instability are a major driver of African migration. For example, with the deterioration of security in Mali, “many Malians now view irregular migration as a necessity rather than an opportunity.”

See more on the causes and patterns of migration in Africa:
https://africacenter.org/spotlight/africa-migration-2026/

African Migration Trends 2026: Managing Drivers, Security, and Opportunity

Drivers of African migration continue to necessitate policy innovations to harness Africa’s increasingly educated and mobile labor force.

Africa Center

Global demand for critical minerals—nickel, graphite, manganese, cobalt, copper, lithium, and rare earth minerals—used in defense and aerospace systems, electronic vehicles (EV), semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and medical devices, is surging.

China now controls over half of global critical minerals production and an estimated 87% of processing and refining.

https://africacenter.org/spotlight/china-africa-critical-minerals/

Sudan’s rival military structures are a product of the 30-year autocratic regime of Omar al-Bashir.

Involving civilian voices in negotiations are necessary to move past the zero-sum bipolar dynamic that defines the SAF-RSF rivalry.

https://africacenter.org/spotlight/resetting-the-political-calculus-of-the-sudan-conflict/

Resetting the Political Calculus of the Sudan Conflict

A resolution of the Sudan conflict will require raising the financial and reputational costs of the regional actors who are fueling the conflict.

Africa Center

Open-source reporting and independent analysis suggest that the government of Chadian President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno has facilitated support to Sudan's RSF since 2023. This is only increasing Chad's existing (but often ignored) domestic instability.

https://africacenter.org/spotlight/chad-instability-sudan-conflict/?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=fedica-EN-morning