Alan Pickering

@AlanDP61
101 Followers
45 Following
107 Posts
Emeritus Professor of Psychology at Goldsmiths, University of London. Also: keen angler; ageing cricketer; happy hiker; newbie guitarist. Surrey, UK and Deux-Sevres, France.
You Tubehttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8-IAMDbKdJAh0ZPNd4FsVg
Git Hubhttps://github.com/Alan-Pickering
Publicationshttps://scholar.google.co.uk/citations?user=lH6sbA4AAAAJ&hl=en
Bloghttps://samplingdistribution.blogspot.com/

@dennyborsboom "The sum score is not just a poor man’s test score but provides a defensible ordinal approximation of the latent variable under surprisingly general conditions."
On classical test theory CTT

"the crucial insight is that CTT can operate in the absence of
assumptions regarding the test’s dimensionality or factorial composition"

"What CTT did right, however, is provide a solid theoretical framework for determining the
degree to which test scores are influenced by random error. "

An excellent, readable & important psychometrics paper (not a combination of words that I have often used or seen elsewhere). Sijtsma, K., Ellis, J. L., & Borsboom, D. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11336-024-09964-7
@dennyborsboom
Highly quotable too.
"<Sum scores> may have been intuitive at the start of psychometrics more than a century ago but ... it proved a highly fortunate hunch that has been substantiated through a century of psychometric theory formation. "
Recognize the Value of the Sum Score, Psychometrics’ Greatest Accomplishment - Psychometrika

The sum score on a psychological test is, and should continue to be, a tool central in psychometric practice. This position runs counter to several psychometricians’ belief that the sum score represents a pre-scientific conception that must be abandoned from psychometrics in favor of latent variables. First, we reiterate that the sum score stochastically orders the latent variable in a wide variety of much-used item response models. In fact, item response theory provides a mathematically based justification for the ordinal use of the sum score. Second, because discussions about the sum score often involve its reliability and estimation methods as well, we show that, based on very general assumptions, classical test theory provides a family of lower bounds several of which are close to the true reliability under reasonable conditions. Finally, we argue that eventually sum scores derive their value from the degree to which they enable predicting practically relevant events and behaviors. None of our discussion is meant to discredit modern measurement models; they have their own merits unattainable for classical test theory, but the latter model provides impressive contributions to psychometrics based on very few assumptions that seem to have become obscured in the past few decades. Their generality and practical usefulness add to the accomplishments of more recent approaches.

SpringerLink
JEP:General has accepted our paper on a possible neural basis for the feeling of agency. Great to work with Greg Ashby again plus new co-authors Heidi Zetzer and Collie Conoley. Accepted version available here
https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/rtmfv
OSF

Should statistical procedures used in science be evaluated on a statistical level or on the level of the scientific system? In my blog, I argue for a greater role of philosophy of science in evaluating claim-making based on a cut-off (e.g., 0.05). https://daniellakens.blogspot.com/2024/01/surely-god-loves-51-kmh-nearly-as-much.html
Surely God loves 51 km/h nearly as much as 49 km/h?

Next time you get a fine for speeding, I suggest you try the following line of defense. First, you explain to the judge that a speed limit o...

here's a title page screen shot
Final paper from Dimitra Kale's PhD has just appeared. It was a pleasure to co-supervise Dimitra's PhD. The paper is on links betwen e-cigaratee use, smoking status at follow-up and the role of impulsive personality traits. It's open access. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14659891.2023.2275015
the paper details
A contribution on modelling creativity with James Lloyd-Cox, Roger Beaty and Joydeep Bhattacharya https://x.com/roger_beaty/status/1717176987167445123?s=48&t=yUSlBGMQ2os9_Jsa67uaAw
Roger Beaty on X

Our new theory paper, led by @JamesLloydCox, argues computational modeling would greatly benefit creativity research by making creativity theories more rigorous & testable. @APADivision10 @ad_pickering https://t.co/ZYD6p3fZlR

X (formerly Twitter)
a recommendation for a big fat book to take on holiday: Demon Copperhead by Barbara Kingsolver - an immersive experience.
Particularly good if you know David Copperfield.
Best novel I’ve read this year - see here for background https://www.theguardian.com/books/2023/jun/16/barbara-kingsolver-rural-people-are-so-angry-they-want-to-blow-up-the-system
#goodreads #bookclub #novel #bookrecommendation #DemonCopperhead #BarbaraKingsolver
Barbara Kingsolver: ‘Rural people are so angry they want to blow up the system’

The first author to win the Women’s prize for fiction twice on how Charles Dickens – and rage about the opioid crisis – helped her write ‘the great Appalachian novel’

The Guardian
For an update on my 2023 fishing and reading challenge see here: https://samplingdistribution.blogspot.com/2023/05/how-my-2023-challenge-has-been-going.html with short reviews of books by
@FryRsquared (bird site)
@RussInCheshire and #Longmire author Craig Johnson
How my 2023 challenge has been going: Good books and lots of fish!

The idea that I could do all this fishing and reading, plus my normal activities of daily living, and then blog in detail about every anglin...