I agree with @anderspuck: Trump has placed himself in an impossible situation with his Iran war.

Anders has some interesting points about the Hormuz Strait conundrum:
https://youtu.be/W4i6nj8aHkw?si=e9uoQew3nQFy7dUF

Why is it so difficult to open the Strait of Hormuz?

YouTube

@randahl @anderspuck
It's definitely not Trump doing the (longterm) strategically thinking here. That's for sure.

Just sayin'.
#project2025

@randahl @anderspuck The problem is that the only way Trump will be responding is by further escalation. He doesn't know anything else.

He will intensify the air campaign and target more civilian infrastructure. If he conducts ground operations, those will be rather small (only easy targets).

What makes me angry: the development was totally obvious for anyone with two brain cells to rub together.

But his "yes men" gave Trump the impression that he could facilitate a regime change by killing the current leaders.

Was the Iran War Caused by AI Psychosis? | House of Saud

AI sycophancy, RLHF bias, and Ender's Foundry simulations shaped Operation Epic Fury. 7 planning assumptions failed in 23 days as the Iran war defied every AI prediction.

House of Saud
@randahl @anderspuck
If the US takes the straight it will be costly which would be used to justifiy a vessel transit charge to recoup their costs. The international laws for open transit means nothing since no international laws apply to the UN-debasing USA anymore.

@randahl @anderspuck Just #FYI - he has #PeerTube channel .. no need to boost #YouTube views when you have free alternative...

Feel free to follow using #ActivityPub - even with #Mastodon instance ๐Ÿ˜€
RE: muku.dk/videos/watch/d3b68bb4-โ€ฆ

@schmaker @randahl @[email protected] Yeah, but PeerTube is causing me some headaches, so I think it's good that Randahl didn't share that one just now. ๐Ÿ˜…
@anderspuck
What's the problem? I'm mod of VHSky.cz - maybe I can help somehow
@ @randahl @anderspuck

@randahl @anderspuck @anderspuck I just tried to mirror your video as it seemed like you have some sort of trouble.

According to log something is not working on your side - error 404
[code]Job: 4
Type: video-redundancy
Processed on 5. 4. 26 19:59:36,291
Finished on 5. 4. 26 19:59:36,440

{
"videoId": 118689
}

HTTPError: Request failed with status code 404 (Not Found): GET media.muku.dk/mukutube/streamiโ€ฆ
at Request.<anonymous> (file:///app/code/server/node_modules/.pnpm/[email protected]/node_modules/got/dist/source/as-promise/index.js:98:42)
at Object.onceWrapper (node:events:633:26)
at Request.emit (node:events:530:35)
at Request._onResponseBase (file:///app/code/server/node_modules/.pnpm/[email protected]/node_modules/got/dist/source/core/index.js:779:22)
at process.processTicksAndRejections (node:internal/process/task_queues:105:5)
at async Request._onResponse (file:///app/code/server/node_modules/.pnpm/[email protected]/node_modules/got/dist/source/core/index.js:829:13)[/quote]

I hope you will be able to solve your PeerTube is causing me some headaches, @[email protected]
Cc @anderspuck @schmaker @randahl
@Chris
I think I got the problems sorted out. The newest video is not quite there yet, but fingers crossed it will work now. ๐Ÿ˜€
@[email protected] @schmaker @randahl
@randahl @anderspuck Longer term, the obvious solution is to become independent of the stuff passing through the Strait. How many solar panels, how many wind turbines, how many grid-storage batteries does one destroyer buy?
@randahl @anderspuck
I agree that Trump put himself in a bad position and it will lead to an escalation.
This substack post about this argument is also interesting to read.
https://no01.substack.com/p/so-much-winning
So much winning

Please make it stop, Mr. President

Gold and Geopolitics
@randahl @anderspuck
From a European perspective, if things drag on and the trumpers lose the midterms in a landslide, a little pain now is worth it.