If every product had an infinite warranty, waste would vanish, markets would focus on real needs, and UBI would become cheap enough to fund easily.

I call this the The Infinite Warranty Principle / The Warranty Abundance Theorem.

#postgrowth #degrowth #plannedobsolescence #ubi

How it works in 4 steps:
1️⃣ Warranty lengths double until they reach “forever”
2️⃣ Planned obsolescence dies, products become repairable/adaptable
3️⃣ Markets shift to serving real demand, not manufacturing it
4️⃣ Social safety nets (like UBI) become affordable, because artificial scarcity vanishes

#postgrowth #degrowth #ubi #plannedobsolescence

@thilosch
Artificial scarcity won't go away until we get rid of money and replace it with something like Technocracy's Energy Accounting*. You can't sell an abundance.
*https://www.technate.org/tiki-index.php?page=IB29
Technate.org | IB29

Technate.org

Technate.org
@murdoc Appreciate the link — there’s a lot in Energy Accounting worth chewing on.
One core flaw I see, though, is that it conflates a unit of measure with a basis of value.
Energy use can be measured precisely — but value is subjective, emerging from preferences under scarcity. Two goods can have identical energy footprints yet vastly different worth.
As Einstein said: “Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not any simpler.”

@murdoc Another flaw in Energy Accounting is the claim that “Energy is the only common denominator.”
Even if we achieved material abundance, there’s still no abundance of human attention. It remains constraint, so value doesn’t simply collapse — we’d still make choices and trade-offs based on what we care about.

That’s why money works as a proxy for value: it reflects scarcity across all those dimensions, not just energy. It overlooks that attention scarcity alone is enough to keep value alive.

@thilosch
I don't see how this is a flaw of Energy Accounting. The point of it is to produce an abundance of goods and services for human beings, not to produce human attention. Any limitations on human attention are therefore not relevant to this aspect of the design. Those choices and trade-offs don't affect how the system works at all.
@murdoc The concept of “abundance” in Energy Accounting appears to be an ideal—a limit to strive toward rather than a fully achievable state. Because of this, practical constraints like resources, time, logistics, and individual valuation differences will always remain. These constraints aren’t flaws but rather the essential reality that sustains value and choice. Ignoring them risks oversimplifying the complex foundations on which any energy-based accounting system must be built.

@thilosch
It is not an ideal, it is a very real thing. That's one of the things I like about Technocracy is that is only deals in physical reality, not philosophical concepts and ideals.

For a conceptual example, think of ordinary air. You can't sell air because it is very abundant. People won't buy it from you because they can get all they want anytime. It thus has no economic value. This is despite the fact that people not only want air, but need it to survive.But there is no reason to buy it. Now if for instance there is ever a scarcity of air, say due to too much pollution or you're stuck in a bank vault, then there is scarcity, and hence economic value. You will then be willing to buy air.

For a historical example, this is what happened to cause the Great Depression. Goods and services were produced in such great quantities that companies couldn't sell enough of things to stay in business. The price of things fell too much. That is abundance. We only seemed to get out of it with the introduction of artificial scarcity, which is necessary to maintain economic value.This is described more here: https://www.technate.org/tiki-index.php?page=IB28

Also, there is a lot more to Technocracy than just Energy Accounting. A greater understanding of the overall design should help clear up a lot of things.
https://www.technate.org/tiki-index.php?page=Begin

Technate.org | IB28

Technate.org

Technate.org

@murdoc Your arguments are intriguing and raise important points. I’d like to explore a few areas further:

1/
How does Energy Accounting address innovation—especially emerging needs not met by current production? A rigid, static system risks the “made by committee” flaw, where consensus slows or blocks creative breakthroughs. Innovation needs flexibility and risk-taking. How is that ensured here?

@murdoc
2/
Money is flawed as a measure, I agree. But since no universal metric exists across all economic dimensions (value, scarcity, preferences), every system is an ideal with trade-offs. Energy Accounting is a strong ideal, but it must acknowledge practical limits.
@murdoc
3/
Freeing the world from money is a lofty vision. However, it seems far less attainable than incremental reforms like forever warranties, which can start positive cascades toward sustainability within existing systems.

@thilosch
Yes, many people to prefer the incremental reform path to the changing everything path. I can understand why, it's usually the safer option. However, there are important reasons why a big change like Technocracy is necessary:

1) Technocracy requires a minimum of natural resources to be able to produce an abundance. We are rapidly over-consuming and outright destroying those resources. So there will come a time when Technocracy will not longer even be a physical possibility for us to choose.

2) Our current system, like any Price System, is cyclic in nature and due for collapse. It is also requires continuous, exponential growth, which is a big part of the reason why it has to collapse, it is not sustainable. No amount of incremental changes will change that fact. All they can do is help stave it off for a while. This is why I am not opposed to changing the current system for as long as we are also working toward a permanent solution like Technocracy. But if such a collapse were to happen, adopting Technocracy would become far more difficult, probably even impossible.

These are just conclusions. They are further explained in various places in Technocracy literature. I'm happy to help you find what you are looking for.

@murdoc While climate change and resource limits pose serious challenges, it’s important to be clear: this is definitely not species-ending. I sense that for some, the hope of systemic collapse is a quiet wish born of disenfranchisement or argument for more autocracy - humanity is way more resilient than most giveit credit.

Also, the belief that we owe the biosphere a debt is a kind of religious hubris that has contributed to our crisis. The biosphere will endure far longer than we ever can.

@thilosch
There is no need for a universal metric across all economic dimensions. Energy is chosen because it is a universal metric for all goods and services.

So I'm afraid that I don't see why EA is an ideal. It's really a simple and elegant system. The system records all consumption and then uses that information, along with statistical trends and fluctuations, to determine how much of each product and service to produce in the next production cycle. Being a single organization means that this is done easily and rapidly, and with today's technology consumption rates could be recorded in real time. It's not really that different in that way from what is currently done, except that EA would be unburdened by: 1) having to deal with millions of separate and competing organizations, 2) the fluctuating value of currency making it hard to compare products and resources, and 3) the drive for profit seeking to artificially manipulate consumer demand.

@murdoc I appreciate the clarity. But EA’s reliance on a single organization controlling production feels like a highly centralized fiat currency system, just framed differently. Without decentralization, this risks adding friction, bottlenecks, and potential mismanagement. How does EA avoid the pitfalls of central control and maintain responsiveness and innovation without creating new systemic barriers?
@thilosch
I'm afraid I'm going to have to come back to this one later. It's very late for me and I need to sleep. I'm surprised that I'm making any sense at all right now really. In the mean time I recommend reading the TTCD book I gave you a link to. While it's not everything about Technocracy, it is the best overview of all its parts.
@murdoc
Rest well! It was a pleasure discussing this with you. We are quite close in terms of our goal, but still infinitely far apart in strategy. The key difference is Technocracy is a dictatorship, and therefore worse than chaos.

@thilosch
There's no need to worry there, Technocracy is all for scientific and technological advancement. It would progress far more quickly under Technocracy than under any scarcity based system, with all of the problems of those out of the way. Just think of the improvement the lack of "trade secrets" would be alone.

In the proposed organizational structure of Technocracy, there is a high-level department called the Sequence of Continental Research. It is the aim of this body to help coordinate and execute all research and development in the country. Everything from basic scientific research, to technological development, product design and improvement, and social research. Even the system's own processes and procedures would be regularly analyzed and updated for improvements.

You can read more about the organizational structure in chapter 4 of this book: https://www.technate.org/pdf/eTTCD-1.1_Final.pdf

@thilosch
I'm certain that you must have misread something, because it is a key point of Technocracy that energy is chosen specifically because it is a unit of measure and not one of subjective value. For example: "Thus, money in any form whatsoever is completely inadequate as a medium of distribution in an economy of abundance with a Price System control. Any social system employing commodity evaluation (commodity valuations are the basis of all money) is a Price System."

So it is not conflating the two at all. It's point is exactly as you describe. You can find this elsewhere in Technocracy literature as well.

@murdoc

as I argued already, you wont get rid of valuation, by declaring there is no need for it.

@thilosch
The argument is not that there is no need for it, but that it is not a good way to measure things. Sure, people can still assign their individual opinions on how much they "value" any particular good or service, but the point here is that doing so is not a good way to run the back-end of the economy precisely because it is not a true measure of anything.

It is still accounted for in the front end however, in the fact that how much is produced is matched to how much is consumed. That is the point of Energy Accounting (and the meaning of Technocracy's symbol of the Monad, representing the dynamic balance between production and consumption). It is designed to reduce as much as possible any shortages and overages (waste). It is a flaw of all current systems that they use subjective value for both the back end and front end of their economy.

@thilosch

Your dreams will not come true. #UBU will kill economy.

@prau You’re most certainly right — most dreams won’t come true. But we can still reenact some of them in waking life.

Also, sorry to say, but I couldn’t make sense of the abbreviation UBU in this context.

Which name works better for you?

(Either way, the idea’s not going anywhere 😉)

The Infinite Warranty Principle
0%
The Warranty Abundance Theorem
0%
Both are shite
100%
Poll ended at .