This is the most important comment I have heard this week — Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk:

“500 million Europeans are asking 300 million Americans to defend them against 140 million Russians […] Europe, if there is something we lack today, it is not economic or demographic power, but the belief that we are truly a global force.”

I think Tusk hits the bullseye here. Those 140 million Russians are already fully occupied by fighting Ukraine, and our leaders act like we are Liechtenstein.

@randahl the next chancellor of Germany can change that with in a month

@HenrikBruunDK @randahl

Please do not expect to much of Merz. He already has a lot on his plate, like outrunning our far right to some goal even further right, picking fights with the “Grandmas against fascism”, scapegoating migrants, and most importantly standing his man against the MAIN OPPONENT: The Greens, with their terrible and ferocious windmills.

Oh, and he is a 70year old in a trainee program. He has zero experience.

We try to push him, but do not wait for us.

@HenrikBruunDK the next chancellor of Germany is an amateur populist who has no government experience at all 😕
@randahl

@randahl Hey what's wrong with Liechenstein? Franz Joseph II, Prince of Liechtesnstein, was the one to give a home and money to Curt Herzstark, inventor of the legendary Curta pocket mechanical calculator.

Before then, Curt had been forced to stop work on his calculator by the Nazis, who forced him to make precision instruments for the German army, and then threw him into Buchenwald until U.S. troops liberated it.

See? Seeeeee? Eh? Eeeeeh? Liechtenstein.

(pic Wikipedia)

@WenhamToo @randahl Also, Liechtenstein once went to war and their army returned home larger than when it left. Negative losses are nothing to be sneezed at.

@randahl

I don't know how to re-post this over to here, so I'll just repeat:

There's real "Iraq War Energy" on the front page of the Post this morning.

The attitude towards the importance of other countries;

"Zelensky doesn't hold the cards" == "The support of every other country combined is as nothing compared to the USA."

And "...not a smart strategy" was very Iraq-War editorial. Nothing about ILLEGAL or IMMORAL, just "bad strategy".

It's like calling the Mafia a "bad life strategy".

@RoyBrander @randahl Haven't you heard? Moral considerations are "woke".

@randahl
That's a totally useless comparison of the Polish PM.

It doesn't matter how many people a country or Union has, the only thing that matters in the 'Age of the Bullies' is the actual military power.
And Europe - like it or not - is a dwarf in this regard compared to the USA.

@randahl

It really is pathetic. We could have helped Ukraine to end the war already. But, it's not too late if we act now: urgently boost military production in European countries and invest massively on defence at home and in Ukraine.

Russians losing. Let's get it through the line and help Ukraine defeat them this year.

@randahl The difference between the EU and and the US is that not every US state decides which part of the whole is worth defending on which ground and at which cost. At least in that regard, they have unity. Europe does not. Any attempt of evolving the EU into something more that a purely economic union has thus far failed spectacularly, because feudal lords prefer to squabble amongst one another.
@randahl He also said that the transatlantic cooperation is central, which is remarkably tone-deaf.

@randahl Poland is going to be a more important player in EU in the future. Not to mention they're (still?) the third largest military power in NATO and largest in the EU.

I think it was Tusk I listened to a radio program about. He could become the next Merkel going by what that program said.

All speculation of course.

@aanee @randahl Hopefully not, given how her strategic decisions for Europe turned out. It's fantastic that Poland is taking its place in the EU, it's a success story of EU integration. And the richer it gets, the more able it is to contribute to all Europeans' security and soon, as a net payer to the budget, to the integration of Ukraine and Moldova. That said... troop numbers do not make one the EU's pre-eminent army. No military without a Navy is a top military power. As for Tusk, see below:
@randahl no Liechtenshaming, please!
Actually Iguess there is a reason for that behavior @randahl .
For like 80 years you couldn't criticize the US at all in western europe. Criticizing the US was equal to political suicide. That created not only a bubble on all levels, beginning with the media, a box people can't think out of, it only let people with certain mindsets come to the to. In any case it's telling that a polish prime minister is able to formulate reality in a nutshell.

@randahl one way to muscle up is to start issuing ITAR right back at the US.

The US doesn't make all of its own weapons, and relies on Europe for a bunch of weapon components. Maybe Europe gets to start saying where the US gets to use or transfer weapons with European components.

That was kind of handwaved away while the US was a friendly ally and global hegemon. But if things are going to be fraught and transactional....

"Este es el comentario más importante que he escuchado esta semana: el primer ministro polaco Donald Tusk:

“500 millones de europeos están pidiendo a 300 millones de estadounidenses que los defiendan contra 140 millones de rusos […] Europa, si hay algo que nos falta hoy en día, no es poder económico o demográfico, sino la creencia de que somos verdaderamente una fuerza global”.

Creo que Tusk da en el blanco aquí. Esos 140 millones de rusos ya están totalmente ocupados luchando contra Ucrania, y nuestros líderes actúan como si fuéramos Liechtenstein."

@randahl

@randahl from minute 1 I called out this fact. #letsmakeeuropethegreatest

@randahl

Interesting how the recent #US behavior has resulted in a massive shift outside of the US. In a sense it has totally backfired.

#Canada is now more united than at any point in its history, and the #EU is finally waking up and stepping into its leadership role.

We can now all collectively give the big middle finger to the USA.

#cdnpoli #Canada #Europe

@randahl ukraine is always in need of volunteers.

@randahl

Exactly, and allow themselves being bullied by a megalomaniac demented idiot…

Hope the wakeup call is there now.

@randahl the problem is that Europe is not one, are 27. In practice there is no real unity of action.
@randahl And I could ask: Is he going to be the first commander in chief of a united European military structure?
@randahl Hey! Don't fuck with Liechtenstein! ​​ They are our one and only Ally! ​

​ ​
@randahl As well as the right wibgnut commenters...
@randahl Liechtenstein's army was probably the only one that came back from all its wars with more soldiers than it went.
@randahl Not 500 million. but the children of the working class and the poor.
@randahl Please imagine the following with a Rick-and-Morty-voice about squirrels: "Don't fuck with the Liechtensteiners!"
What if Ukraine is forced to surrender to Russia? What kind of global security environment would there be?

This video was made by Mykhailo Dankanych, a former TV producer who is currently serving in the Ukrainian Armed Forces. https://fedi.erabo.de/images/aPossibl...

@randahl Alternatively the issue is not simply numbers of people or economic power, it’s might be military and strategic power.

@randahl
A cynic would say:
Not really 140 million russians anymore, since Putin "lost" afaik about 800.000 soldiers in Ukraine. And he is not stopping...

It's so horrible.😱😭
All this to invade Ukraine and go on a killing, torture and kidnapping spree, to erase a country and a culture. 🤬

Stay strong Ukraine ✊

@randahl @grootinside 800 000 à 1 million de morts en russie à cause du Covid19. Entre 1 à 3 millions de russes ont quitté le pays depuis le début de la guerre, principalement des hommes jeunes et souvent diplômés du supérieur.
@enjod3 @randahl So even less probably. It's not really my point tbh.
Putin kills "his own" citizens for a war nobody wants, not and especially even them.
Putin is may be not as strong as he seems. Yes by military force and state violence, but after all not based on russians. (I guess, who really is eager for war)
@randahl Yes, it is time for Europe to grow confidence again. We have lived in the shadow of the US for way to long.
@randahl
Exactly. Wakey wakey Europe.
@randahl This. Nukes are the only thing that makes sense to me on why we give the Russian “government” any oxygen. The real trick will be if someone can glue together the 500 MM Europeans into a coalition strong enough to go without the US government.
@randahl it is a super bulls eye, very true
@randahl Mr. Tusk is framing argument with population to confront Russia. It's the danger of
conventional war turning into nuclear. That's why U.S. nuclear deterrent is paramount in supporting Ukraine.
@randahl It's time for Europe (EU) getting ONE country.
European Federation. Countries now will get Staates then.
This ist what Trump fears.
@randahl I like this Donald T a lot better than the other one
@randahl America is not the same country that fought WWII. And Europe is now more united, perhaps with the exception of Hungary. Europe has the industry and technology, perhaps it also has the will now, knowing that it must stand on its own, along with Canada. It can no longer depend on the formerly United States.
But even though he has divided the US into a shambles via Trump, Putin has failed. NATO will stand, even without the US.
@randahl one good thing that might come out of all of this is the US leaving Europe altogether. Their troops are present there as much to enforce European obedience as to deter the Russians.

@randahl Don't forget. The USA has always placed themselves in the leading position.

"European countries needn't develop nuclear weapons. We will provide the nuclear umbrella and will be central command."
Selling rocket systems that need their GPS systems.

Together with the hope/ believe in many (western) countries that Russia had become member of the international community and no longer the enemy has made us complacent.
The wake-up call is there, but getting our baring is not easy.

@randahl the 21st Century is in the nuclear age. In the nuclear age the size of one’s population does not define survivability.

To treat a conflict between nuclear powers in 2025 as if it is merely an echo of world wars from the last century is to mischaracterize the realities of now in vital ways.

"I do not know with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones." - likely falsely attributed to Albert Einstein

@davidaugust @randahl Only few years ago i expected the escalating climatecrisis would end all this in some time. Considering the upward spiral of crazyness on superpowerlevel i am not sure about that anymore.😱
@davidaugust @randahl Putin can hardly moan about other countries doing what he does himself, e.g., inviting troops from elsewhere (North Korea) to take part.
@davidaugust I am not seeing nuclear weapons making much of a difference for Russia in Ukraine, no matter the constant sabre rattling.
@randahl @davidaugust I think they make all the difference. If not for the bombs Russia has NATO would be much more aggressive in protecting it's borders. There are several operations NATO countries completed- Iraq, Serbia, Afganistan...
@randahl

The problem is that those 500Mn are broken up into much smaller chunks.

US is able to do what it does militarily and technologically because of if monolithic buying power.

The common is a good starting point, but Europe probably needs to start acting more-collectively to maximize the military power that could come from their aggregated populations and economies.
@randahl
I guess it's not just about number of people but military equipment . People can't just fight against tanks, artillery, planes ...etc..
Unfortunately Europe will have to direct more resources towards this rather than more productive choices

@randahl

Those 140,000,000 Russians presumably include the 870,000 Russians that have fallen while invading Ukraine.