Putin might want to rethink his warning about this being like 1917 in Russia.
@georgetakei
I read this as a GOP leadership crisis...
@georgetakei Either Putin smashes Wagner in the next 24 hours or so, or Russia will dissolve into civil war. Either way, Russia isn't going to have the military resources to maintain their invasion of Ukraine for much longer.
@mos_8502 @georgetakei I'm betting that wagner get army units defecting to them as they go.

@mos_8502 @georgetakei

The idea of a mercenary force potentially taking over a nuclear power is an unsettling idea

@tiberiusgracchus @georgetakei No, what would happen if Putin fell is that the other factions in Russia would fight for control, possibly fracturing or even balkanizing the Russian Federation entirely. I doubt Wagner could actually keep hold of power on its own, even if it killed Putin. Russia is a gigantic machine that runs on fear and corruption. A military junta is unqualified for running that.
@mos_8502
So, we would have several faction with nuclear weapons, who fight each other more or less open. Sounds like a recipe for desaster ...
@tiberiusgracchus @georgetakei

@mos_8502 @georgetakei

Do average Russians even care who's in charge? I'm not getting the feeling they even want to stick around and find out who wins.

Can't say I blame them.

@VHasch @georgetakei You can best sum up the general Russian attitude to everything in one of their sayings: “both are worse”. It’s the most negative, nihilistic culture I’ve ever encountered.

@mos_8502 @georgetakei

They went from a feudal monarchy to socialism to communism to dictatorship to (sort of) capitalism in less than one century. On top of that, two brutal international wars, an even bloodier protracted revolution and the iron fist of Stalin.

Can't blame them for seeing vodka as the most stable thing in the country.

@georgetakei talked to a relative he's saying Belarus is currently on shaky ground with it's military.

@APacilli @georgetakei

Lukashenko is probably the next domino to fall. There are reports he or his family has fled to Turkey.

Thankfully Belarus has a credible opposition leader in Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya who wants to have Belarus join the rest of Europe.

@georgetakei I was also surprised he did not see the implications ;)

@georgetakei "Come along Vlad, we wanna take a photo."

"Gee whizz, sure... wait. That camera looks awfully gun-shaped..."

@georgetakei I’m thinking it’s more like 1698.
@georgetakei
It’s a good time for Ukraine to attack
@caspercdn @georgetakei Big Russian and Putin may be pretending to fight to bait Ukraine into attacking and exposing itself.
@georgetakei more like 1922 in Italy..

@georgetakei -
There is an almost perfect circle going on here with Prighozin launching his coup against Putin in 2023 as he was apparently Putin's "point-person" for interfering in the 2016 U.S. Presidential election.
What goes around comes around...?

I just hope Ukraine can take advantage of Russia's disarray to push the Russians OUT! 🤞 🇺🇦 🌻 #SlavaUkraini

@georgetakei
Hopefully, we can get another USSR without the right-wing authoritarianism and disgusting conservatives and bourgeoise turning it into a hellhole.
@georgetakei The ghost of Czar Nicholas is exacting his revenge!
@georgetakei Has DeSantis offered to send the Nat'l Guard to defend Moscow?
@georgetakei it's probably gonna be another case Russia going from one Dictatorship to another
@georgetakei It's 1991, not 1917. He's on the wrong side of history...
@georgetakei It seems to me Putin hasn't been thinking at all.
@georgetakei
It is an Special Civil Operation 🍿
@georgetakei … I’m straight-up super curious how much of Siberia China is planning to “liberate” when Moscow collapses. I mean, after retaking Manchuria? 🤔
@georgetakei it takes an San Fran minute to get the flow and feel of Mastodon but you can use it a lot like twitter .
Have you tried Spoutable ? Also takes a min to get the hang of but once you do ?
@georgetakei hey George , your awesome buddy , I’m a pretty big fan of your work and also a trek fan, you seem like a really nice guy - keep it up buddy wish you the best