1/n
#WarInUkraine D+448 (17/05) PdS1 -Donbass theater
The last line of defense 🇺🇦 in #Bakhmut is reached, on the 276th day of siege
Around, there was no breakthrough 🇺🇦, for the moment
Offensive, there is still no
BM21 Grad 🇺🇦
2/n
Time machine,
If you missed the column N°CDXLVII of #WarInUkraine, here it is👇
(NB because I didn't translate it, it's in 🇫🇷 )
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1658443629373825025?s=20
“1/n #GuerreEnUkraine D+447 (16/05) PdS1 -Théâtre du #Donbass 🇺🇦ne tiennent plus que les entrées NO & SO de #Bakhmut alors que Wagner approche les limites municipales ouest La messe est dite mais le requiem peut résonner quelques jours encore Aux héros🇺🇦 https://t.co/sDdGlAkcWg”
3/n
1/northern segment, #Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna
In the direction of #Kupyansk,
Artillery preparation and then assault on #Masyutivka, described on this thread, bore some fruit 👇:
#Masyutivka was not conquered but 🇷🇺 pushed back 🇺🇦 from the area they
4/n
had taken over south of #Vilshana
The advance 🇷🇺, made east of the railroad, does not represent a major tactical advance toward #Kupyansk (for that, one would have to cross the #Oskil and then pivot south)👇
5/n
In the direction of #Svatove👇, N.T.R. (to the same failed assaults 🇷🇺 near #novoselivske)
6/n
In the direction of #Kreminna, N.T.R. (to the same assaults 🇷🇺 failed near👇 in the Srebrianska forest, in #Bilohorivka and #Terny)
N.T.R. = no offensive, but artillery exchanges, reco, special ops
T72 🇷🇺 destroyed in the forest
7/n
Reinforcements from #Brest (#Belarus), arrived on this segment of front👇, probably to replace units 🇷🇺 sent to reinforce flanks of #Bakhmut
9/n
The last line of defense is based on three anchor points: the SW exit (Mig-17 square), the NW exit to #Khromove and the "Domino" fort in the west, towards which the 🇷🇺 are advancing 👇(the "Designer" fort fell as I predicted yesterday)
10/n
The Russians have reached the O-0506 (Yuvileyna street)👇
11/n
To put it simply, the last post 🇺🇦 is a defensive triangle whose sides are Tchaikovsky Street (T-0504), Yuvileyna Street (O-0506), and the city limits to the west
The occupancy rate 🇷🇺 is between 90 and 93%👇
12/n
How long will 🇺🇦 be able to hold the western edge of #Bakhmut?
I don't make predictions anymore, sorry!
BUT that doesn't stop me from posting others' if they are rational 😎👇
This one gives 5-10 d before the fall, max
https://twitter.com/N0vigrad/status/1658504680027172865?s=20
13/n
(ii) Outside the ramparts,
In the absence of a breakthrough 🇺🇦 on the flanks of #Bakhmut, WCC spokesman Serhiy Cherevaty has changed his tune: it's no longer about "encircling the city" but "exhausting Russian forces."
Yeah
The counterattack 🇺🇦 continues👇:
14/n
-in the axis of #Yahidne along the #Berkhivka reservoir NW of #bakhmut
-in the axis of #OrikhovoVasylivka👇, in order to protect the left flank of the counterattack 🇺🇦
-in the axis of #Klischiivka SW of #Bakhmut, in the southern salient 🇷🇺
15/n
On the flanks, 🇷🇺 lined up well in defense with Wagner in the city: a withdrawal was made north of #Klischiivka, and west of #Yahidne while reinforcing with elements of the 6th Rifle Div., taken from the #Svatove-#Kreminna segment
17/n
In the #Avdiivka (👇l.) direction, N.T.R. (give or take a few failed 🇷🇺 assaults)
In the direction #Vuhledar (👇r.), N.T.R.
18/n
As always thanks @escortert for the job done in all these updates
Source
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1658814205305167873
“1/n #GuerreEnUkraine D+448 (17/05) PdS1 -Théâtre du #Donbass La dernière ligne de défense 🇺🇦 dans #Bakhmut est atteinte, au 276è jour de siège Autour, il n'y a pas eu de percée 🇺🇦, pour l'heure D'offensive, il n'est toujours point BM21 Grad 🇺🇦 https://t.co/iMnuUOAMTE”
#Ukraine May 17, updates from @escortert. Macette Escortert publishes his report in two parts -> PdS1, #Donbass Theater -> PdS2, #Zaporizhzhya #Crimea #Russia Here is the PdS2 for today 👇
applepie110101
