#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #UnitedStates

TOP lineages (#15DAYTRENDS):

53.6% XBB.1.5
6.5% XBB.1.16
6.0% XBB.1.9.1
2.6% XBB.1.16.1
2.5% XBB.2.3
2.0% XBB.1.5.1
1.5% XBB.1.9.2
1.5% XBB.1.5.13

#SARSCoV2 Tracker: http://tinyurl.com/mryj4uu7 Updated: 04/26/23

1/n

#COVID19 #VariantDashboard - #USA

[without sequences from "Airport Surveillance"]

Top lineages (#15DayTrends):

XBB.1.5 (61.7%)
XBB.1.9.1 (5.1%)
XBB.1.16 (3.4%)
XBB.1.5.1 (1.9%)
XBB.1.5.13 (1.6%)
XBB.1.5.17 (1.6%)
XBB.1.16.1 (1.2%)
XBB.1.5.15 (1.2%)
XBB.2.3 (1%)

2/n

Airport sequences constitute a significant proportion of sequences (~20%) ie., #15DayTrends

If you remove these sequences, its a clear three way race to outcompete XBB.1.5:
XBB.1.9* vs XBB.1.16* vs XBB.2.3*

As of now, XBB.1.16* family looks to over take everything else!

3/n

Sequence count by US States

#California has submitted a big share of sequences with specimen collection dates on or after 04/11/2023

XBB.1.5 is still at the top spot; followed by XBB.1.9.1 and XBB.1.16

4/n

Granular details -#VariantDashboard #USA #15DayTrends

XBB.1.5* (VOI - @WHO) is still ahead of the other lineages!

5/n

.@CDCgov updated variant proportions estimates on 04/21/2023 (updated every Friday)

Prudent to start tracking EG.1* & XBB.2.3* as well

https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1649424522725019650

6/n
---
RT @RajlabN
#SARSCoV2 #VariantProportions - #USA |04/21/23

New @CDCgov #Nowcast estimates:

Top circulating lineages:

XBB.1.5 (73.6%)⬇️
XBB.1.16 (9.6%) ⬆️
XBB.1.9.1 (7.9%)
XBB.1.9.2 (2.9%)
XBB.1.5.1 (2.2%)
FD.2 (1.6%)…
https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1649424522725019650

Raj Rajnarayanan on Twitter

“#SARSCoV2 #VariantProportions - #USA |04/21/23 New @CDCgov #Nowcast estimates: Top circulating lineages: XBB.1.5 (73.6%)⬇️ XBB.1.16 (9.6%) ⬆️ XBB.1.9.1 (7.9%) XBB.1.9.2 (2.9%) XBB.1.5.1 (2.2%) FD.2 (1.6%) XBB (1%) https://t.co/ZWTuG25j4T 1/n”

Twitter

XBB.1.16 has the potential to outcompete all other circulating lineages.

Everyone is closely watching XBB.1.16 hotspots for clues

Tracker: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/TrackingXBB_1_16LineageOverTime/XBB_1_16

7/n

XBB.1.16 is one of the fittest variant in circulation right now.. and is picking up additional mutations... "its the one to watch"

H/T @ErinMPrater @WellatFortune
@FortuneMagazine
https://fortune.com/well/2023/03/31/arcturus-covid-variant-watch-who-world-health-organization-xbb116-omicron-wave

8/n

‘Everyone is kind of tired and has given up’ on COVID. But this new variant is ‘one to watch,’ the WHO says

Here’s what we know so far about the latest variant to raise eyebrows—and the first to do so in several months.

Fortune

What to know about the XBB.1.16 COVID variant causing concern in India

H/T @ingridhein @medpagetoday
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/xbb116-covid-variant-causing-concern-india/story?id=98405058

9/n

What to know about the XBB.1.16 COVID variant causing concern in India

Reports so far do not indicate a rise in severe cases.

ABC News

Predicted Immune Escape and ACE2 binding of top lineages in USA (relative to BA.2)

Bivalent boosters (OG/Omicron.BA.5) will potentially protect the boosted from getting severe disease/ hospitalizations.

Get updated if you haven't already!
https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/ImmuneEscapevsACE2BindingrelativetoBA2-USA15DayTrends/Dashboard2

10/n

.@CDCgov has authorized a second dose of the bivalent Omicron-BA.5 vaccine for older adults and immunocompromised adults

https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1648819491378192384

11/n
---
RT @RajlabN
.@CDCgov allows older adults and immunocompromised adults to get second dose of the bivalent Omicron-BA.5 vaccine https://twitter.com/CDCgov/status/1648798530767560707
https://twitter.com/RajlabN/status/1648819491378192384

Raj Rajnarayanan on Twitter

“.@CDCgov allows older adults and immunocompromised adults to get second dose of the bivalent Omicron-BA.5 vaccine”

Twitter

#COVID19 #Hospitalizations in the #UnitedStates

>60 yr old & immunocompromised Have a good look at @CDCgov info on #Boosters!

#Ventilate Indoor spaces

Sick? --> Wear a good quality #Mask!

Hospital Tracker (by States, by age group):https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/COVID19HospitalizationsUSA/COVID19_HOSP_USA

13/n

Status of the latest #COVID19 Wave in #NewYork #Bellwether #State

Top circulating lineages in NY (#15DayTrends)

XBB.1.5 (45%)
XBB.1.16 (7.8%)
XBB.1.9.1 (5.4%)
XBB.1.5.1 (5.4%)
XBB.2.3 (5.4%)
XBB.1.16.1 (4.7%)

[includes airport surveillance seqs]

13/n

Status of the latest #COVID19 Wave in #California

Top circulating lineages in CA (#15DayTrends)

XBB.1.5 (46.7%)
XBB.1.9.1 (7%)
XBB.1.16 (5.8%)
XBB.2.3 (4.6%)
EG.1 (4.1%)
XBB.1.16.1 (2.5%)
XBB.1.9.2 (2.1%)

[includes airport surveillance sequences]

14/n

USA Airport surveillance update #15DayTrends

244 sequences from 6 US States (#California, #NewYork, #Washington, #NewJersey, #Georgia and #Virginia) from @CDCgov's Traveler-Based Genomic Surveillance Program.

*Includes pooled swabs & Many bad QC seqs

15/n

As COVID Tracking Wanes, Are We Letting Our Guard Down Too Soon?

"Closing up shop too early could mean we are blindsided" “You have to maintain a base level of sequencing for new variants"

H/T @DohenyKathleen @WebMD
https://webmd.com/covid/news/20230411/are-we-letting-our-guard-down-on-covid-too-quickly
16/n

As COVID Tracking Wanes, Are We Letting Our Guard Down Too Soon?

As data tracking declines and mandates disappear, some experts say it’s time to move on, but others are worried about the ability to gear up for the next variant, calling for better surveillance.

WebMD

The next pandemic could be ‘as infectious as this one but far more lethal’—and make COVID look like a cakewalk, expert warns

H/T @ErinMPrater @WellatFortune @FortuneMagazine

https://fortune.com/well/2023/04/26/next-pandemic-sars-cov-3-infectious-transmissibility-lethality-covid-mers-bird-flu/

17/n

The next pandemic could be ‘as infectious as this one but far more lethal’—and make COVID look like a cakewalk, expert warns

“There’s nothing in the book of life that says you couldn’t have a virus that’s as infectious as this one but far more lethal,” he noted.

Fortune
@tRAJectory These figures are…wow