Right now, the entire country of Denmark is using 4245MW of electricity.

Windmills are producing: 3442 MW
Solar is producing: 746 MW

So if we do the math, wind + solar = 98.7% of our energy use right now is 100% renewable

Just a reminder that not only can we fix climate change, we are fixing it.

Note to the many who are questioning the data. This data is from the national grid (energinet.dk) ... where the real-time electricity production/consumption/import/export is shown: So this data is accurate. It's the output of the grid itself.
@baekdal What are the shortcomings of the on or offshore wind farms?
@jameslove @baekdal Mostly that the wind doesn't blow all the time. Offshore, the quality of the wind is slightly better: a capacity factor of over 40%. Storage solutions are necessary, and coming. For Denmark, the Norwegian mountains' hydro capacity already serves as storage. More is needed.
@martinvermeer @baekdal Storage is such a key thing. But does it kill birds too?

@jameslove @martinvermeer @baekdal

Are you advocating for demolishing skyscrapers? Or are you a hypocrite? Skyscrapers and household cats kill way more birds than wind turbines.

@Tazor @martinvermeer @baekdal The question about birds is something I don't know much about. With any technology, you want to know both benefits and negatives, if any. I like hydro-power, but, some projects are controversial.

@jameslove @martinvermeer @baekdal

That's fair. Sorry for being aggressive, the bird question has been used disingenuously before, so it is kinda triggering for me.

@jameslove @martinvermeer @baekdal the main killer of birds is cats, then cars, wind turbines are a long way down the list.
@quixoticgeek @jameslove @martinvermeer @baekdal Environmental devastation from #SuburbanSprawl is responsible for a lot of it too.
@martinvermeer
That and if a turbine faults (and it will) pitch faults, cabinets, transformers, generators etc it's all more complicated to fix offshore
@jameslove @baekdal
@simondoestweets @[email protected] @baekdal And already just building offshore is more difficult and more expensive. But OTOH, for the latest, humongous generation of turbine blades, bringing the blades to location is easier than inland!
Here's an enjoyable video on this boundary condition 🤣
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TzYtP_NC_Pw
#BladeRunner #WindTurbine
LASO MADEIRA 68MTS WINDBLADE

YouTube
@simondoestweets @martinvermeer @jameslove @baekdal
Working high up has its risks too, but there is good safety tech available: fall arrest on the way up, and emergency descent for anyone who gets injured and can't climb down.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UWSckm8zTc8
Taking The Emergency Exit From A Wind Turbine

YouTube
@baekdal and the days when there is no wind, nor sun at night, how do you power the place ? importing german burned coal ?

@sxpert
Well, without wind it would be coal all the time. Also, wind is cheaper. We are stingy people. Norwegian hydro helps a lot also.

Long term: Batteries. Not yet, but soon. Solar and battery parks are already being installed in Denmark on commercial terms.

I should note that Denmark is sunshine poor, and has relatively low electricity prices. And solar+batteries still win. And their price is falling.

Read Casey Handmer to understand the revolution.

@baekdal

@sxpert @baekdal don't make perfect the enemy of the good.

Even if they import fossil fuel power some of the time, they've still lowered their emissions significantly. Ideally we'll get to a zero emission grid, but any progress is good news.

We still need to work on conservation, more sources of power, and lowering emissions from other sources, but this is progress.

#ClimateCrisis

@snoda @baekdal I'd rather replace gas and coal with nuke, makes much more sense.

@sxpert
The free markets build solar and wind quickly. Nuclear takes a long time that we don't have, and I don't want to pay for it. Still, we should keep existing plants going full throttle.

Nuclear has two great advantages: It's much easier for politicians to control which company gets the money, and it gives fossils a longer lifetime. Money talks.

And, believe it or not, I used to be pro nuclear.

@baekdal @snoda

@notsoloud @baekdal @snoda the free markets don't work to provide affordable energy to everyone. the current electricity prices on the EU market is proof enough of that.

@sxpert
We're supposed to be freezing now, due to lack of Russian gas. Energy prices will come down as we build more renewables. Waiting for nuclear will not help.

I'm personally fine with leaving energy production to the market. Energy distribution infrastructure should be government controlled. And poverty should be fixed through taxes and redistribution. But I'll respect it if the votes break your way.
@baekdal @snoda

@baekdal @snoda @notsoloud not closing the existing nuclear with bullshit arguments would have been much smarter, indeed
considering how complicated managing an electricity network is, you can't actually have something functional if everything is not controlled by one entity.
@baekdal , Spain is also on the way with this. The only impediment in moving to renewable energy is not for technical reasons, but because of the influence of certain energy lobbies and related politicians, adding an obsolete Kafka-level bureaucracy, in many EU countries.
@baekdal
The problem in this country is the power companies aren't on board and they won't lower the cost to consumer for wind power. We have to go around them and install our own power cells.

@baekdal I remain to be convinced that we can get to absolute zero emissions using current renewables and storage.

To do so requires storage somewhat as cheap and scalable as a coal tip or the gas storage. Backing up 4GW of renewables probably requires 4x24x90GWh of storage. So around 9,000GWh. The global production capacity of current battery technology is expected to reach 2,000GWh per year by 2028.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1247625/global-production-capacity-of-lithium-ion-battery-factories/

Denmark is just one relatively small country .

Production capacity of lithium-ion battery factories globally | Statista

It is projected that the total production capacity of the world's lithium-ion battery factories will increase from some 290 GWh in 2018 to around 2,000 GWh in 2028.

Statista

@JAYT22
To put your calculation in context, you are asking for storage to cover 90 straight days of no sun or wind.

What percentage of earths population live in places like that?

I'm not going to check your other calculations, I can't take you seriously.
@baekdal

@notsoloud @baekdal

Actually I think that's what the UK learned was necessary after the 1970's energy crises.

And if you think about it, or look at the data, you'll see wind and solar can remain substantially below what's needed for months at a time when there's a season of becalmed weather.

https://www.gridwatch.templar.co.uk/

Three months will not be enough in some year, then I guess the gas turbines will have to be lubed quickly.

I'm not arguing we shouldn't decarbonise, quite the opposite.

G. B. National Grid status

@JAYT22
Have you factored in overprovisioning and curtailment?

Basically, we should overbuild wind and especially solar (since that's cheaper). Run electrolysis for cehmical products when power is cheap, and have enough to cover ordinary consumption even at low production. Batteries, cables and perhaps burning off electrolytes will cover the last few holes. They'll be nowhere near 90 days.

https://caseyhandmer.wordpress.com/2022/07/22/were-going-to-need-a-lot-of-solar-panels/

@baekdal

@JAYT22
That graph doesn't show solar. And I dare say a few things have changed in the energy markets since the seventies.

@baekdal

@notsoloud @baekdal

It does, though solar is not very productive between October and April in the UK.

@JAYT22 @baekdal The need for storage can also be offset by simply interlinking national grids across regions & countries.

@lispi314 @baekdal Indeed it can.

Took about a decade to build the new one under the North Sea to Norway. It's 1.5GW.

UK average demand is around 30-40GW.

@baekdal

This is a very good exploration of the topic, if you can get access to it.

https://www.channel4.com/programmes/guy-martins-great-british-power-trip

@baekdal 🎉 image description: offshore wind turbines in the sea
@baekdal another challenge is we should fix number formats 😅.
Took me a while to realize it wasn't 3,4 MW of wind there 🤪

@baekdal
encouraging progress but you also have to factor in transport fuel and the energy used in manufacture (usually in imports in the west) .. it's not 98.7% of *total* energy use

https://ourworldindata.org/energy/country/denmark

this has charts for *energy* use vs *electricty* use ..if i'm reading it right, thats showing electricity is <20% of total energy use (5727kwh/31865kwh per capita)..that tallies with other charts showing the world is >85% fossil fueled

we're still a loong way off being sustainable.

Denmark: Energy Country Profile

Denmark: Many of us want an overview of how much energy our country consumes, where it comes from, and if we’re making progress on decarbonizing our energy mix. This page provides the data for your chosen country across all of the key metrics on this topic.

Our World in Data
@baekdal Producing them and putting those things in the sea near the coast, that takes energy (and money) as well. And when they die, to replace them (and recycle them if that's possible) how much energy (and money) will that be? I'm serious and curious.

@elzdekorte @baekdal the Wikipedia article is unhelpful, listing fossil fuels in Joules and solar in Watts and doesn't even mention wind power under renewables. Unfortunately the references don't help either. Maybe it's my American misunderstanding of the use of commas and periods in numbers, but your original post could help clarify things for international audience if it were 3.4 GW solar. Wiki didn't have wind or consumption numbers.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Denmark

Wind power in Denmark - Wikipedia

@elzdekorte
Well, the electricity is sold in the market, and the people that build them make money.

So somehow they must get more energy out than in.

If you bother to look for a life cycle assessment, I'm sure you cand find it.
@baekdal

@notsoloud @baekdal I was just wondering, because that is never mentioned.
@baekdal I got confused until I realized that "." is "," in Denmark. :)
@baekdal It seems like if we just taxed carbon and used the revenue to lower taxes on work and investment, people would solve the problem.
People apparently don't trust the taxes would be revenue neutral, or they just don't care about the problem.

@cgervasi
Yeah, also my favourite solution. I heard Canada has it, EU is working on something similar. But it's just much easier to get investments through politically. The IRA works in the US, a tax would never have gone through.

The secret here is that renewables are already cheaper, we just need the change to happen fast. Not gonna be a purist about it.

@baekdal

@baekdal

At what cost to the planet?

How will covering the planet in renewable contraptions help to heal the planet from the harmful activities humans do on a daily basis?

It is human activity that has caused the CCrisis.

Why is curtailing those harmful activities not first on the list of solutions?
Instead, it's not even in consideration. No world leader has called for slashing our energy use as of yet.

Wind/solar production ensure business as usual tactics that led to this problem.
Even if we get to the point where renewables energize our grids, there will still be mining, destruction of what little is left of the natural world, more species pushed into extinction, more lands/water polluted/degraded.

Be pro renewables if you want, but at least be honest and say you don't care for the earth as a whole, and that you think we can survive without the life sustaining systems the natural world provides this planet.

Bc we are killing off those systems on a daily basis now. A thousand cuts eventually leads to a mortal wound.

#TippingPoints
#FalseHopes
#Hopium
#ClimateCrisis
#RenewableEnergy

@504DR
Couldn't find the chart I was looking for, but this is good for scale. Renewables get rid of oil and coal, the rest are much smaller. Iron ore is by far the most mined of those, other metals combined is less (not shown). Mining is about to get much less damaging. Also corn ethanol should go.

The post is about Denmark. A lot has been done in Denmark to save energy WITHOUT curtailing the human activities that make us happy.

Which activities specifically would you curtail?

@baekdal

@notsoloud

Less bad is still bad.
You've glossed over my points that we are destroying the natural world, which are the very life sustaining systems that keep us and the planet alive and thriving.

You're also ignoring the footprint of producing, placing, maintaining and replacing RE contraptions. All of it requires taking up more land/water space, where our footprint already dominates the planet.

We are in drastic times, and my suggestions are equally as drastic.

End FFs exploration/expansion and ration current reserves.

End flying, except for the most critical.

Put the world on a brewed microbe/plant engineered diet.

End petroleum based plastics, switch to plant engineered alternatives.

Switch from a capitalist based economy to a preservation/sustainable based economy, including ubi systems that pay ppl to not work jobs.

Expand work from home systems.

Promote slowing worldwide human population growth.

These are just starters.

First we have to decide - do we want to heal the planet or do we want humans to be comfortable at the expense of every other living species on the planet?

Future generations won't have that choice if we don't change our current ways of life.

@504DR @baekdal

I also think (at least suspect) that any really sustainable society consumes much less energy and other resources than the current ones (at least of industrialized nations or the global mean). We should greatly reduce resource use for any kind of major activity.

Naturally, this goes together with 100% renewable energy.

So, how big can the 100% be? Depends on many circumstances, but for now I'd say the quicker and greater reduction of resource use, the better.

@504DR @baekdal One can't be environmentalist without avoiding animal products which are among the worst for the environment in so many levels. Yet "environmentalists" ignore it when they hear it. They don't want to change on a personal level, can only shout at the government...

#Environment #environmentalCrisis #activism

@Azarilh @baekdal

Very good point.
If one is not vegan, all other claims of being an environmentalist are nullified.

The sheer cruelty/suffering of Animal Ag should be enough to steer anyone away from it, and from an environmental perspective, it can be a vital tool in the fight against the CCrisis, providing immediate and meaningful results in curbing GHGs.

But it seems humans have become so hedonistic that any and all suffering is acceptable as long as we are personally satiated for whatever wants/needs we have.

This is more true than ever, as one of (only a few of) our technologies can solve this problem - brewed microbes that can provide the nourishment we need while freeing up land/water space for rewilding.
Loss of habitat is the great driver of modern species's extinction. Rewilding is the fastest, most ethical way of reversing that, imo.

@baekdal The other important point here is that the entire country is only using 4200 MW of electricity for 5.8 million people. Efficient use is important. Compare that to your state or country
@baekdal ... and using Sweden and Norway to make sure the frequency is stable - otherwise it wouldn't work ;)

@troed
You buy our power when it's cheap and sell when it's expensive, I hear you crying all the way to the bank 😉

Now if only the Kalmar Union hadn't broken up, we could have kept the whole system in country. Really too bad the Swedes took that minor Stockholm incident so personally 🤷‍♂️

@baekdal

@notsoloud @baekdal I'm Scanian - I will take up arms against the Swedes just like my forefathers when you come calling!

But first we need to build a new nuclear plant in Barsebäck :D

/living close to Barsebäck

@baekdal This is one of the many reasons we choose to live in Denmark.
Danish government likely to exempt Ukrainians from controversial refugee 'jewellery law'

A controversial law allowing Danish authorities to confiscate valuable items from refugees is unlikely to be applied to Ukrainians who seek protection in the Nordic country.

The Local
@baekdal Don’t want to imply that this isn’t excellence in green energy production, but are you sure these numbers are accurate? Specifically, is it possible the numbers are conflating the domestic energy production mix with the domestic energy consumption mix — leaving out imported electricity, which Wikipedia says is about 17% of Danish consumption, coming primarily from hydroelectric and nuclear.

@mlaursen
The numbers are current, they change by the minute.

About the production numbers they are definitely what is produced on danish soil. (Or water, whatever)

I'm pretty sure the CO₂ content reflects the current mix of production and import. I couldn't find a source, but I check that page quite often, and the fluctuations seem to match.
@baekdal

@baekdal

> we are fixing it

you mean they are fixing theirs?

@mmasnick