I’m thinking about Jan 2022 vs Dec 2022… how it seems like everything (in tech) has done a 180. Twitter, obviously. But also like, NFTs were the hottest thing! Crypto ads in the Super Bowl! Now it’s completely collapsed. Meta, Amazon et all layoffs, something previously unthinkable. What else?? What about the flip - something that started the year in the toilet and ended up succeeding?

@peepeepoopoop This is indeed pretty amazing.

For me, it seems like COVID kinda pulled off the flip; last Jan it looked like we’d finally figure out how to mitigate infections effectively & permanently yet now it’s just “let ‘er rip!” everywhere, like basically the shrug emoji en masse. Arguably it goes beyond COVID to all pandemics; I mean monkey pox & even Ebola barely make any news now. Like…how? Are this many of us seriously OK dying/suffering/losing certain abilities so miserably? Weird.

@ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop what???? Covid was way way worse last January, it was the height of the omicron wave, measures that had worked on delta were all failing and basically for the only time in the pandemic things were getting canceled because everyone was sick, not just to prevent transmission. Now we have the updated boosters and a reasonable supply of antivirals, things are way better.
@atonal440 @ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop people just aren’t taking the booster. Uptake is still below 15% and doesn’t seem to be moving much. https://news.cuanschutz.edu/news-stories/cdc-study-backs-bivalent-booster-effectiveness.-so-why-is-uptake-so-low
CDC Study Backs Bivalent Booster Effectiveness. So Why is Uptake So Low?

A first real-world study on vaccine effectiveness found bivalent COVID-19 boosters offer infection protection, but uptake rates are low.

@ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop deaths and hospitalizations are down but we still don't know much about long COVID.

Especially in Asia, though, once omicron swept through (and sweeping through china now) the sentiment for people who recovered is almost a sigh of relief.

@peepeepoopoop @ghoshuvo a lot of businesses bet the changes in consumer behavior due to COVID being permanent. Those bills came due. Of course tech liked the way the world worked during lockdowns, it suited them
@ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop Mpox (in the US) these days is mostly good news. The most impacted group, MSM, and the LGBTQ+ community went all in for vaccinations and now it’s nearly gone. Experts think it can once again be eradicated in the US: https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/response/2022/mpx-trends.html
Mopox in the U.S.

Learn more about mpox in the United States.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
@Kkress @ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop thank you for this! I hadn’t heard much about it but this is a GREAT reason why! (And thank you to the LGBTQ+ community for being apparently vastly better at vaccinations than the general population …)
@peepeepoopoop @Kkress while this is true, specific to Mpox, my point was a different one. I was simply implying that some kind of weird ‘pandemic fatigue’ has set in so that we seem to be increasingly oblivious to the ongoing major impact of most infectious diseases…less aware & less concerned (& less empathetic about) than we were in 2020-2021. That doesn’t bode well for future outbreaks of other, novel infectious diseases.

@ghoshuvo @peepeepoopoop 100% agree, the fatigue is real. I just think sharing the relative good news on Mpox is also useful, it shows caring can make a difference.

I suspect its a pendulum effect, we're currently swingimg hard to "not caring" side. Hopefully we'll eventually settle somewhere in the middle, more aware, slightly safer and cautious than we were in 2019.

@peepeepoopoop Biden, kinda. At the start of the year people thought that his agenda was totally dead and that the midterms would be a slaughter.
@peepeepoopoop democrats outperformed jan 2022 expectations.
@peepeepoopoop HBO max streaming platform falling apart.
@stefan @peepeepoopoop and I never even took the opportunity to jump on that bandwagon
@stefan @peepeepoopoop Wait, it has? I missed whatever happened there.
HBO Max, TBS, TNT Cancellation Frenzy: Every Project Scrapped in Wake of Warner Bros. Discovery Merger

More like Bleak TV, amirite? The seismic Warner Bros. Discovery merger has made for one bloody brutal summer in the television biz

TVLine
@peepeepoopoop The CHIPS Act is going to have many incredibly positive and far-reaching effects on R&D, education, manufacturing, and workforce development.
@peepeepoopoop Electric vehicles.
@Helchose @peepeepoopoop interesting that EVs are taking off just as their biggest billionaire proponent self destructs
@peepeepoopoop Machine learning made some pretty huge advancements this year. In particular image generation was terrible in Jan 2022 and pretty good now!

@peepeepoopoop Donald Trump, depending on your perspective. In 01/2022 he was still the standard bearer for the far right.

Today he is trailing Desantis in the polls and FOX/Murdoch is calling him a grifter/clown/has been.

Quite a 180 IMHO.

@peepeepoopoop "AI" which is really just machine learning for sure. No one thought the advancements we saw this year from Open.AI were doable so soon.
@peepeepoopoop Down: All the algo-buying operations (Zillow trying to buy and flip homes, Carvana the same with cars).
Up: If I remember, at the start of the year there was a lot of talk about 2022 being the "Return to the Office." I think remote work held up relatively well despite the corporate push.
@jeremyryan @peepeepoopoop yeah i think a lot of that "return to office" push was (tbf really good) corporate PR, not the actual sentiment of the majority of people. it will certainly change, but this will never go away
@peepeepoopoop Maybe it's just because I was listening to the right people all along, but I don't remember hearing anything other than "NFTs are an obvious scam and anyone who buys them is dumb."
@probablyjohnfunk @peepeepoopoop I think a lot of us thought tlthey weren't worth buying. It was the media trying to make something substantial out of it.
@probablyjohnfunk @peepeepoopoop the only people I saw seriously consider NFTs we're tone deaf celebs, crypto bros and desperate artists. That's it. I saw very few real artists buy in. Talk about a thing that's clearly a scam

@probablyjohnfunk @peepeepoopoop I bet my broker* that by the end of the year someone in crypto would be federally indicted and yay? I won?

Of course, he can’t place bets and retain his trading license, so my win is just nominal but it’s exciting to win a bet with my broker where he doesn’t get to take a commission.

*Yes I still use a broker; I find the transactional speed bump means I think more before I buy or sell.

@peepeepoopoop Not exactly in the toilet, but AI has had a bananas year. From Siri getting every request wrong, to ChatGPT writing code for me.
@peepeepoopoop Me too! I started the year suddenly unemployed and still mostly stuck at home. Now I've got a good job a new hobby (stand-up comedy.)
@peepeepoopoop -
Definitely more things down than up this year, but how about...
AI - specifically the ChatGPT AI chatbot.
and definitely Nuclear Fusion Power.
@peepeepoopoop but crypto and NFTs were always nonsense, just with highly-self-interested marketers attached
@peepeepoopoop the Matter spec might make the Internet of Things/Smart Home not suck anymore.
@peepeepoopoop to your list, I’d add growing disenchantment with billionaires and the myths that are propagated about wealthy people somehow being good leaders.
@peepeepoopoop Americans actually know of Taiwan again like it's the 80s
@peepeepoopoop the tech layoffs weren't that surprising.
Layoffs happen when recession happen, also tech might have over hired during the pandemic
@peepeepoopoop the layoffs are over hyped, really miniscule in comparison to the big picture. Crypto and NFTs are just another plan to bill people out of their money with analysts pulling the same hype as they did for Enron, Worldcom, derivative bundled mortgages.
@peepeepoopoop as someone that has spent years pining for some counterbalance to the ways that the mobile oligopolists have broken browsers and choice, this year has been the start of the tide turning, and it feels pretty great

@peepeepoopoop

People thought Sonic Frontiers was going to be a terrible game and it ended up a finalist contender for viewer favorite at the game awards.

If you count video game franchises, Sonic the Hedgehog is having a bona fide renaissance right now

@peepeepoopoop We started off the year 🚀and ended 💩when it came to stonks.
@peepeepoopoop I'm hoping someone will bring the Blackberry Storm back to market, that baby had a touchscreen as well as a keyboard, wrap your head around that fact if you can.

@peepeepoopoop I think the rise of fragmented social platforms is the most interesting story around - not just mastodon but there's lots of little social products popping up (Post.news, cohost, etc). This seemed unthinkable in Jan 22, the only fragmentation was alt-right platforms that have all but vanished now.

I'm excited to see what will happen in 2023 with these platforms.

@peepeepoopoop Democrats mid-term prospects.
@peepeepoopoop Well...Cyberpunk 2077 made quite a turnaround!
@peepeepoopoop @waldoj Not exactly starting in the toilet and too early to tell about succeeding, but Mastodon, and by extension, open web standard protocols.
@peepeepoopoop Russia's military reputation, China's COVID management reputation
@peepeepoopoop my mental health? Does that count?
@peepeepoopoop Tumblr has had something of a resurrection and rehabilitation, and seems to be moving in a positive direction towards federation, as well as magnificent moves like the comedy purchasable ticks
@peepeepoopoop
How about President Biden? He had a pretty damned good 2022, given where he started.
@peepeepoopoop Biden / dems might be the most consequential one? It looked like they weren't going to get anything passed and get boatraced in the midterms.
@peepeepoopoop continued inflation most likely. A lot of tech companies run on hopium and are money sinks. If it costs more to borrow there’s nowhere to hide for them