I see a lot of pundit speculation and debate that goes something like, “well, only the hackers and cybersecurity people are moving to Mastodon - and everyone else is just going to stay on #Twitter “, but the thing the folks saying this do not understand is that we are a canary.

We watched Twitter get rid of qualified #cybersecurity people who we personally knew. We understand the implications of privacy teams and lawyers being fired has on our data. We hollered about the way the new blue check system would be abused days before billions were lost by a couple companies. We understood the implications of rapid and haphazard terminations. The bottom line is:

1) We know our login data, DMs, and private posts really aren’t secure at all anymore due to lost competent staff and disgruntled employees,

and

2) Twitter probably won’t just shut down this month or next month, but it’s going to start having some serious and unpredictable financial and technical problems due to the people who were let go as well as Elon’s apparent instability and lack of checks.

So, we migrated. Other communities don’t necessarily have this inside baseball, and they understandably just feel like Twitter is too big to fail. We will see if stuff that happens over the coming weeks pushes more folks here, or to other social media sites. Depends a lot on our outreach and what we do with this community.

@hacks4pancakes
If the pundit you are listening to told you how awesome things would be once Elon took over
Why are you still listening to them?

Elon outright blocked the head of an advertising group who dared asked him questions...
Advertisers are how Twitter makes money and he flipped them off in a very public way.

I expect 'vulture capital' debt loading & bankruptcy, data is an asset. Your data selling to who knows for 2 cents on the dollar. Not like the US has real privacy laws

@That_AC @hacks4pancakes 'Vulture capital'-level debt-loading is what financed the purchase tho.
@opendna @hacks4pancakes
One needs to remember that his goal in the end is to create X, his everything in 1 platform.
What he imagined was a well managed codebase for social media would be quite a get and if he can stick it to those who financed him getting it.
I expect to see a few more things stuffed in...
I mean one of his companies just signed an advertising buy on a site that advertisers are currently avoiding.
@That_AC @hacks4pancakes In an alternate universe in which he asked my opinion, the layoffs were a head-fake and he instead began building payment systems on top of what was bought. You know, started gunning for PayPal, Patreon, GoFundMe, Kickstarter, Stripe, VISA...
@hacks4pancakes It's not just the security folks though. I used to be an astrophysicist, and right now the #astrotwitter community are decamping en masse to #Mastodon, and other academic communities are following the STEM lot. I mean, I guess you could trace a causal link. A lot of us ex-academic folks ended up in canary-like roles, so they're taking their lead from us? But I honestly think that we've reached the tipping point. Twitter will eventually be sold to Yahoo for a couple of million.
@aallan @hacks4pancakes
Librarians, archivists, artists, and writers, too
@aallan @hacks4pancakes Jack will buy it out of bankruptcy for nostalgic reasons.
@aallan @hacks4pancakes I *demand* the names of astronomers that I should be following on Mastodon. :)
@pseudomnom @hacks4pancakes Let's see, @Chrislintott and @markmccaughrean, @sarahkendrew and @profbriancox, @karenlmasters and @RocketToLulu, @planet4589 and @planetdr. At least, those are the ones I can think of off the top of my head? I'm probably missing some folks and I'm going to get told off now.
@aallan Thanks for the helpful list!
@pseudomnom @hacks4pancakes …and of course I forgot @mpoessel. Doh! 🤦‍♂️
@aallan That wasn't what I meant, but thanks!
@mpoessel I know. Or, at least, I guessed. But still!
@aallan thanks beautiful to hear Alasdair

@aallan, @hacks4pancakes, frontend development community, too (with field-specific instances, likes front-end.social)

The exodus may not span every field but it seems widespread and significant

@aallan @hacks4pancakes the problem I have with this is that it's more fragmented and exclusionary. Many science instances ask for research links. On Twitter you could directly see anyone's timelinea dn interact with anyone. I'm looking the experience so far but this is the one thing that I really don't like. I went to college to study physics but ended up in tech and then photography, but I love how accessible papers have become.
@aallan
TIL there's an astrophysicist community on Twitter (now mastodon)
@deweyritten There are a whole bunch of #Astronomy folks moving to #Mastodon. Let's see, @Chrislintott and @markmccaughrean, @sarahkendrew and @profbriancox, @karenlmasters and @RocketToLulu, @planet4589, @planetdr and @mpoessel. At least, those are the ones I can think of off the top of my head? I'm probably missing some folks and I'm going to get told off.
@deweyritten @Chrislintott @markmccaughrean @RocketToLulu @planet4589 @mpoessel Ah. Looks like some of those folks have decamped to astrodon.social. Oops.
@aallan
All good, I'm lurking now like a 100% creepster.

@aallan

BTW -- a meteor landed in Canada.

That's always going to be the tricky part, getting their server right if they're not on the same one.
@fcain right, and it’s not a small problem!!
@fcain I’m honestly not sure I can do this mastodon thing if findability and reliability doesn’t improve.
It's complex in the same way that a lifeboat is more complex than cruise ship. But if your ship is going down, you're grateful for the lifeboat.
@aallan @deweyritten @Chrislintott @RocketToLulu @planet4589 @mpoessel Thanks, Al. I keep meaning to move over to astrodon.social, but it’s partly a matter of finding a moment. There are indeed many other astronomers here on Mastodon already though – will perhaps make a trawl through the list of folk I follow.
@hacks4pancakes Yup, power users/technical users show up first, and they leave first as well. The masses eventually follow. Because who does everyone ask what technology to use?

@hacks4pancakes

really like the canary analogy.. if the hackers and the journalists run, you should be alarmed.

List of journalists on Mastodon:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/13No4yxY-oFrN8PigC2jBWXreFCHWwVRTftwP6HcREtA/htmlview?pru=AAABhJYs2hY*7QUy45A9prsi8tqkloIdYA

Journalists on Mastodon and Fediverse (Responses) - Google Drive

@hacks4pancakes excellent summary, and I agree. We're probably among the first because we're burdened with knowledge, realism or pessimism IDK what weighs most.

But that's just one thing - our data, which no doubt is way more at risk now, than it was before from public exposure.

Another thing is ethics, both in the ongoing transition, but also the envisioned offering going forward.

It's not like paying for Twitter suddenly makes us not the product. You'll still see ads, and everything you do will still be heavily data mined. That's just a p*ss poor deal all around, even more for those that are actively engaging, and not just consuming what others output.

But if you combine this with the insane treatment and mass firings of people - because Elon overpaid, pissed all the advertisers off, and because he loves going into full "rescue operations mode" (similar stories from Tesla and SpaceX) where you get fired on the spot, decisions are made at a whim and you're expected to sacrifice everything as an employee only to see the decision changed again days later ... well, I'm not a fan.

There's a very ugly Elon pattern here. And it's not pretty at all. He's not getting my $8.

@hacks4pancakes Well put! I was just pondering a few of these points earlier this evening.
@hacks4pancakes Barring catastrophic collapse in the service, I should think the transition still takes years from here, not days. Most of my friends aren’t even on Twitter—there’s no point my even pitching Mastodon to them until at least another 10x in users. (Good luck all admins!)

@hacks4pancakes I would not go as far as claiming that "we know better" (perhaps we do, perhaps we don't) and are a canary, it's not beyond Twitter's capability to restaff these departments we, as a community, deem critical. (I am playing the devil's advocate here, I personally don't believe they will before significant damage is done.)

However, we disliked what took place enough to call it quits, that's true but not all. Our community is also filled with diversity, part of us feels threatened by the far-right empowered by the recent shift in tides, and we are tight-knit enough to stick together and try to find safer places and spaces to interact.

(This is, of course, my humble take on why the "hackers and infosec experts" have fled.)

@hacks4pancakes Not just security - I’m seeing legal and policy folks here which I suspect is partly the same mindset. Some journos here already but I think the trade-offs there are different.

@hacks4pancakes it's always the niche tribes that move and then the trolls follow. The ones who move early are the ones who start conversations & later come the opinionate masses who create noise without adding value.

A lot lies on the shoulders of moderators and instance admins.

@hacks4pancakes Many other communities don't have the wherewithal to know where to go. I subscribe to a few #miltiwtter accounts. Not sure they'd have a place to go or the expertise to know how to set one up. (my 2 cents).
@hacks4pancakes Kind of like this, but from an cyber security and information's security perspective 😅​
@hacks4pancakes Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More… "everyone […] knew the system was failing, but no one could imagine an alternative"
@hacks4pancakes my thinking is that until the sex workers migrate, twitter will zombie on, as they have nowhere else to go to get the reach they need

@Taco_lad @hacks4pancakes I kind of agree, but SWers are also a very vulnerable minority, and one other large group of people migrating away right now besides tech/law/security literate users and academics are vulnerable minorities.

The more unstable/insecure the platform becomes, or, say, the more likely "Just Some Guy Being Paid $4/hr" can read your DMs while they're moderating the site, the more likely people who's IRL safety relies on proper privacy will leave.

@hacks4pancakes I was wondering if the current situation warrants a more general discussion of "Twitter as a concept"?

When a channel/platform has the power to globally affect billions of dollars or, likely, much worse (any sort of government official mentioning a nuclear strike would be liable to cause mayhem), it certainly means it has become (even if it wasn't meant to) a critical communication channel. Does it make ANY sense to "outsource" that channel to a private, for profit company?

@hacks4pancakes Twitter. Twitter won't become defunct à la GeoCities. More like AOL, which is basically part of the landfill now.

@hacks4pancakes I see the entirety of genetics/virology/med comm community already here (including journals, editors and funding agencies), posting much more freely due to the increased difficulty of troll operations here. A good chunk of non-corporate AI/ML is here too.

None of those people are particularly techy, and have gotten through learning curve after they figured the instances stuff.

@hacks4pancakes That last sentence deserves to be in bold and underlined with <blink> tags around it.
@hacks4pancakes I won't lie, when I saw you were here, I knew I'd made the right decision in having an exit from Twitter.
@hacks4pancakes FWIW, the same is true of large amounts of the legal community. Most still have a toe in each pool, but a lot of lawyers (particularly academics, corporate-adjacent lawyers, and lawyers who have been online for a long time) recognized the gravity of the problems and were quick to set up camp on Mastodon. The writing is on the wall at Twitter.

@hacks4pancakes BTW, if trying to convince non-tech folks that they need somewhere else to go, it might be easier to tell them Elon's going to run out of money, which is also true. He's added a billion dollars a year of debt service to Twitter's other expenses, he's chased away a lot of advertisers who provide almost all of the revenue, they were losing money before he started, and cash reserves are finite.

(Which is, BTW, why he's desperate to monetize users, but that's failing too.)

@hacks4pancakes one more data point in support of „it‘s not just the hackers, though“: I’m also seeing a lot of the biosciences folks migrating
@li5a which is thrilling anc I’m so glad! More perceptive folks who get cause and effect!

@hacks4pancakes I think the descriptor of us being a canary is really spot on.

Yes, it sucks that you might have to find a new place, but don't stick around when you see the people who understand how this works leaving. If I saw the same with Meta I would be shutting down my useless FB account ASAP. If I saw this behavior with ANY company, I'd be pulling out if I had any interactions with them.

We try not to be doom and gloom, but when you're in this line of work, it comes with the territory.

@hacks4pancakes

Good analysis.
It's been very interesting watching the small things break as things progressed, so I wholeheartedly agree with the "canary" imagery.

@hacks4pancakes It's good that people aren't moving to mastodon all at once. This initial wave of people will help iron out some of the scaling problems of the community, drive home the point that RoR just won't work for few big instances and the community will learn to deal with cultural differences (twitter etiquette 🤢) and moderation tools will have to develop to deal with the new volume of content.
@hacks4pancakes "We know our login data, DMs, and private posts really aren’t secure at all anymore due to lost competent staff and disgruntled employees" Even if they had competent staff, no DMs are safe with Musk at the helm. Who's going to fire him for demanding to peek at Grimes' DMs?
@hacks4pancakes
And this is also lagging behind on the facts: in my timeline, a lot of jounalists, institutions, scientists and high profile "civilians" have turned up. They are the important content creators who are the backbone of why Twitter is relevant. They have at least begun to migrate too. Twitter *is* not relevant, we *make* it relevant. That relevance can and should be revoked.
@hacks4pancakes I think this is right, and a similar thing happened with the accessibility community when they fired the entire a11y team.