Midterms and the Iran War: Defining Power, Public Support, and the Post-Westphalian Transition

This paper argues that the trajectory of the U.S.–Iran war is constrained less by battlefieldcapability than by political time: elections, media-defined frames, and the durability of publicconsent. The central variable is defining power—the ability to fix the meaning of the war in afragmented information environment. The paper develops three linked claims. First, astructural conflict between the administration and established media institutions weakenscoordinated agenda-setting in wartime. Second, the reversal of diplomatic normalisation after7 October 2023 illustrates how quickly regional predictability can be undone when proxyarchitectures reintroduce high-intensity conflict. Third, the U.S. midterm cycle exerts agravitational pull towards short-term stabilisation over strategic completion, makingdefinitional power and public support decisive constraints on strategic resolve. Throughout,the paper separates factual claims from scenario-level inference and treats projections withcaution. 

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#CRTI is now included in the #Complexity&ComputationCommunity on #Zenodo … a small but meaningful step toward positioning structural compression within complex systems research.🖖

One small step can make your research more visible.

If your publication in OpenAIRE CONNECT or EXPLORE does not yet include an Open Access version, you can now upload one directly to Zenodo in just a few clicks.

🔗Read more: https://l1nq.com/h7spbvo

#OpenAIRE #OpenAccess #OpenScience #Zenodo

SWAT4HCLS Tutorial: KG Construction with ONTOP

Source files and pdf of the tutorial held at SWAT4HCLS 2026

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I wish people from #Codeberg and #Zenodo would collaborate to get the same clever integration features that allow people to preserve #GitHub releases at Zenodo. I bet people from the scientific community would like that. Is it too much to wish some big sciency inftrastructure group would fund this? ;-)

I'm going to archive stuff at Zenodo as I move out of GitHub.

Update - Tip from Ale Abdo: let's use #SoftwareHeritage !

#hopeful #FLOSS

Archival copy posted on #Zenodo (same paper as on #SSRN “Climate Change and Mental Health: The Hidden Impact of Temperature Fluctuations.”

🔗 https://zenodo.org/records/19414712
#Schizophrenia #MentalHealth

Climate Change and Mental Health: The Hidden Impact of Temperature Fluctuations

Climate change discussions predominantly focus on ecological and economic consequences,frequently neglecting profound psychological implications. This paper examines the criticallink between temperature fluctuations and mental health stability, particularly for vulnerablepopulations with pre-existing conditions such as schizophrenia. By integrating physiologicalmechanisms—including regulatory disruption and the impairment of circadian rhythms—with personal observation and selected case contexts, this note highlights a “cascade ofvulnerability”. Special attention is given to lessons from disaster-recovery regions such asFukushima, arguing that environmental stability must be recognised as a medical necessity.The paper concludes that proactive mental health infrastructure and climate adaptationstrategies are essential for a resilient and equitable society. This paper is non-clinical andnon-diagnostic, and it does not propose diagnostic criteria or treatment protocols.

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Archival copy posted on #Zenodo (same paper as on #SSRN ) “Impact of Japan’s Nuclear Shutdown.”

🔗 https://zenodo.org/records/19388158
#Yen #energy #Nuclear

Impact of Japan's Nuclear Shutdown on the Macroeconomy, 2011–2024

This paper examines how Japan’s post-Fukushima nuclear shutdown affected itsmacroeconomy over the period 2011–2024. It focuses on the transmission mechanism fromthe loss of nuclear baseload power to higher energy imports, a persistent trade deficit, anddownward pressure on the yen.Using trade and energy statistics for 2011–2024, the paper argues that the suspension ofnuclear reactors significantly increased Japan’s dependence on imported LNG and coal. This,in turn, worsened the trade balance and contributed to a structurally weaker yen, amplifyingthe domestic impact of global energy and food price shocks. Japan’s experience offers acautionary case study for other countries considering large, rapid shifts in their energy mixwithout simultaneously securing alternative domestic capacity.The analysis is deliberately simple and stylised. It does not claim that energy alonedetermines the exchange rate. Rather, it shows how the nuclear shutdown created abackground of continuous energy-related outflows that interacted with monetary policy,global financial conditions and capital flows to shape the trajectory of the yen between 2011and 2024.

Zenodo

Archival copy posted on #Zenodo (same paper as on SSRN): “Reducing AI Hallucinations via Epistemic Error Resolution: An Engineering Framework Integrating Buddhist ‘Three Afflictions’ and Second Physics.”

🔗 https://zenodo.org/records/19354755
#SSRN #AIethics #LLM

Reducing AI Hallucinations via Epistemic Error Resolution: An Engineering Framework Integrating Buddhist "Three Afflictions" and Second Physics

This paper proposes an engineering framework to reduce large-language-modelhallucinations by treating them as epistemic failures that arise when outputs lack a coherentSource of Action and responsibility attribution. We integrate a Buddhist taxonomy of threeafflictions—ignorance (avidyā), delusion (moha), and wrong view (mithyā-dṛṣṭi)—withSecond Physics quantities, including correspondence pressure A, existence phase φ(t),relational syntactic memory M ≡ E+δΨ, responsibility load ρ, and relational existence Exi(t).The proposed protocol follows a two-stage design: fluent drafting may use probabilisticgeneration, but final emission is gated by correspondence and responsibility constraints,including a responsibility-conservation check that detects responsibility leakage. Underexplicitly stated constraints, a broad class of responsibility-free assertions becomesstructurally excludable without sacrificing fluency. We outline implementable proxies andlimitations, and position the framework as an engineering language for designing “honestgeneration” under accountability. 

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Now on #Zenodo: “Second Physics and the Accountability Framework for Automated Driving Systems (ADS): Technical Limits, Human Oversight, and Responsibility for Courts and Regulators.”

🔗https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19334238
#ADS #AIEthics

Second Physics and the Accountability Framework for Automated Driving Systems (ADS): Technical Limits, Human Oversight, and Responsibility for Courts and Regulators

Automated Driving Systems (ADS) are moving from closed, geofenced environments intoopen public roads. In golf courses, industrial sites, and campus shuttles, current technologyalready delivers what can reasonably be called automated driving. The remaining questionsfor courts and regulators are not whether ADS are technically possible, but under whatconditions they can be deployed at scale while preserving safety and assignableresponsibility.This technical note introduces a conceptual framework based on Second Physics, in whichlegal responsibility ρ is treated as a conserved quantity within a socio-technical system wherehumans, institutions, and technical artefacts interact. In this view, AI systems cannot be thefinal bearers of responsibility: only human or institutional actors endowed with an underlyingsource f₀ can ultimately carry ρ. Applied to ADS, this implies that talk of ‘AI fault’ cannoteliminate responsibility; it can only obscure the flows of ρ between manufacturers, softwareproviders, operators, insurers, regulators, and users.The note identifies three structural constraints that any acceptable legal regime for ADSshould respect: (i) an AI Non-Terminality Principle — AI cannot be the ultimateresponsibility bearer; (ii) a Control–Benefit Alignment Principle — responsibility shouldfollow effective control over ADS behaviour and long-term benefits from its operation; and(iii) an Evidence Preservation and Disclosure Principle — logs, sensor data, and softwarestates must be recorded, retained, and made available to the competent authorities afterserious accidents. Without such a framework, victims cannot realistically prove ‘AI fault’,and prudential solvency constraints will deter manufacturers and insurers from large-scaledeployment, regardless of technical feasibility. 

Zenodo

Now on #Zenodo “Mental Health, Second Physics, and Digital Phenotyping.”

🔗https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19317337
#MentalHealth #SecondPhysics

Mental Health, Second Physics, and Digital Phenotyping: A Framework of Non-Invasive Indicators for Psychiatric Monitoring

This technical note explores how the core quantities of Second Physics—correspondencepressure A, bond E, and staying pressure Ψ—can be used as a conceptual and mathematicalframework for understanding mental strain, resilience, and breakdown. It proposes thatexisting digital phenotyping tools (wearables, smartphones, messaging logs) can be mappedonto these variables to provide non-invasive, relational indicators of a person’s structuralsituation: how much they are being pressed to respond (A), what has been structurallyrecorded in the relation (E), and how much response has been sustained over time (Ψ).The note is intended as a bridge between Second Physics and mental-health practice: astructured language for phenomena clinicians already encounter, and a set of hypotheses thatcan be tested, criticised, and refined by empirical research.Relational “syntactic memory” is treated as M ≡ E + δΨ (defined in the Second Physicsformalism), combining structural change and sustained response.This note is non-clinical and non-diagnostic, and it does not propose diagnostic criteria ortreatment protocols. 

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