If anybody tells you that „1.5C is within reach“ or „alive“ or similar, please don’t laugh at them but show them this graph.

Source: https://www.unep.org/resources/production-gap-report-2023

#ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #ProductionGap

Production Gap Report 2023

The Production Gap Report — first launched in 2019 — tracks the discrepancy between governments’ planned fossil fuel production and global production levels consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.

UNEP - UN Environment Programme

#ProductionGap leads to #EmissionsGap

"To get on track for the internationally agreed target of 1.5C, 22bn tonnes of CO2 must be cut from the currently projected total in 2030, the report said. That is 42% of global #emissions and equivalent to the output of the world’s five worst polluters: China, US, India, Russia and Japan."

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/20/world-facing-hellish-3c-of-climate-heating-un-warns-before-cop28

World facing ‘hellish’ 3C of climate heating, UN warns before Cop28

‘We must start setting records on cutting emissions,’ UN boss says after temperature records obliterated in 2023

The Guardian

The UNEP Production Gap report on Australia’s🇦🇺 disconnect on #climate targets and #fossilfuel expansion
UN SecGen: “governments are literally doubling down on fossil fuel production; that spells double trouble for people and planet”

#ClimateCrisis #UNEP #Australia #UNEP #ProductionGap

https://takvera.blogspot.com/2023/11/production-gap-2023-report-australias.html

Production Gap 2023 Report: Australia's disconnect on net zero emissions while expanding fossil fuel production

Writings on climate change, sea level rise, ocean acidification, biodiversity loss, climate adaptation & protests from a Melbourne Citizen Journalist.

The "#ProductionGap" sounds like it's an inevitable thing that we can only measure helplessly, but the truth is that it is related to the "#SubsidyGap":

The world spends about $500 bn a year subsidizing the profits of #FossilFuel companies. This is five times what the global climate fund is looking for: only $100 bn a year. The rest could be redirected to clean energy, public transit, climate justice, all that.

It's a CHOICE we make.

https://theconversation.com/uns-global-stocktake-on-climate-is-offering-a-sober-emissions-reckoning-but-there-are-also-signs-of-progress-217093

UN's 'global stocktake' on climate is offering a sober emissions reckoning − but there are also signs of progress

Many countries still plan to increase fossil fuel production in the coming years and are offering big subsidies. Negotiators have their work cut out for them when the COP28 climate summit begins.

The Conversation

The importance of government policy:

"Whereas the International Energy Agency projected that we’d hit peak fossil-fuel use in 2030, the U.S. Energy Information Administration came to a very different conclusion: It saw demand for fossil fuels rising through at least 2050. The difference between the two agency’s models is how they treat #GovernmentPolicy."

#ProductionGap
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/11/climate-change-policies-contradictions/675967/

The Climate Contradiction That Will Sink Us

The math isn’t adding up.

The Atlantic

Taken together, government plans and projections would lead to an increase in global coal production until 2030, and in global oil and gas production until at least 2050. This conflicts with government commitments under the Paris Agreement, and clashes with expectations that global demand for coal, oil, and gas will peak within this decade even without new policies.
#ProductionGap #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #FossilFuel

Read. more: https://www.productiongap.org/2023report/#R1

https://youtu.be/SlujYjYYWlI?feature=shared

2023 Report - Production Gap

Production Gap
"The report analysed the 20 major fossil fuel producers and found they plan to produce, in total, around 110% more #FossilFuels in 2030 than would be consistent with limiting the degree of warming to 1.5C, and 69% more than is consistent with 2C."

#ProductionGap
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/global-fossil-fuel-production-plans-far-exceed-climate-targets-un-says-2023-11-08/
Global fossil fuel production plans far exceed climate targets, U.N. says

Global fossil fuel production in 2030 is set to be more than double the levels that are deemed consistent with meeting climate goals set under the 2015 Paris climate agreement, the United Nations and researchers said on Wednesday.

Reuters
"The world’s biggest producers of #FossilFuels aren’t letting go of dirty energy just yet. In fact, most of them plan to keep producing coal, oil, and natural gas for decades to come, despite signs that demand for dirty energy will peak this decade."

#PeakOilDemand #ProductionGap
https://grist.org/energy/un-production-gap-fossil-fuels-coal-oil-gas-paris/
The world is doubling down on fossil fuels even as global demand peaks

A new UN report finds a growing gap between climate goals and oil and gas production.

Grist
Silvesterparty 2030 fällt aus👎Die heutigen Pläne der Regierenden unseres Planeten sind Null vereinbar mit dem 1,5°C oder 2°C Ziel !
Der neue UN #ProductionGap Bericht zeigt die Diskrepanz zwischen der GEPLANTEN Produktionsmenge fossiler Brennstoffe und der Menge, die mit 1/5
The world’s #FossilFuel🛢️producers are planning expansions that would blow the planet’s #carbon budget twice over, a UN 🇺🇳 #ProductionGap report has found. Experts called the plans “insanity” which “throw humanity’s future into question” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/08/insanity-petrostates-planning-huge-expansion-of-fossil-fuels-says-un-report
‘Insanity’: petrostates planning huge expansion of fossil fuels, says UN report

Plans by nations including Saudi Arabia, the US and UAE would blow climate targets and ‘throw humanity’s future into question’

The Guardian