"Beneath the surface of the AI "revolution" lies a dirty secret: that most of the money is one of four companies feeding money to a company incubated by NVIDIA specifically to buy GPUs and their associated hardware.
These Neoclouds are entirely dependent on a continual flow of private credit from firms like Goldman Sachs (Nebius, CoreWeave, Lambda for its IPO), JPMorgan (Lambda, Crusoe, CoreWeave), and Blackstone (Lambda, CoreWeave), who have in a very real sense created an entire debt-based infrastructure to feed billions of dollars directly to NVIDIA, all in the name of an AI revolution that's yet to arrive.
Those billions — an estimated $50 billion a quarter for the last three quarters at least — will eventually have the expectation of some sort of return, yet every Neocloud is a gigantic money loser, with CoreWeave burning $300 million in the last quarter with expectations to spend more than $20 billion in capital expenditures in 2025 alone.
At some point the lack of real money in these companies will make them unable to pay their ruinous debt, and with NVIDIA's growth already slowing, I think we're watching a private credit bubble grow with no way for any of the money to escape.
I'm not sure where it'll end, but it's not going to be pretty."
https://www.wheresyoured.at/is-there-any-real-money-in-renting-out-ai-gpus/
#AI #GenerativeAI #Nvidia #Neoclouds #CoreWeave #Lambda #Nebius #GPUs