πŸ˜“ And reminder in case you might not be seeing how bad these numbers are: this is +21,000 micromorts. Which is 10x riskier than ascending the Matterhorn πŸ”οΈ, 100x more than base jumping πŸͺ‚ or 1000x than a tour in Afghanistan as a US soldier πŸͺ–
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#data #datascience #MastodonScience #mastodondata #science
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https://mastodon.social/@freakonometrics/111168291500866379

How healthy is the Mastodon echo system?

What data should be tracked to determine the health?

Is growth in active users the best indicator?

Should users of Mastodon even care?

Is the network effect important?

How big should Mastodon be?

Heres a couple of charts looking at daily activity over the past month. Is this useful?

Data Source: https://api.joinmastodon.org/statistics

#MastodonGrowth #MastodonData #MastodonCharts

@ad5nl @jeffjarvis @mmasnick That decentralization brings a remarkable resiliency. Even if all current servers are nuked, you could fire up a new machine (assuming someone has a copy of the software) and you're back in action like that (sort of).

The notion of downloading all your data and taking it anywhere reminds me a lot of the novel Walkaway by @pluralistic

(Note to self: DL your Mastodon data regularly.)

#NoteToSelf #MastodonData

Anyway, 8M toots happened, 500k users is probably going to happen in the next 24 hours.
#mastodondata
Next #mastodondata milestone is 1.500 instances total, probably in like 2 days https://metadon.jemu.name/assets/plots/instances_pred-1.png

Oh shit friends.nico is picking up steam _fast_ https://metadon.jemu.name/assets/plots/instances_top_hist-1.png

Hold on to your spleens, we're in for another Japanese ride.
#mastodondata

Okay, yeah, a quadratic model is much easier and seems a little more realistic.

#mastodondata https://misanthropy.wang/media/a5GJC78vGlQSAvbXgjM

I played around with nonlinear regression models a bit, and this is what I got as a #mastodon total user count forecast:
I wouldn't bet on it, but it looks nice.
https://misanthropy.wang/media/AQENrVk7uMUyhYiVono
#mastodondata

So I made a new bot that just toots out the current top 10 largest #Mastodon instances by user count, according to instances.mastodon.xyz.
The bot toots once a day via cronjob, and it's set to not appear in public timelines.

https://botsin.space/@top_instances

Also, the local timeline on botsin.space is magnificient.
That is all.
#mastodondata

Could someone ping me late August? Asking for a totally wonky prognosis.
#mastodondata https://misanthropy.wang/media/iQNeQCs36W2dSmWjM34