🌍 Pushing #ClimateModeling to the Next Level

What happens when you run global climate #simulations at the kilometre scale for multiple years

In our latest blog post, we share insights from a landmark #nextGEMS study using ECMWF’s Integrated Forecasting System coupled to high-resolution ocean–sea ice models.

These simulations capture fine-scale processes—from mesoscale #OceanEddies to #UrbanHeat patterns—that coarser models can’t resolve, offering a more realistic picture of our climate system. Along the way, the team tackled key challenges, from water and #EnergyConservation to improving the simulation of #ExtremePrecipitation and polar sea ice leads.

💡 The results point towards more accurate, actionable climate information—but also highlight the huge computational demands of this frontier.

📖 Read the blog post on our website and comment below to get the link to the original publication by Thomas Rackow et al., 2025.

#H2020 #HighResolutionModels #EarthSystemScience #StormResolvingModels

@ECMWF
@cinea_EU

"On Thursday, October 17, six French departments south of Lyon faced "exceptional" rainfall of up to 650 millimeters. A torrent raged over the city of Annonay, with cars submerged and firefighters in diving suits. Aurélien Ribes, a researcher at Météo-France's National Center for Meteorological Research, points out that this phenomenon is likely to recur with #ClimateChange."

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/environment/article/2024/10/19/flooding-in-france-global-warming-is-generating-even-more-severe-episodes-of-heavy-precipitation_6729863_114.html#
#ExtremePrecipitation #France

https://theconversation.com/as-extreme-downpours-trigger-flooding-around-the-world-scientists-take-a-closer-look-at-global-warmings-role-213724

Without #emission reductions and #managedretreat from #vulnerable areas city #adaptation to #extremeprecipitation will be mostly miss.

#keepitintheground #NationalizeFossilFuels #GreenNewDealJobs

Once-a-century extreme precipitation could occur every 30 years in the US by 2100, according to a new study. The researchers used climate models and historical data to project how the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events will change under different warming scenarios. The study warns that such events could pose serious risks for flooding, infrastructure damage, and public health, especially in urban areas.

#ExtremePrecipitation #ClimateChange #FloodRisk

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2369735-once-a-century-extreme-precipitation-could-occur-every-30-years-in-us/

"The scale helps communities know whether an #AtmosphericRiver will bring benefit or cause chaos: The storms can deliver much-needed #rain or snow, but if they're too intense, they can cause #flooding, #landslides and power outages, as California and Pakistan experienced."

#ClimateChange #ExtremePrecipitation
https://phys.org/news/2023-03-world-atmospheric-rivers-intensity-hurricanes.html