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#ProbabilityThinking #DecisionMaking #Strategy #NegotiationTips #CriticalThinking #Leadership #Influence #CognitiveBias #Psychology #ExpectedValue (5/5)

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Emberhart Feb 12

Scratch Card Odds 7/10 Each card quietly costs €1.90 in expected value. Buying five cards means tossing €9.50 away—on average. 🗑️ #ExpectedValue #CostOfHope #MathInLife

Emberhart Feb 9

Buying a scratch card feels harmless. But if every ticket guarantees a negative expected value… are you paying for hope, not opportunity?
https://www.emberhart.com/may-the-odds-never-be-in-your-favor-probabilities-of-winning-christmas-scratch-cards/
#Probability #EmberhartJourney #PositiveParenting #KindnessRocks #ExpectedValue #FinancialThinking #MathMatters

May the Odds Never Be in Your Favor: Probabilities of Winning Christmas Scratch Cards - Emberhart

The Odds of Winning Christmas Scratch Cards: A Lesson in Probabilities. Explore the real probabilities behind winning with Christmas scratch cards. Discover how the odds work, and learn why playing the lottery may not be the best investment, even during the holidays.

Emberhart

Play Ai Odds Dec 13

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#Football #SportsBetting #BettingEducation #DataDriven #ExpectedValue #AI #Statistics

Play Ai Odds Nov 20, 2025

⚽ Ever wondered how Expected Value and Statistical Markets actually work in football analytics?

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🎥 Watch: https://youtube.com/shorts/dUqMlqGvlso

🧠 Smart, Independent, Data-driven.
#FootballAnalysis #AI #ExpectedValue #SportsData #PlayAIOdds

Statistical Markets, Expected Value & Smart Betting Insights #bettinganalysis #bettingmath

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novaTopFlex Nov 13, 2025

#Python #Python3 #Python312 #NumPy #Math #Sys #Py #Math #Maths #Probability #Statistics #ExpectedValue

Play Ai Odds Nov 11, 2025

Expected Value (EV) in Sports Betting – How to Find a Real “Value Bet” Like a Pro

I explain how EV works, how bookmaker margins distort probabilities, and how tools like https://playaiodds.com can help you find true +EV bets.

Betting isn’t about luck — it’s about logic, math, and long-term thinking.

🔗 https://medium.com/@adrien.ditta/expected-value-ev-in-sports-betting-how-to-find-a-real-value-bet-like-a-pro-7f0e9923d06e

#ExpectedValue #SportsAnalytics #ValueBetting #AI #PlayAIodds #SportsBetting

N-gated Hacker News Oct 20, 2025

Ah, nothing like a baffling bank loan 🤔 where numbers magically morph to defy logic! 🚀 J.P. Morgan seems to have forgotten that OpenAI's revenue is as ethereal as their AI models' hallucinations. Maybe their "Expected Value" calculation just implies *expecting* any value at all! 🤷‍♂️
https://marketunpack.com/j-p-morgans-openai-loan-is-strange/ #bafflingbankloan #JPMorgan #OpenAI #revenuehallucinations #expectedvalue #financehumor #HackerNews #ngated

J.P. Morgan's OpenAI loan is strange

In October, OpenAI secured a 4 billion dollar revolving credit facility from J.P. Morgan and several other banks. I was surprised when I heard this because OpenAI is a young company with no earnings. Shouldn't all their capital come from investors? Let's run some numbers. From first principles Let's

Market Unpack

Lise Andreasen Sep 30, 2025

#ThisWeeksFiddler, 20250926
This week the #puzzle is: Can You Take a “Risk”? #ExpectedValue #probabilities #permutations #MonteCarlo Regarding Risk. At the end of each turn in the game in which you conquer at least one enemy territory on the board, you are dealt a card. There are 42 territory cards in the deck—14 that depict an infantry unit, […]

https://stuff.ommadawn.dk/2025/09/30/thisweeksfiddler-20250926/

#ThisWeeksFiddler, 20250926

This week the #puzzle is: Can You Take a “Risk”? #ExpectedValue #probabilities #permutations #MonteCarlo Regarding Risk. At the end of each turn in the game in which you conquer at leas…

Stuff from ommadawn.dk (Lise Andreasen)

Lise Andreasen Jul 22, 2025

#ThisWeeksFiddler, 20250718
This week the #puzzle is: Can You Meet Me at the Mall? #ExpectedValue #average #maximum #probabilities You and two friends have arranged to meet at a popular downtown mall between 3 p.m. and 4 p.m. one afternoon. However, you neglected to specify a time within that one-hour window. Therefore, the three of you will be […]

https://stuff.ommadawn.dk/2025/07/22/thisweeksfiddler-20250718/

#ThisWeeksFiddler, 20250718

This week the #puzzle is: Can You Meet Me at the Mall? #ExpectedValue #average #maximum #probabilities You and two friends have arranged to meet at a popular downtown mall between 3 p.m. and 4 p.m.…

Stuff from ommadawn.dk (Lise Andreasen)