#CA09 Josh Harder (D): Trump won by 1.8% ⚠️ ~41,000 ACA exchange enrollees at risk ~49,000 Medicaid expansion* enrollees at risk *aka MEDI-CAL
Bluesky

Bluesky Social

#California CD09 #Election2024 -Nov-5.
Congratulations JOSH HARDER on winning re-election to #CA09!

#DemsWork4USA #WinBlue

UPDATE 6am - US House of Representatives Race.

Four "lean dem" races are called for the Dem. #CA06 #CA09 #CA21 #CO08

This does not change the predicted outcome, which is

GOP 221 - 214 Dems

Dems could numerically still win the House, if they were to flip all four the remaining "leans R" races:

#CA03 #CA22 #CA27 #CO03

HOUSE STATE OF PLAY: #CA09 called for Dems; they'd now have to hold #CA13 & #CA17 + win all 4 of the seats the GOP now leads in to reach 218.

Extremely unlikely but still theoretically possible, I think.

Heavy sigh. ☹️ Via Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman:

“New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.”

Dave Wasserman:

New House math:

Dem called/probable (213), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
GOP called/probable (220): incl. #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA03, #CA27, #CA41, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
Toss Ups (2): #CA13, #CA22

Dems need a miracle now.