A few thoughts on #Ukraine the #War going forward. Im really interested what others think about it!
1st. Ukraine will now play #defense. As @anderspuck has pointed out in his latest, good as always video, Ukraine communicates that there won't be an offensive any time soon. That could be deception but I doubt it. Why?
A) The #Russian continuous assaults skews #attrition heavily in Ukraines favour. A ratio of up to 20/1 for #Avdiivka was mentioned iirc, however even if only half is correct its still massive. However expect minor loss of territory.
B) Ukraine will wait for key tech (#F16) & improved supply (#155mm shells) and further systems (#Tank, #IFV, #Mine clearing, #ATACAMS) before trying again.
C) The current russian #Air #terror against cities and infrastructure seems to be ineffective, with Ukraine shooting down almost all of #Shaheed send. However, it could be, that #Russia saves better #Missiles for a concentrated strike later on.
What do you think?
#NATO #NAFO #EU #Defence