SamuelHurtado

9 Followers
13 Following
20 Posts
Head of the Macroeconomic Modelling Unit at Banco de España

@kakape Thanks, I hate it

(sounds really, really bad; then again, maybe it will make people take precautions that are already badly needed for covid)

Yes, this brings the CDC guidelines for COVID into line with guidelines for RSV and influenza.

It's not just that is COVID more severe. The guidelines for RSV and influenza are not right either. We need universal paid sick leave, not permission to return to work while still contagious.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/13/health/covid-isolation-cdc.html?unlocked_article_code=1.VU0.jViR.n7R1fvDM_WEv&smid=url-share

C.D.C. Considers Ending 5-Day Isolation Period for Covid

Americans may be advised that it’s safe to return to regular routines after one day without a fever.

The New York Times

2024: "We have respirators that electrostatically capture viral particles, ventilation and filtration systems to clean indoor air, and UV lights to kill viruses."

1918: "That's incredible! What's it like living without all this illness?"

2024: "Oh, we don't actually use them."

@erictopol "we estimated the number of first SARS-CoV-2 infections based on the intersurvey difference in cumulative infection-induced seroprevalence" --> they don't seem to be taking into account that people lose their antibodies. The Spanish surveys in 2020 had partially-overlapping samples. 45% of the people who had antibodies in March-July had no antibodies in November.

I'd listen to the IHR and IFR numbers, but don't trust that novid estimation

The diffuse inflammation of the brain in symptomatic people with Long Covid by PET scans, with matched controls, and correlation with their blood inflammatory biomarkers

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.10.19.563117v1

@erictopol what this tells me is: similar development cost as previous versions (mostly from the approval process), waaaay lower sales expectations (and I agree: they're probably selling a third of the doses compared with the previous round)
After 17 doctors and dentists over 3 years couldn't make the diagnosis for Alex, his mother entered his symptoms and got it from ChatGPT.
The recent progress in #AI for medicine, reviewed in the new Ground Truths
https://erictopol.substack.com/p/all-eyes-on-medical-ai
All Eyes on Medical A.I.

Ground Truths
@ct_bergstrom I hate vignetting in lenses (and then I push the vignette slider to the max in post - as Stu Maschwitz says: it's like a hug to your image)
Just sayin'

Leaders around the world, take note of this simple, smart message: The best protection is when everyone wears a mask.

Normalize taking care of others.

Also, get Covid19 boosters and flu shots, improve ventilation, monitor air quality, support people to stay home when sick.