Welcome to war crime day.

Trump has told the press yesterday that Iran will be returned to the stone age at 8 PM US Eastern Time — that is two hours after midnight in Berlin.

So far the European reaction is complete silence, and I believe this is a case of “Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake”.

There are only two outcomes:

1. If Trump chickens out, he is weakened at home.

2. If he commits the war crime, he is severely weakened internationally.

Either way, Trump loses.

@randahl

It's not so binary. Today #Iran will announce the Strait open to all with a $1M toll. #Trump won't mind that. He tried a million dollar on Chinese-built ships calling U.S. ports. He'll call it a win.

The long term effect will be a Houthi toll in the Red Sea, a Russian toll in the Arctic, and a toll at Malacca. Trump will have succeeded in ruining all global trade. It will be the end of freedom of navigation, something the U.S. has supported for 80 years, and the British before that