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I Predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis. What Is Coming May Be Worse
- Richard Bookstaber

“…We have returned to a period of risk, one rife with the sort of pressures that have led to major financial crises. This time, the risks are spread across industries, markets & nations∶ #ArtificialIntelligence, the roughly $2 trillion private #credit industry, #StockMarkets, #Taiwan & now #Iran…”

#economy #Trump #inflation #tariffs #war #CostOfLiving #energy #recession
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/opinion/financial-crisis-private-credit-ai-iran-taiwan.html?unlocked_article_code=1.UVA.yTzr.YtftnMqyQMfl&smid=nytcore-ios-share

Opinion | I Predicted the 2008 Financial Crisis. What Is Coming May Be Worse.

Richard Bookstaber warns that what appears to be disparate forces adding risk to our economy are all part of one deeply connected system.

The New York Times

“These risks are analyzed one by one, news article by news article. We understand them in isolation. Yet they are different entry points into the same underlying structure — a complex and tightly coupled system where the specific source of stress matters less than how quickly that stress can spread.

“Signs of systemic strain are emerging.”

#US #economy #Trump #policy #inflation #tariffs #war #affordability #CostOfLiving #AI #energy #climate #recession

“…This time, the danger isn’t financial engineering. It’s that our #financial system has attached itself to the vulnerabilities of our physical world— #power grids, #water, #land, supply chains—& created hazards markets have no framework to analyze. Our models for detecting risk look at prices, volatility & correlations. They have no instruments for reading #grid failure, drought or a severed #SupplyChain. By the time warning signs show up in market data, the damage will already have been done.”
@Nonilex We need to build a good team.
@Nonilex I'm convinced Putin and Donald want a economic depression era society of peasants while they loot every resource on the planet. They are meglamaniac sociopaths in their ivory towers. They want us divided and weak and broke. Sick F's