Mad idea: given that the US Supreme Court ruled that the President essentially has immunity from criminal prosecutions for acts during his term in office, could J. D. Vance plausibly shoot Donald Trump dead, thereby becoming President, and claim immunity?

(I know this is very silly and Won't Happen for several reasons, but is there a legal fig-leaf he could hide behind here?)

@cstross The death would occur shortly before the transition, wouldn't it? Does the ruling cover the vice-president prior? At what point in the bullet's journey would power transition occur? In this essay I will...
@sixtyfootmalcolm @cstross couldn't JD Vance just pardon himself though?
@jdboyd @sixtyfootmalcolm @cstross
He'd just have to make sure he did it in a federal jurisdiction so no state could prosecute

@jdboyd
He only pardons himself when he's away from his sofa.

@sixtyfootmalcolm @cstross

@cstross It's the ides of March, he probably should stab him.
@cstross
I fear a serious legal analysis would be irrelevant. It's all about what they can get away with now.
@cstross no, but Trump shooting JD Vance... 🤔
@marcoxa @cstross Are you sure you want JD Vance as president?! He’s about as evil and may also be relatively competent.
@alex_p_roe @marcoxa @cstross He doesn’t have a cult though. The slavish devotion to Trump won’t transfer to Vance.
@cstross I had the same thought about Andrew... kill the king and the next 6 in line and bam, sovereign immunity. The only legal way out would be for Beatrice to then kill her father.
@joat Naah, parliament would just apply the 1649 precedent and put him on trial—as King. Life imprisonment would be problematic, though. Maybe they could ask the ECJ for a courtroom, citing the difficulty of finding an impartial jury in the UK?
@cstross heh, true. But given how widely the Epstein news was reported, and how widely news of 7 royal murders would be reported, we'd have to appeal to aliens to find an impartial jury
@joat Tribunal of judges. There are precedents. (Cf. the Diplock courts in NI during the Troubles, due to fear of jury intimidation. Which would also be a factor in a royal trial ... )
@cstross and besides, the King is King these days only by public consent; if there was an actual chance of Andrew becoming King then no amount of police would stop the palace being stormed by angry protestors who would beat him to death with rolled-up Epstein file printouts
@joat @cstross we 'murricans used to think this about ourselves, and we've now disproven it _so_ many times over.
@cstross But he wouldn't be president when he pulled the trigger, so presidential immunity wouldn't apply.
@jmax @cstross But he could pardon himself several seconds later.
@etchedpixels @cstross Mm. He'd still be chargeable in principle by the state or territory. Not that they would.
@jmax @etchedpixels The Crown is the wellspring from which the law springs, in the UK—the monarch can't be charged with *anything*. (QE2 driving into her late 80s was a headache for her police bodyguards.)
@cstross @jmax @etchedpixels Cromwell would like a word...
@drajt @jmax @etchedpixels Yes, which is exactly why the royal protection group keep the king (or queen, as appropriate) wrapped in cotton wool inside a locked safe where they *can't* do anything illegal (although they can just ask a cop to do it for them). Luckily for the past few decades the monarch has been a very staid and evidently happily married over-70 billionaire. (Unlike Andrew.)
@cstross @jmax @etchedpixels Washington D.C. isn’t a state, and is under the jurisdiction of the federal government. Charges would be unlikely.

@JamesPadraicR @cstross @etchedpixels DC has a city government with the usual power to charge people with crimes.

I agree that the Feds would apply enough pressure to prevent it, up to and including revoking home rule, but in principle it could happen.

@cstross At the time Vance shot Donnie he wasn't President and the SC ruling only covers acts the President carries out *while* he is President.

However, if President Vance travels back in time and shoots President Trump and thus becomes President ...

@cstross His term in office would not start until the incumbent died, but the criminal acts of attempted murder/illegal disposal of toxic waste would have occurred in the split second before the death?
@cstross I've said that since before they got elected... J.Divans could shoot the pumpkin dead, then immediately pardon himself while he's president. No need for a Supreme Chaos ahem Court decision.
The reason he hasn't done that is presumably because it's not the best time yet from his perspective.

@cstross Another option: bodyguards, who are not who they used to be. Also, would go well with the good ol’ times vibes…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Roman_emperors_murdered_by_the_Praetorian_Guard

Category:Roman emperors murdered by the Praetorian Guard - Wikipedia

@cbzo @cstross

The best assassins would be his doctors. They just have to replace his meds with placebos.

Or they could administer hallucinogens to get the 25th invoked.

@Phosphenes @cbzo @cstross
How do we know they haven't been trying that already?
@cstross and most likely Vance is even worse than Trump.
@fazalmajid Well yes, but if he waited until Trump opened the nuclear football and demanded the phone so he could make That Call, everybody below Vance would just nod sagely and say "good job".
@cstross Aha, the Ideas of March?

@cstross As others have pointed out, killing the incumbent while VP would not be an ‘official act as president’, ergo immunity would not apply.

Vance could bludgeon Trump unconscious, assume office based on Trump's incapacity, and THEN kill him, reducing his potential culpability to assault rather than murder.

If the US were Nepal, it might be more clearcut. As the events of 1 June 2001 established, regicide is no barrier to assuming the kingship (although a self-administered 9mm bullet is).

Ah, but he could pardon himself for the murder of the previous president once he is president.
@angusm @cstross I'm not sure there'd be an assault required to claim incapacity at this point, just a willing court
@angusm I’m imagining some sort of comedy of errors involving a cabinet secretary tripping due to their ill-fitting shoes while wielding a spoon.

@angusm @cstross We still haven't tested the legal theory about whether or not the president can pardon themselves

So he could do it, pardon himself for it, and then dare the court system to hold him accountable

(But vance wouldn't pull the trigger - more likely scenario he convinces a Secret Service agent to do it "for the good of the country" with the promise of a pardon once he assumes office. Then we get to see if 'felony murder' charges apply if you're powerful enough.)

@angusm @cstross
Nothing so dramatic is needed.
Vance and ten members of the cabinet could simply declare Trump incompetent and remove him from office.
Or a committee formed by Congress could do the same.
(25th Amend. Sec. 4 US Const.)
Incompetence is a MUCH lower bar than criminal activity.
No need for sixty guys in togas. Eleven in ill fitting shoes would suffice.
@GalbinusCaeli @cstross Beware the Florsheims of March …
@angusm Has anyone checked those shoes for explosive heels?

@JamesPadraicR @angusm
Or Bond-esque poison-tipped click-activated daggers.

(How did Frau Rosa (??) get the daggers back in place, given how rapidly lethal the poison was?)

@GalbinusCaeli @angusm @cstross Except that won’t stick unless 2/3rds of Congress and Senate agree. Plus Trump chose his cabinet for their loyalty, not their competence.
@qhstone @angusm @cstross That is for impeachment. For 25th amendment it is the courts. Which isn't much better.
@GalbinusCaeli @angusm @cstross The text of the 25th is quite clear: the House and Senate decide the issue if the president insists he’s still able to do the job. No court involvement.
@qhstone @angusm @cstross you are correct, my apologies

@angusm The trick would be to get sworn in and then turn off the life support machine irrespective of medical advice.

Arranging matters so that it will certainly end in a life support machine rather than an immediate corpse would take a conspiracy which is not especially plausible.

@cstross

@graydon @angusm A syringe full of insulin will do the trick.

@cstross @angusm In the case of a notionally healthy person, yeah.

My personal expectation is that this is someone who was in the ICU with wild-type COVID, of advanced years, and in the time frame where rapid sunsetting would be expected; they're presumably emulating social function in consequence of a dynamically tuned array of pharmacological assistance so aggressive and novel that four milligrams of aspirin are a risk of a liver gone ex-thorax, motile, and resoundingly singing Don Giovanni.

@cstross @graydon Novichok in the bronzer has less deniability but more style.
@angusm @graydon The message it sends is distinctly "so, agent Krasnov, you have disappointed me for the final time." (Steeples fingers, leans back to watch flailing body fall into the underfloor Kremlin piranha tank.)

@cstross

“’tis a consummation/devoutly to be wished.”

@angusm @cstross There's been a bunch of "displeased Chinese muttering about lack of planning for Trump's state visit" going on.

We know, and the CPC knows, that this is incompetence; the flailing mass can't plan.

If they could plan, in the same way the utterly predictable blocking of Hormuz could be a dark-lord-of-the-Sith deniable attack on China's economy, sending Trump to China to die would be a great unifying move for the base. People will write their own narrative no matter what you did.

@angusm @cstross
No need for bludgeoning- a simple roofie would be more than sufficient (Trump probably still has a bottle marked "Love from Jeffrey"), and keep applying until he's compliant. Or dead.

In modern America, that's assertive masculinity, not murder, no?

@cstross They'll get someone is the Secret Service to do it by claiming it's for the good of the nation, then burn the guy when he does it.
@cstross Depends on if you have a functioning DOJ, and SCOTUS has no ability to enforce anything so at this point who knows.
@SharpCheddarGoblin @cstross DOJ won’t prosecute a sitting president. Especially this DOJ.

@cstross : from strategical perspective, given age and health of Trump, I would send him lot of prostitutes and try to make him do a Félix Faure.

Still wondering why nobody is doing that or why Trump is surviving those attempts.

@ploum
probably because he can't get it up (with prostitutes if legal age).
@cstross