Emeritus Prof Christopher MayFeb 22

Perhaps unsurprisingly given the bookies' odds, tactical voting advice (now going online) for the Gorton & Denton by-election is focussing on voting Green (Hannah Spencer) as the best route to block a win by ReformUK Ltd.

This is exactly what Labour fears; as the Green Parties (of England & Wales, and Scottish) become the best route for tactical voters, their support will start to consolidate more widely sapping Labour's remaining support.

#GortonAndDenton #politics
https://stopreformuk.vote/parl/gorton-and-denton

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Show threadPete Alex Harris🦡🕸️🌲/∞🪐∫Feb 22

@ChrisMayLA6
They could have cared even slightly about losing the progressive vote any time in the last 10 years, and they wouldn't have to fear it now that it's happening.

They even had a recent clear warning: at the last GE the Greens took some seats. The seal is broken; nobody can say Green is a wasted vote now.

That was the time to understand Labour's election win came not from moving right, but disgust with the Tories, and how fragile it'd be if their "Change" slogan was empty.

Show threadDonald RoyFeb 22

@petealexharris @ChrisMayLA6

Just enough of them understood in the summer of 2024 - and one of them - #vidhyaalakeson - was in a position to act - to be able to prevent #shabanaMahmood , #jessphillips and #wesstreeting from sharing the fate of #thangamdebonaire and #jonathanashworth . There are some suggestions that their authority has increased - with the departure of #morganmcsweeney and others. Somebody there may even got round to reading the latest version of #thebritishelectionstudy!

Show threadDonald RoyFeb 22

@petealexharris @ChrisMayLA6

However it may prove to be too late. The legacy of #morganmcsweeney , #petermandelson , #labourtogether and their various allies and fellow travellers may be just too debilitating for #uklabour to recover from. However that is by no means certain.

Show threadEmeritus Prof Christopher May

@djr2024 @petealexharris

Yes, I think this is the key Q.: can Labour draw a line under al of that & reconfigure.... my guess is the inculcation of the party by the Right (of Labour) has been too great, but who knows

Feb 22 at 4:06pmWeb
Show threadDonald RoyFeb 22

@ChrisMayLA6 @petealexharris

If it can be done it will take time - several months at best - and the risk is that the electorate may have moved by then to a stage where #Laɓour has settled down as an alternative rather than the leading contender for left of centre support.