Police State UK

"12% of 2024 Labour voters in the capital would now back the Greens, 8% Reform, 6% the Lib-Dems, and 4% the Tories."

#UKPol #London

https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/labour-record-low-london-starmer-green-reform-rise-farage-polanski-conservatives-b1265029.html

Labour hits new record low in London with Tories pushed into fourth place behind Greens and Reform, poll finds

EXCLUSIVE: Just 31% of Londoners now say they would vote for Sir Keir Starmer’s party, according to a Savanta survey, down from 43% at the 2024 General Election

Evening Standard
Feb 1 at 10:23amWeb
Show threadPolice State UKFeb 1
As ever, I would be _really_ interested to see someone trying to do the speculative prediction calculations taking turnout rates of various age groups into account. The Greens seem to have a younger supporter base, which might hurt them there.
Show threadDonald RoyFeb 1
@PoliceStateUK That agrees with both the most recent #electoralcalculus projection and with some stuff in the current issue of the #economist which sees the #greens as the principal challenger to most #labour M.P.s in #london ! .
Show threadToken Sane PersonFeb 1
@djr2024 @PoliceStateUK Here is the graphic from the #economist article, showing seats currently held by Labour and the most likely challenger in each.