My 2026 Open Social Web Predictions: includes fediverse predctions focuesed on work being done by: @dansup @surf @Mastodon @piefedadmin @ghostexplore @rimu @activitypub.blog @anewsocial @fedify @fed.brid.gy @altstore See what you think. What did I miss? https://www.timothychambers.net/2025/12/23/my-open-social-web-predictions.html
My 2026 Open Social Web Predictions - Tim Chambers

Predictions for 2026 include growth forecasts for various social media platforms, advancements in federated technologies, and anticipated shifts in how …

Tim Chambers

@tchambers @dansup @surf @Mastodon @piefedadmin @ghostexplore @rimu @activitypub.blog @fedify @fed.brid.gy @altstore @anewsocial

bluesky is frustrating because they are sucking up so much of the decentralized social media oxygen while we won't know if their model works until they decide on a business model. only then will we know if users who don't want to bear that cost can leave but stay connected, the true test of whether something is decentralized or not.

@wjmaggos @tchambers Not only that but I also see a non-zero chance that Bluesky-the-company could decide to have ATProto as a semi-walled garden – that they make a 180° turn on cross-protocol interoperability.

But I hope that I'm wrong on this.