Nvidia and openAI are talking about building a 10GW data centre.

So. We gots a big number. Let's look at it.

How much is 10GW? Well the UK has a typical day time electricity consumption of ~40GW. Meaning that this one single data centre is looking to use the same amount of electricity as a quarter of the UK. In a single installation. A quarter of the electricity of the 6th largest economy in the world. A single data centre.

Or put another way. It needs power from 3x sizewell C nuclear plant.

So how could we power this site?

Let's start with solar. Assuming it's not being built in a very sunny desert (which with water requirements, would be an utterly fucking stupid place to build it). Let's assume 1KW of sun per square meter. (Gonna ignore the whole night problem here). And a 20% efficiency for the panels. With everything else being "optimum". That's 50,000,000m² of panels. That's 50km². But that assumes perfect weather... And ignores night. And terrain...

2/n

So it's fair to say, this ain't gonna be solar powered. So what about wind? Well here the news is actually good. Taking the UK as an example (I know the data better than anywhere else, I know the DC isn't going to be here, I'm just using it for numbers). We actually have 70GW of offshore wind in various stages of construction. Spread variously across the north sea and other coastal waters. 15MW wind turbines are a norm now. Ignoring capacity factors, that's only 667 of these turbines...

3/n

667 15MW wind turbines would take up rather a lot of space. Fortunately theres a lot of sea for offshore wind to be installed in. The UK is actually doing this. But it's not a small install. And requires the DC be not too far from the sea. But we're ignoring capacity factors and what happens when the wind doesn't blow. The whole reason the UK wants so much wind is that it's unlikely for Scotland and Kent to be equally not windy. It's about resilience.

This 10GW DC isn't gonna use wind power
4/n

We established that this would need 3 Hinckley point C or sizewell C size nuclear plants, each if which takes many years to build and cost tens of billions. (No I don't want a debate on the rights and wrongs of nuclear here). Realistically this is the way that DCs can be powered without totally thrashing the atmosphere. Geoff Bennett has a great talk on the usefulness of nuclear for DC power. I recommend a watch.

https://youtu.be/giR_a3-WoHo

5/n

Geoff Bennett, Infinera - Artificial Intelligence: A High Level Perspective

YouTube

What about gas? This is likely what they are going to use, it's just the quickest way they can deploy the amount of power needed. But even then, the largest gas power plant in the world is 8.8GW according to Wikipedia. So still not big enough to power this one DC. And the CO2 emissions would be mind boggling (literally, I'm really struggling to calculate a number for this). Geoff's talk explains what's happened with Musks 150MW DC and it's trailer mounted gas generation kit. And that's tiny

6/n

And this is before we get into the whole cooling and water usage of a facility this size. I need to double check the maths, but this is the sort of scale of facility that will change weather patterns in the area. It is that huge. If it's using a quarter the electricity of the UK. Just imagine how much water that's gonna be. And you just know they're gonna want to build this in a desert.

All so some manager doesn't need to write a full email.

Ye fucking gods.
7/7

@quixoticgeek "Since 2021, Texas has added nearly 40 gigawatts of new clean power generation, enough to comfortably power all of New York State."

from https://reader.foreignaffairs.com/2025/09/09/the-coming-electricity-crisis/content.html

The Coming Electricity Crisis

What America Must Do to Meet Surging Demand

@spara @quixoticgeek Doesn't help with the water though, and it's when it's extra that the problem is. Mind you, the world is now adding effectively more than 1GW of solar per day on average. Just probably not near these centers.
@ariaflame @quixoticgeek True, but it's surprising to me that a state that actively dismisses renewables is the leader in renewables in the US. Texas also has a 14gw battery farm.
@spara @ariaflame @quixoticgeek Given the tax credits for wind farms and the use of natural gas to backstop wind power, it's not surprising at all that power producers with big gas holdings would invest in West Texas wind farms. I'd suggest looking closer at the actual companies and economics involved rather than relying on whatever perceptions you have of "Texas".
@arclight @spara @quixoticgeek It's the difference between the companies, and the politicians. Them being effectively their own grid does lead to problems though if they don't interact with the rest of the country as we have seen.

@arclight @ariaflame @quixoticgeek I live in Texas and renewables were cited as the cause of grid failure in 2021. In addition, I drive quite a bit in west Texas and there is definitely community opposition to wind and solar farms.

https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=4133&context=nrj

@spara @arclight @quixoticgeek Cited by whom? I doubt they were the cause of the failure. As I remember it during the big freezes and power outages they were keeping what was left of the grid up. The community has been told what to hate, even if it costs them. (Reads linked article) Ah yes. As you note they were falsely blamed for it.
@ariaflame @arclight @quixoticgeek They weren't the cause of the failure but the governor of Texas claimed that they were the cause.

@spara @ariaflame @arclight @quixoticgeek

The actual cause was poor maintenance of gas power plants, and poor planning by the same.

@bruce @ariaflame @arclight @quixoticgeek The worst part was the cascade effect. Without power, the water pumps in San Antonio froze and couldn't be restarted. Water was offline for a week.
@spara @arclight @ariaflame @quixoticgeek
Not by anyone who knew about weather or renewables.

@spara @ariaflame @quixoticgeek Texas is all about making money for Texas. They want renewables for themselves because they're cheap.

They want fossil fuels for everybody else because they're expensive.

@spara @ariaflame @quixoticgeek
Odd place, Texas.
By American standards, even.
@Photo55 @ariaflame @quixoticgeek Not really, many communities feel that wind farms change the appearance and character of where they live.
@spara @Photo55 @ariaflame even the Dutch protest wind turbines. What I find so amusing about this is that the Dutch don't have different words for pretty windmills the tourists like, or the big wind turbines that make electricity. So you see banners and posters protesting "molen". I expect them to say that tulips will be protested next...
@spara @Photo55 @quixoticgeek I think wind turbines look elegant and clean and impressive and would be happy if there was somewhere appropriate for a wind farm near enough for me to look at.

@spara @ariaflame @quixoticgeek
...which have not been changed by those communities, or indeed people, going to live there, farm/pump oil/drive through/etc since the ice retreated?

I think they look nice, and remind us of whence power comes.

@ariaflame @spara that's a wonderful stat. do you have a source ?
@quixoticgeek @ariaflame It's from the article in the link, unfortunately no primary source
In 2004, it took the world a year to add a gigawatt of solar power — now it takes a day

To mitigate the negative impacts of climate change, the world needs to quickly transition from fossil fuels to low-carbon energy sources such as solar power.

Our World in Data
@ariaflame @spara @quixoticgeek "The water" is mostly due to power generation by thermal resources. Take that away and you have much less (if you're building in a place where water is scarce/expensive you're not using once-through cooling cycles). Still an awful lot of heat to dissipate in a small area.
@wollman @spara @quixoticgeek Is it power generation or is it cooling of the datacenter? But even if it's just the datacenter it's a lot. There are pools in the UK where the heating of the pool water is done via heat exchange with nearby data centers and that was before the AI explosion.
@ariaflame @spara @quixoticgeek It is mostly thermal power generation. More or Less did a segment on this (referencing the original study) a few months ago, don't know if it's still available for replay.
What Is Data Center Water Cooling?

Data center water cooling is a liquid cooling process in which water is used to lower the temperature of server components. Since water conducts heat about 30 times better than air, it is a highly efficient method of data center cooling. How Does Data Center Water Cooling Work? Water is pumped through pipes surrounding IT equipment. It flows through a water block attached to

Sunbird DCIM

@ariaflame @spara @quixoticgeek
In principle, if one builds enough turbines, panels, etc, one could refrigerate the water going into some building, thus increasing its cooling effect, recirculate it when it emerged hot, and indeed strain water vapour out of the atmosphere to supplement it.

Or build efficient calculating, storing, and ordering mills.

@quixoticgeek hmm, so a nuclear or coal power station is about 30-40% efficient

drax produces up to 4 GW so 2.4 GW is waste heat, dissipated with 12 cooling towers

so a data centre producing 10 GW waste heat would need 50 cooling towers

@quixoticgeek er whoops got the efficiency backwards, it’s 8ish GW waste heat for 12 cooling towers
@quixoticgeek 😬 That's worrisome even without any further data!
@sinituulia I know right. It's at a scale that's just beyond comprehension.
@quixoticgeek @sinituulia They’re all in on the “Fuck the planet, we’ll digitize the plebs consciousnesses, and the elites will colonize the stars” flavor of fascism. I can’t imagine any other reason for plans this unrealistic.
@schrotthaufen @quixoticgeek @sinituulia It looks like a project designed to fail after everyone concerned has got rich and retired.
@quixoticgeek @sinituulia It's on a scale that the rest of us must just call "bullshit". This sort of talk is just pumping up the fantasies of the next round of ~suckers~ investors into the ~Ponzi scheme~ huge "AI" opportunity..
@quixoticgeek @sinituulia I think they're just lying and trying to goose stock prices / valuations with a circular investment (Nvidia puts money into openai, who say they'll buy tons of Nvidia products with the investment).

@quixoticgeek @mothninja ...and it's likely to need that much power 24/7, too, not just at peak times.

Because if you're building a datacentre that size you're losing money any time it's not running near capacity.

@WiteWulf @quixoticgeek @mothninja and what comes out the other end? Control. It’s costing you everything to get it going and in return they get to take anything left when it’s done without resistance.